FC Cincinnati vs DC United — Major League Soccer
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FC Cincinnati and DC United meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 21 October 2026. FC Cincinnati have recorded 15 wins from 37 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 2.30 goals scored and 2.03 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. DC United have won 21% of their 29 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.26 for FC Cincinnati and 1.49 for DC United. The models give FC Cincinnati a 57% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an DC United win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| FC Cincinnati | Home | Away | DC United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 95% | 83% | 66% | 69% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 79% | 44% | 34% | 38% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 41% | 58% | 22% | 10% | 13% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 5% | 17% | 34% | 31% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Cincinnati | Home | Away | DC United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 68% | 94% | 72% | 75% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 42% | 67% | 45% | 56% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 35% | 26% | 44% | 24% | 25% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 32% | 6% | 28% | 25% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Cincinnati | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 59% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 14% |
| BTTS | 70% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Cincinnati | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 73% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 59% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | FC Cincinnati | DC United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 87% | 83% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 78% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 74% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 52% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 37% | 48% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 43% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 35% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 22% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Cincinnati | DC United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 52% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | +29 | 54 | |
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 | |
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | +15 | 45 | |
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 43 | |
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 43 | |
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 | |
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 41 | |
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 40 | |
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 41 | |
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +10 | 39 | |
| 6 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +14 | 40 | |
| 6 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -12 | 34 | |
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | +1 | 35 | |
| 7 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 33 | |
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 33 | |
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 32 | |
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | +5 | 32 | |
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 30 | |
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 32 | |
| 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 30 | |
| 11 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | -7 | 29 | |
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 | |
| 13 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -12 | 29 | |
| 13 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 23 | |
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 | |
| 14 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -14 | 23 | |
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 21 | |
| 15 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -33 | 18 |
Team Insights
- ●FC Cincinnati have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 13 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●63% of FC Cincinnati's goals have been scored at home.
- ●DC United have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●DC United failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●DC United failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 away matches.