New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire — Major League Soccer
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New England Revolution and Chicago Fire meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 17 October 2026. New England Revolution have recorded 27 wins from 46 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 2.02 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Chicago Fire have won 47% of their 36 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for New England Revolution and 1.59 for Chicago Fire. The models give New England Revolution a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Chicago Fire win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
New England Revolution—
Chicago Fire3º
Position
5º
1.72
PPG
1.63
52%
Win %
46%
1.64
Goals / game
1.88
1.24
Conceded / game
1.46
67%
BTTS %
72%
20%
Clean sheet %
28%
74%
Over 2.5 %
72%
4.3
Avg corners
4.6
12.2
Avg shots
14.4
4.7
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
9.9
Avg fouls
12.6
50.2%
Avg possession
52.1%
Home vs Away
New England Revolution
Home (12)
—
Chicago Fire
Away (12)
2.17
PPG
1.42
67%
Win %
33%
1.83
Goals / game
1.92
0.92
Conceded / game
1.75
65%
BTTS %
75%
23%
Clean sheet %
25%
69%
Over 2.5 %
70%
4.3
Avg corners
4.6
12.2
Avg shots
14.4
4.7
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
50.2%
Avg possession
52.1%
Goals Scored
| New England | Home | Away | Chicago Fire | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 85% | 85% | 92% | 100% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 58% | 60% | 58% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 31% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 15% | 15% | 8% | 0% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| New England | Home | Away | Chicago Fire | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 77% | 85% | 72% | 69% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 27% | 40% | 42% | 38% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 23% | 15% | 28% | 31% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| New England | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 19% |
| BTTS | 67% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 41% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| New England | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 59% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
New England (H)D
New York City FC1–1
New York City FC1–1L
Houston Dynamo0–2
Houston Dynamo0–2W
Atlanta United FC4–1
Atlanta United FC4–1D
Toronto FC0–0
Toronto FC0–0W
Blackwatch Rush1–0
Blackwatch Rush1–0W
Boston City4–2
Boston City4–2Chicago Fire (A)DToronto FC4–4
Toronto FC4–4D
Seattle Sounders2–2
Seattle Sounders2–2L
Monterrey1–2
Monterrey1–2D
New York Red Bulls1–1
New York Red Bulls1–1W
Orlando City SC2–1
Orlando City SC2–1W
Cruz Azul2–1
Cruz Azul2–1Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
25 games
League Avg
9.9
368 games
9.4
Corners / Match
28 games
| Match Corners | New England | Chicago Fire | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 79% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 84% | 71% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 72% | 64% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 39% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 32% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 32% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 24% | 18% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 14% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | New England | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 52% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 80% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 68% | 46% |
Head to Head · 38 matches
14
New England
37%
13
Draws
34%
11
Chicago Fire
29%
84%
Over 1.5
32/38
61%
Over 2.5
23/38
39%
Over 3.5
15/38
68%
BTTS
26/38
13/09/26New England Revolution
Chicago Fire
1–2New England Revolution18/10/25Chicago Fire
New England Revolution
2–2Chicago Fire07/09/25New England Revolution
Chicago Fire
3–2New England Revolution20/05/25Chicago Fire
New England Revolution
1–3Chicago Fire05/05/24New England Revolution
Chicago Fire
0–1New England Revolution23/03/24Chicago Fire
New England Revolution
1–1Chicago Fire24/09/23New England Revolution
Chicago Fire
2–2New England Revolution27/05/23Chicago Fire
New England Revolution
3–3Chicago Fire09/10/22New England Revolution
Chicago Fire
1–1New England Revolution31/08/22Chicago Fire
New England Revolution
0–0Chicago Fire16/10/21Chicago Fire
New England Revolution
2–2Chicago Fire23/09/21New England Revolution
Chicago Fire
2–3New England Revolution18/04/21New England Revolution
Chicago Fire
2–2New England Revolution06/09/20New England Revolution
Chicago Fire
1–2New England Revolution07/03/20Chicago Fire
New England Revolution
1–1Chicago Fire24/08/19Chicago Fire
New England Revolution
2–1Chicago Fire09/05/19New England Revolution
Chicago Fire
5–0New England Revolution22/09/18Chicago Fire
New England Revolution
2–2Chicago Fire10/06/18New England Revolution
Chicago Fire
1–1New England Revolution06/08/17New England Revolution
Chicago Fire
4–1New England Revolution| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | +29 | 54 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | +15 | 45 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 43 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 43 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 41 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 40 |
| 5 |  St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 41 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +10 | 39 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +14 | 40 |
| 6 | Orlando City SC | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -12 | 34 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | +1 | 35 |
| 7 |  Philadelphia Union | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 33 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 32 |
| 8 |  Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 |  San Diego | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -15 | 30 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 29 |
| 11 |  DC United | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 |  Austin | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 21 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -33 | 18 |
Team Insights
New England- ●New England Revolution have won their last 2 matches.
- ●New England Revolution failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●New England Revolution have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●New England Revolution have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●New England Revolution failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●65% of New England Revolution's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●New England Revolution have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.
Chicago Fire- ●Chicago Fire have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in each of their last 21 matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in 12 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in 11 of their 12 away matches.
Season Schedule
New EnglandWAChicago Fire2–1
Chicago Fire2–1WANew York City FC2–1
New York City FC2–1LALos Angeles Galaxy1–2
Los Angeles Galaxy1–2WAColumbus Crew3–1
Columbus Crew3–1DHNew York City FC1–1
New York City FC1–1WADC United3–0
DC United3–0–HOrlando City SC19/09
Orlando City SC19/09–AReal Salt Lake27/09
Real Salt Lake27/09–HSeattle Sounders10/10
Seattle Sounders10/10Chicago FireLHNew England Revolution1–2
New England Revolution1–2DHInter Miami1–1
Inter Miami1–1DAToronto FC4–4
Toronto FC4–4DASeattle Sounders2–2
Seattle Sounders2–2DANew York Red Bulls1–1
New York Red Bulls1–1WAOrlando City SC2–1
Orlando City SC2–1–ANashville SC20/09
Nashville SC20/09–ACharlotte26/09
Charlotte26/09–HVancouver Whitecaps07/10
Vancouver Whitecaps07/10Top Scorers
New EnglandC. Gil8 ⚽
D. Turgeman7 ⚽
A. Yusuf5 ⚽
P. Miller4 ⚽
L. Langoni3 ⚽
B. Ceballos2 ⚽
Chicago FireH. Cuypers13 ⚽
P. Zinckernagel7 ⚽
M. Haile-Selassie5 ⚽
R. Lewandowski5 ⚽
R. Lod5 ⚽
P. Dithejane4 ⚽
Cards Given
New EnglandBrooklyn Raines6 🟨
Matt Polster4 🟨
Mamadou Fofana3 🟨
Carles Gil3 🟨
Griffin Yow3 🟨
William Sands3 🟨
Chicago FireJ. Waterman7 🟨
Dje Tah D'Avilla5 🟨
A. Saletros5 🟨
Jack Elliott4 🟨
A. Gutman3 🟨
Jonathan Dean3 🟨