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Serie A 2026/27: Season Preview

Inter Milan defend the Scudetto after an 87-point campaign, but Napoli have handed Massimiliano Allegri a contract to 2029 to close the gap, while Milan and Roma also reload for a genuinely open title race.

Kick-off
23 Aug 2026
Goals / Game (25/26)
2.43
Over 2.5 (25/26)
50.4%
Season
2026/27
Serie A 2026/27 Season Preview
2025/26 Final Table

How did last season finish?

Inter Milan won the title with 87 points and a +54 goal difference; Hellas Verona and Pisa were relegated.

Final Standings 2025/26

PosClubPtsGD
1Inter Milan87+54
2Napoli76+22
3Roma73+28
4Como71+36
5AC Milan70+18
6Juventus69+27
7Atalanta59+15
8Bologna56+3
9Lazio54+1
10Udinese50-3
11Sassuolo49-4
12Torino45-19
13Parma45-18
14Cagliari43-13
15Fiorentina42-9
16Genoa41-10
17Lecce38-22
18Cremonese34-25
19Hellas Verona21-36
20Pisa18-45
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegated

2025/26 Season Statistics

Avg Goals / Game
380 matches played (2025/26)
2.43
Over 2.5 Goals
3+ goals in 50.4% of games
50.4%
Both Teams Score
BTTS in 50 of 100 games
49.8%
Home Win Rate
Based on 2025/26 home/away splits
43.7%

Inter Milan scored 89 goals and conceded only 35 to win the Scudetto by 11 points over Napoli, with Roma (3rd) and surprise package Como (4th, their best-ever finish) also securing European football. Hellas Verona and newly promoted Pisa were relegated.

Juventus finished 6th, missing the Champions League places, a result that accelerated a summer of change in Turin ahead of 2026/27.

2026/27 Preview

What to expect in 2026/27?

Allegri arrives at Napoli, big-money strikers land at Milan and Napoli, and Inter back Chivu to keep the Scudetto.

Napoli have appointed Massimiliano Allegri on a contract through June 2029 and signed Rasmus Hojlund from Manchester United for around €44m to lead the attack, alongside goalkeeper Vanja Milinkovic-Savic. AC Milan moved for Goncalo Ramos from PSG for over €70m and added defender Mario Gila from Lazio.

Inter Milan have chosen continuity, extending Cristian Chivu's contract to 2028 after Denzel Dumfries left for Real Madrid, while early markets list Inter as favourites ahead of Juventus, Milan, Napoli and Roma.

How to read predictions
1X2 — home / draw / away win probabilityOver 0.5 HT — at least 1 goal in first halfOver 2.5 FT — 3 or more total goalsBTTS — both teams score

Predictions derived from home/away goal averages via a Poisson model. Fair odds = 1 / probability, no margin.

Round 1106 November 2026

Round 1106 Nov · 19:45 UTC
VeneziaVSUdinese
Venezia
29%
Fair 3.41
Draw
22%
Fair 4.46
Udinese
48%
Fair 2.08
xG 1.43 – 1.88
Over 0.5 HT
77%Fair 1.3
Over 2.5 FT
64%Fair 1.56
BTTS
64%Fair 1.56
Round 1107 Nov · 14:00 UTC
CagliariVSFrosinone
Cagliari
32%
Fair 3.16
Draw
25%
Fair 3.95
Frosinone
43%
Fair 2.32
xG 1.25 – 1.5
Over 0.5 HT
70%Fair 1.43
Over 2.5 FT
52%Fair 1.92
BTTS
55%Fair 1.82
Round 1107 Nov · 14:00 UTC
TorinoVSLecce
Torino
38%
Fair 2.61
Draw
23%
Fair 4.27
Lecce
38%
Fair 2.61
xG 1.6 – 1.6
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
62%Fair 1.61
BTTS
64%Fair 1.56
Round 1107 Nov · 17:00 UTC
ParmaVSBologna
Parma
21%
Fair 4.67
Draw
27%
Fair 3.65
Bologna
51%
Fair 1.96
xG 0.8 – 1.4
Over 0.5 HT
62%Fair 1.61
Over 2.5 FT
38%Fair 2.63
BTTS
41%Fair 2.44
Round 1107 Nov · 19:45 UTC
AS RomaVSSassuolo
AS Roma
70%
Fair 1.44
Draw
17%
Fair 6.05
Sassuolo
14%
Fair 7.19
xG 2.6 – 1.1
Over 0.5 HT
80%Fair 1.25
Over 2.5 FT
71%Fair 1.41
BTTS
62%Fair 1.61
Round 1108 Nov · 11:30 UTC
NapoliVSLazio
Napoli
24%
Fair 4.11
Draw
21%
Fair 4.66
Lazio
54%
Fair 1.84
xG 1.3 – 2.02
Over 0.5 HT
77%Fair 1.3
Over 2.5 FT
65%Fair 1.54
BTTS
63%Fair 1.59
Round 1108 Nov · 14:00 UTC
MonzaVSAtalanta
Monza
52%
Fair 1.92
Draw
20%
Fair 4.96
Atalanta
28%
Fair 3.59
xG 2.25 – 1.63
Over 0.5 HT
82%Fair 1.22
Over 2.5 FT
74%Fair 1.35
BTTS
72%Fair 1.39
Round 1108 Nov · 14:00 UTC
GenoaVSAC Milan
Genoa
28%
Fair 3.58
Draw
26%
Fair 3.83
AC Milan
46%
Fair 2.18
xG 1.08 – 1.47
Over 0.5 HT
67%Fair 1.49
Over 2.5 FT
47%Fair 2.13
BTTS
51%Fair 1.96
Round 1108 Nov · 17:00 UTC
InterVSComo
Inter
50%
Fair 2.02
Draw
20%
Fair 5.01
Como
31%
Fair 3.28
xG 2.28 – 1.78
Over 0.5 HT
83%Fair 1.2
Over 2.5 FT
77%Fair 1.3
BTTS
75%Fair 1.33
Round 1108 Nov · 19:45 UTC
FiorentinaVSJuventus
Fiorentina
25%
Fair 4.07
Draw
24%
Fair 4.16
Juventus
51%
Fair 1.95
xG 1.1 – 1.7
Over 0.5 HT
71%Fair 1.41
Over 2.5 FT
53%Fair 1.89
BTTS
55%Fair 1.82

