Orlando City SC vs DC United — Major League Soccer
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Orlando City SC and DC United meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Orlando City SC have recorded 15 wins from 37 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.84 goals scored and 2.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. DC United have won 21% of their 29 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for Orlando City SC and 1.29 for DC United. The models give Orlando City SC a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an DC United win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Orlando City | Home | Away | DC United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 95% | 76% | 66% | 69% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 50% | 59% | 34% | 38% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 25% | 29% | 10% | 13% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 5% | 24% | 34% | 31% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Orlando City | Home | Away | DC United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 85% | 88% | 72% | 75% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 50% | 76% | 45% | 56% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 35% | 15% | 59% | 24% | 25% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 15% | 12% | 28% | 25% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Orlando City | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 46% | 14% |
| BTTS | 73% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Orlando City | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 51% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Orlando City | DC United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 83% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 78% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 74% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 52% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 48% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 39% | 43% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 35% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 29% | 22% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Orlando City | DC United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 68% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 39% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 96% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 79% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 68% | 52% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | +29 | 54 | |
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 | |
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | +15 | 45 | |
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 43 | |
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 43 | |
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 | |
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 41 | |
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 40 | |
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 41 | |
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +10 | 39 | |
| 6 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +14 | 40 | |
| 6 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -12 | 34 | |
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | +1 | 35 | |
| 7 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 33 | |
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 33 | |
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 32 | |
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | +5 | 32 | |
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 30 | |
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 32 | |
| 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 30 | |
| 11 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | -7 | 29 | |
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 | |
| 13 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -12 | 29 | |
| 13 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 23 | |
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 | |
| 14 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -14 | 23 | |
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 21 | |
| 15 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -33 | 18 |
Team Insights
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●72% of Orlando City SC's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●DC United have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●DC United failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●DC United failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 away matches.