New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC — Major League Soccer
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New York City FC and Los Angeles FC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 17 October 2026. New York City FC have recorded 12 wins from 37 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.54 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Los Angeles FC have won 45% of their 42 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for New York City FC and 1.39 for Los Angeles FC. The models give New York City FC a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Los Angeles FC win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| New York | Home | Away | Los Angeles | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 83% | 79% | 86% | 91% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 56% | 26% | 43% | 43% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 28% | 11% | 19% | 26% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 17% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| New York | Home | Away | Los Angeles | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 72% | 89% | 57% | 48% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 44% | 37% | 26% | 13% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 17% | 0% | 12% | 9% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 28% | 11% | 43% | 52% | 32% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| New York | Los Angeles | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 12% |
| BTTS | 65% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| New York | Los Angeles | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 51% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 49% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 51% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | New York | Los Angeles | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 69% | 89% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 55% | 76% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 48% | 65% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 31% | 59% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 28% | 57% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 51% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 30% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 19% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | New York | Los Angeles |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.6 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 62% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 41% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 31% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 66% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 46% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | +29 | 54 | |
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 | |
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | +15 | 45 | |
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 43 | |
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 43 | |
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 | |
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 41 | |
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 40 | |
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 41 | |
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +10 | 39 | |
| 6 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +14 | 40 | |
| 6 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -12 | 34 | |
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | +1 | 35 | |
| 7 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 33 | |
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 33 | |
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 32 | |
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | +5 | 32 | |
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 30 | |
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 32 | |
| 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 30 | |
| 11 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | -7 | 29 | |
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 | |
| 13 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -12 | 29 | |
| 13 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 23 | |
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 | |
| 14 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -14 | 23 | |
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 21 | |
| 15 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -33 | 18 |
Team Insights
- ●New York City FC have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●New York City FC have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●New York City FC have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●New York City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●New York City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●New York City FC have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●67% of New York City FC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●New York City FC have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Los Angeles FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Los Angeles FC have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Los Angeles FC have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.