New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami — Major League Soccer
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New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 24 October 2026. New York Red Bulls have recorded 12 wins from 34 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Inter Miami have won 46% of their 35 matches, with 2.20 goals scored and 1.74 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 77%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for New York Red Bulls and 2.03 for Inter Miami. The models give New York Red Bulls a 31% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Inter Miami win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
New York Red Bulls—
Inter Miami8º
Position
2º
1.27
PPG
1.80
35%
Win %
48%
1.31
Goals / game
2.44
1.85
Conceded / game
1.84
65%
BTTS %
77%
15%
Clean sheet %
17%
65%
Over 2.5 %
74%
5.6
Avg corners
5.4
13.2
Avg shots
15.1
4.7
Avg shots on target
6.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.6
12.2
Avg fouls
12.6
51.8%
Avg possession
56.3%
Home vs Away
New York Red Bulls
Home (12)
—
Inter Miami
Away (13)
1.25
PPG
2.08
33%
Win %
62%
1.50
Goals / game
2.15
1.92
Conceded / game
1.69
61%
BTTS %
67%
11%
Clean sheet %
22%
67%
Over 2.5 %
72%
5.6
Avg corners
5.4
13.2
Avg shots
15.1
4.7
Avg shots on target
6.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.6
51.8%
Avg possession
56.3%
Goals Scored
| New York | Home | Away | Inter Miami | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 72% | 81% | 89% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 39% | 38% | 69% | 76% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 39% | 6% | 29% | 29% | 28% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 28% | 19% | 11% | 0% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| New York | Home | Away | Inter Miami | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 89% | 81% | 83% | 88% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 59% | 61% | 56% | 63% | 71% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 33% | 31% | 20% | 18% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| New York | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 34% |
| BTTS | 65% | 77% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 34% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 69% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| New York | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 69% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 52% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 66% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
New York (H)L
Philadelphia Union1–3
Philadelphia Union1–3D
Chicago Fire1–1
Chicago Fire1–1L
Nashville SC0–1
Nashville SC0–1W
Orlando City SC3–2
Orlando City SC3–2L
Charlotte0–2
Charlotte0–2D
New York City FC1–1
New York City FC1–1Inter Miami (A)DChicago Fire1–1
Chicago Fire1–1DPhiladelphia Union2–2
Philadelphia Union2–2LNashville SC1–4
Nashville SC1–4W
CF Montreal1–0
CF Montreal1–0W
FC Cincinnati5–3
FC Cincinnati5–3W
Toronto FC4–2
Toronto FC4–2Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
25 games
League Avg
10.0
369 games
9.4
Corners / Match
29 games
| Match Corners | New York | Inter Miami | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 84% | 83% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 69% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 76% | 52% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 64% | 45% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 34% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 48% | 31% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 32% | 17% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 28% | 14% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | New York | Inter Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 72% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 31% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
6
New York
46%
1
Draws
8%
6
Inter Miami
46%
85%
Over 1.5
11/13
69%
Over 2.5
9/13
62%
Over 3.5
8/13
54%
BTTS
7/13
11/04/26New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
2–2New York Red Bulls19/07/25Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
1–5Inter Miami03/05/25New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
4–1New York Red Bulls04/05/24New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
6–2New York Red Bulls23/03/24Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
4–0Inter Miami26/08/23Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
0–2Inter Miami31/05/23New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
0–1New York Red Bulls27/08/22Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
3–1Inter Miami22/05/22New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
2–0New York Red Bulls09/10/21Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
1–0Inter Miami17/09/21New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
0–4New York Red Bulls07/10/20Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
1–2Inter Miami24/09/20New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
1–4New York Red Bulls| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | +29 | 54 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | +15 | 45 |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 43 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 43 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 41 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 40 |
| 5 |  St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 41 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +10 | 39 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +14 | 40 |
| 6 | Orlando City SC | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -12 | 34 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | +1 | 35 |
| 7 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 33 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 33 |
| 8 |  Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | +5 | 32 |
| 9 |  San Diego | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 |  DC United | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 |  Austin | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 21 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -33 | 18 |
Team Insights
New York- ●New York Red Bulls have won their last 2 matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
Inter Miami- ●Inter Miami have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Inter Miami have scored in each of their last 21 matches.
- ●Inter Miami have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami have scored in 12 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Inter Miami have won 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Inter Miami have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●60% of Inter Miami's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
New YorkWANew York City FC1–0
New York City FC1–0WAColumbus Crew1–0
Columbus Crew1–0LALos Angeles FC0–2
Los Angeles FC0–2DASeattle Sounders0–0
Seattle Sounders0–0LHPhiladelphia Union1–3
Philadelphia Union1–3DHChicago Fire1–1
Chicago Fire1–1–HSt. Louis City26/09
St. Louis City26/09–HSan Diego10/10
San Diego10/10–ADC United14/10
DC United14/10Inter MiamiDHNashville SC2–2
Nashville SC2–2DAChicago Fire1–1
Chicago Fire1–1DHAtlanta United FC2–2
Atlanta United FC2–2WHCF Montreal7–1
CF Montreal7–1LHToronto FC1–2
Toronto FC1–2DAPhiladelphia Union2–2
Philadelphia Union2–2–HSan Diego20/09
San Diego20/09–AColumbus Crew27/09
Columbus Crew27/09–HDC United10/10
DC United10/10Top Scorers
New YorkJ. Hall13 ⚽
J. Ruvalcaba7 ⚽
E. Forsberg4 ⚽
E. M. Choupo-Moting3 ⚽
M. Jimenez2 ⚽
C. Cowell2 ⚽
Inter MiamiL. Messi23 ⚽
L. Suarez12 ⚽
G. Berterame8 ⚽
R. de Paul5 ⚽
T. Segovia4 ⚽
M. Silvetti3 ⚽
Cards Given
New YorkRonald Donkor7 🟨
M. Sofo4 🟨
Adri Mehmeti4 🟨
Jorge Ruvalcaba4 🟨
A. Mehmeti4 🟨
Omar Valencia4 🟨
Inter MiamiTelasco Segovia8 🟨
I. Fray5 🟨
Micael5 🟨
Germán Berterame5 🟨
Casemiro4 🟨
Dayne St. Clair4 🟨