Round 1221 November 2026

Round 1221 Nov · 14:00 UTC
LazioVSLecce
Lazio
56%
Fair 1.78
Draw
22%
Fair 4.49
Lecce
22%
Fair 4.61
xG 1.9 – 1.1
Over 0.5 HT
73%Fair 1.37
Over 2.5 FT
58%Fair 1.72
BTTS
57%Fair 1.75
Round 1221 Nov · 14:00 UTC
ComoVSCagliari
Como
57%
Fair 1.74
Draw
26%
Fair 3.91
Cagliari
17%
Fair 5.86
xG 1.54 – 0.71
Over 0.5 HT
63%Fair 1.59
Over 2.5 FT
39%Fair 2.56
BTTS
40%Fair 2.5
Round 1221 Nov · 17:00 UTC
ParmaVSAS Roma
Parma
14%
Fair 7.1
Draw
20%
Fair 4.89
AS Roma
65%
Fair 1.53
xG 0.8 – 2
Over 0.5 HT
71%Fair 1.41
Over 2.5 FT
53%Fair 1.89
BTTS
48%Fair 2.08
Round 1221 Nov · 19:45 UTC
NapoliVSTorino
Napoli
44%
Fair 2.28
Draw
24%
Fair 4.1
Torino
32%
Fair 3.15
xG 1.6 – 1.32
Over 0.5 HT
72%Fair 1.39
Over 2.5 FT
56%Fair 1.79
BTTS
59%Fair 1.69
Round 1222 Nov · 11:30 UTC
SassuoloVSGenoa
Sassuolo
38%
Fair 2.6
Draw
22%
Fair 4.51
Genoa
39%
Fair 2.54
xG 1.75 – 1.77
Over 0.5 HT
79%Fair 1.27
Over 2.5 FT
68%Fair 1.47
BTTS
69%Fair 1.45
Round 1222 Nov · 14:00 UTC
AC MilanVSFrosinone
AC Milan
51%
Fair 1.94
Draw
20%
Fair 5.02
Frosinone
29%
Fair 3.5
xG 2.3 – 1.7
Over 0.5 HT
83%Fair 1.2
Over 2.5 FT
76%Fair 1.32
BTTS
74%Fair 1.35
Round 1222 Nov · 17:00 UTC
BolognaVSUdinese
Bologna
40%
Fair 2.52
Draw
23%
Fair 4.42
Udinese
38%
Fair 2.66
xG 1.73 – 1.68
Over 0.5 HT
78%Fair 1.28
Over 2.5 FT
66%Fair 1.52
BTTS
67%Fair 1.49
Round 1222 Nov · 19:45 UTC
AtalantaVSInter
Atalanta
32%
Fair 3.09
Draw
23%
Fair 4.42
Inter
45%
Fair 2.22
xG 1.52 – 1.82
Over 0.5 HT
77%Fair 1.3
Over 2.5 FT
65%Fair 1.54
BTTS
65%Fair 1.54
Round 1223 Nov · 17:30 UTC
MonzaVSFiorentina
Monza
46%
Fair 2.16
Draw
20%
Fair 5.09
Fiorentina
34%
Fair 2.93
xG 2.33 – 2
Over 0.5 HT
85%Fair 1.18
Over 2.5 FT
81%Fair 1.23
BTTS
78%Fair 1.28
Round 1223 Nov · 19:45 UTC
JuventusVSVenezia
Juventus
61%
Fair 1.63
Draw
24%
Fair 4.25
Venezia
15%
Fair 6.65
xG 1.7 – 0.7
Over 0.5 HT
65%Fair 1.54
Over 2.5 FT
43%Fair 2.33
BTTS
41%Fair 2.44

