Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire — Major League Soccer
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Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Atlanta United FC have recorded 11 wins from 33 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Chicago Fire have won 46% of their 37 matches, with 1.76 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Atlanta United FC and 1.87 for Chicago Fire. The models give Atlanta United FC a 33% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Chicago Fire win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Atlanta United FC—
Chicago Fire14º
Position
5º
0.92
PPG
1.63
24%
Win %
46%
1.16
Goals / game
1.88
1.72
Conceded / game
1.46
61%
BTTS %
70%
18%
Clean sheet %
27%
58%
Over 2.5 %
73%
5.2
Avg corners
4.6
13.2
Avg shots
14.4
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.3
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.5
Avg fouls
12.6
51.9%
Avg possession
52.1%
Home vs Away
Atlanta United FC
Home (12)
—
Chicago Fire
Away (12)
1.08
PPG
1.42
33%
Win %
33%
1.42
Goals / game
1.92
1.75
Conceded / game
1.75
67%
BTTS %
71%
20%
Clean sheet %
24%
73%
Over 2.5 %
71%
5.2
Avg corners
4.6
13.2
Avg shots
14.4
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.3
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
51.9%
Avg possession
52.1%
Goals Scored
| Atlanta United | Home | Away | Chicago Fire | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 73% | 67% | 89% | 100% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 53% | 39% | 57% | 56% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 27% | 6% | 22% | 25% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 27% | 33% | 11% | 0% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlanta United | Home | Away | Chicago Fire | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 80% | 83% | 73% | 69% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 53% | 44% | 43% | 38% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 20% | 17% | 22% | 19% | 24% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 20% | 17% | 27% | 31% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlanta United | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 19% |
| BTTS | 61% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlanta United | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlanta United (H)L
Orlando City SC2–3
Orlando City SC2–3L
Charlotte0–2
Charlotte0–2W
Sporting Kansas City2–1
Sporting Kansas City2–1W
New York Red Bulls2–1
New York Red Bulls2–1L
Los Angeles Galaxy1–2
Los Angeles Galaxy1–2W
CF Montreal3–1
CF Montreal3–1Chicago Fire (A)L
Nashville SC0–3
Nashville SC0–3D
Toronto FC4–4
Toronto FC4–4D
Seattle Sounders2–2
Seattle Sounders2–2L
Monterrey1–2
Monterrey1–2DNew York Red Bulls1–1
New York Red Bulls1–1WOrlando City SC2–1
Orlando City SC2–1Number of Corners
10.5
Corners / Match
24 games
League Avg
10.0
369 games
9.4
Corners / Match
28 games
| Match Corners | Atlanta United | Chicago Fire | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 79% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 71% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 64% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 39% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 32% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 18% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 21% | 14% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atlanta United | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 83% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 46% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
8
Atlanta United
42%
4
Draws
21%
7
Chicago Fire
37%
79%
Over 1.5
15/19
63%
Over 2.5
12/19
32%
Over 3.5
6/19
47%
BTTS
9/19
12/04/26Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
1–0Atlanta United FC16/07/25Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
2–2Chicago Fire10/05/25Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
2–1Atlanta United FC28/04/24Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
0–0Atlanta United FC31/03/24Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
3–0Chicago Fire21/05/23Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
3–3Atlanta United FC23/04/23Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
2–1Chicago Fire30/07/22Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
0–0Atlanta United FC07/05/22Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
4–1Chicago Fire04/07/21Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
3–0Atlanta United FC25/04/21Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
3–1Chicago Fire27/09/20Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
2–0Atlanta United FC04/07/19Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
5–1Atlanta United FC01/06/19Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
2–0Chicago Fire21/10/18Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
2–1Chicago Fire20/06/18Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
0–1Chicago Fire06/05/18Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
1–2Atlanta United FC10/06/17Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
2–0Atlanta United FC18/03/17Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
4–0Chicago Fire| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | +29 | 54 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | +15 | 45 |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 43 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 43 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 41 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 40 |
| 5 |  St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 41 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +10 | 39 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +14 | 40 |
| 6 | Orlando City SC | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -12 | 34 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | +1 | 35 |
| 7 |  Philadelphia Union | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 33 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 33 |
| 8 |  Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 |  New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | +5 | 32 |
| 9 |  San Diego | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 |  FC Cincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 |  DC United | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 |  Austin | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 21 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -33 | 18 |
Team Insights
Atlanta United- ●Atlanta United FC have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have lost 7 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Chicago Fire- ●Chicago Fire have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in 12 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
Atlanta UnitedWAPortland Timbers1–0
Portland Timbers1–0DADC United0–0
DC United0–0LHOrlando City SC2–3
Orlando City SC2–3DAInter Miami2–2
Inter Miami2–2LHCharlotte0–2
Charlotte0–2WHSporting Kansas City2–1
Sporting Kansas City2–1–HNew York City FC26/09
New York City FC26/09–HFC Cincinnati10/10
FC Cincinnati10/10–ACF Montreal14/10
CF Montreal14/10Chicago FireLANashville SC0–3
Nashville SC0–3LHNew England Revolution1–2
New England Revolution1–2DHInter Miami1–1
Inter Miami1–1DAToronto FC4–4
Toronto FC4–4DASeattle Sounders2–2
Seattle Sounders2–2DANew York Red Bulls1–1
New York Red Bulls1–1–ACharlotte26/09
Charlotte26/09–HVancouver Whitecaps07/10
Vancouver Whitecaps07/10–HNew York City FC10/10
New York City FC10/10Top Scorers
Atlanta UnitedA. Miranchuk7 ⚽
F. Picault4 ⚽
T. Muyumba4 ⚽
T. Jacob3 ⚽
M. Almiron3 ⚽
E. Latte Lath3 ⚽
Chicago FireH. Cuypers13 ⚽
P. Zinckernagel7 ⚽
M. Haile-Selassie5 ⚽
R. Lewandowski5 ⚽
R. Lod5 ⚽
P. Dithejane4 ⚽
Cards Given
Atlanta UnitedTomás Jacob7 🟨
Tristan Muyumba4 🟨
Cooper Sanchez4 🟨
Enea Mihaj4 🟨
C. Sanchez4 🟨
Elías Báez3 🟨
Chicago FireJ. Waterman7 🟨
Dje Tah D'Avilla5 🟨
A. Saletros5 🟨
Jack Elliott4 🟨
A. Gutman3 🟨
Jonathan Dean3 🟨