Round 1329 November 2026

Round 1329 Nov · 17:30 UTC
SassuoloVSNapoli
Sassuolo
30%
Fair 3.31
Draw
21%
Fair 4.83
Napoli
49%
Fair 2.04
xG 1.67 – 2.15
Over 0.5 HT
81%Fair 1.23
Over 2.5 FT
73%Fair 1.37
BTTS
72%Fair 1.39
Round 1329 Nov · 17:30 UTC
CagliariVSAC Milan
Cagliari
22%
Fair 4.64
Draw
29%
Fair 3.47
AC Milan
50%
Fair 2.01
xG 0.75 – 1.3
Over 0.5 HT
59%Fair 1.69
Over 2.5 FT
34%Fair 2.94
BTTS
38%Fair 2.63
Round 1329 Nov · 17:30 UTC
ComoVSJuventus
Como
48%
Fair 2.08
Draw
30%
Fair 3.34
Juventus
22%
Fair 4.56
xG 1.23 – 0.72
Over 0.5 HT
58%Fair 1.72
Over 2.5 FT
31%Fair 3.23
BTTS
36%Fair 2.78
Round 1329 Nov · 17:30 UTC
FrosinoneVSParma
Frosinone
65%
Fair 1.53
Draw
19%
Fair 5.24
Parma
16%
Fair 6.38
xG 2.23 – 1
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
56%Fair 1.79
Round 1329 Nov · 17:30 UTC
TorinoVSLazio
Torino
14%
Fair 7.13
Draw
18%
Fair 5.67
Lazio
68%
Fair 1.46
xG 1 – 2.4
Over 0.5 HT
78%Fair 1.28
Over 2.5 FT
66%Fair 1.52
BTTS
57%Fair 1.75
Round 1329 Nov · 17:30 UTC
UdineseVSFiorentina
Udinese
27%
Fair 3.68
Draw
21%
Fair 4.85
Fiorentina
52%
Fair 1.92
xG 1.53 – 2.17
Over 0.5 HT
80%Fair 1.25
Over 2.5 FT
71%Fair 1.41
BTTS
69%Fair 1.45
Round 1329 Nov · 17:30 UTC
InterVSGenoa
Inter
68%
Fair 1.48
Draw
18%
Fair 5.69
Genoa
15%
Fair 6.72
xG 2.45 – 1.07
Over 0.5 HT
79%Fair 1.27
Over 2.5 FT
68%Fair 1.47
BTTS
60%Fair 1.67
Round 1329 Nov · 17:30 UTC
LecceVSAtalanta
Lecce
35%
Fair 2.88
Draw
22%
Fair 4.47
Atalanta
43%
Fair 2.33
xG 1.63 – 1.82
Over 0.5 HT
78%Fair 1.28
Over 2.5 FT
67%Fair 1.49
BTTS
67%Fair 1.49
Round 1329 Nov · 17:30 UTC
AS RomaVSMonza
AS Roma
70%
Fair 1.42
Draw
16%
Fair 6.3
Monza
14%
Fair 7.24
xG 2.73 – 1.17
Over 0.5 HT
82%Fair 1.22
Over 2.5 FT
75%Fair 1.33
BTTS
64%Fair 1.56
Round 1329 Nov · 17:30 UTC
VeneziaVSBologna
Venezia
16%
Fair 6.17
Draw
23%
Fair 4.42
Bologna
61%
Fair 1.64
xG 0.8 – 1.8
Over 0.5 HT
68%Fair 1.47
Over 2.5 FT
48%Fair 2.08
BTTS
46%Fair 2.17

Predictions will be computed using the Poisson model from home/away goal averages once the 2026/27 season kicks off. For illustration only — not financial advice.

How predictions work

MatchPulse uses a Poisson-based model that converts each team's home and away goal-scoring and conceding averages into an expected goals (xG) projection for 1X2, Over/Under and BTTS markets. Once the 2026/27 season begins, this page updates automatically round by round with live standings and predictions.

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