Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC — Major League Soccer
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Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United FC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Houston Dynamo have recorded 22 wins from 38 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.66 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Minnesota United FC have won 26% of their 34 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.86 for Houston Dynamo and 1.44 for Minnesota United FC. The models give Houston Dynamo a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Minnesota United FC win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Houston Dynamo—
Minnesota United FC2º
Position
12º
1.72
PPG
1.16
52%
Win %
28%
1.28
Goals / game
1.48
1.12
Conceded / game
1.72
53%
BTTS %
65%
34%
Clean sheet %
26%
50%
Over 2.5 %
62%
4.2
Avg corners
5.5
13.2
Avg shots
13.2
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
10.6
Avg fouls
12.7
47.8%
Avg possession
47.0%
Home vs Away
Houston Dynamo
Home (12)
—
Minnesota United FC
Away (13)
2.17
PPG
1.31
67%
Win %
38%
1.25
Goals / game
1.92
0.67
Conceded / game
2.31
55%
BTTS %
68%
36%
Clean sheet %
26%
50%
Over 2.5 %
74%
4.2
Avg corners
5.5
13.2
Avg shots
13.2
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
47.8%
Avg possession
47.0%
Goals Scored
| Houston Dynamo | Home | Away | Minnesota United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 86% | 75% | 76% | 73% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 55% | 50% | 41% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 27% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 14% | 25% | 24% | 27% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Houston Dynamo | Home | Away | Minnesota United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 64% | 69% | 74% | 73% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 23% | 44% | 47% | 40% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 19% | 21% | 13% | 26% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 36% | 31% | 26% | 27% | 26% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Houston Dynamo | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 24% |
| BTTS | 53% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Houston Dynamo | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 49% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Houston Dynamo (H)D
FC Cincinnati2–2
FC Cincinnati2–2W
Real Salt Lake2–1
Real Salt Lake2–1D
San Jose Earthquakes0–0
San Jose Earthquakes0–0W
Los Angeles Galaxy1–0
Los Angeles Galaxy1–0W
Austin3–0
Austin3–0D
DC United1–1
DC United1–1Minnesota United (A)L
St. Louis City2–4
St. Louis City2–4L
Portland Timbers4–5
Portland Timbers4–5WSan Jose Earthquakes5–1
San Jose Earthquakes5–1DReal Salt Lake1–1
Real Salt Lake1–1D
Tigres UANL0–0
Tigres UANL0–0L
Sporting Kansas City1–2
Sporting Kansas City1–2Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
25 games
League Avg
10.0
369 games
10.5
Corners / Match
28 games
| Match Corners | Houston Dynamo | Minnesota United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 72% | 96% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 75% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 68% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 36% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 28% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 21% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 18% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Houston Dynamo | Minnesota United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 84% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 43% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
8
Houston Dynamo
33%
5
Draws
21%
11
Minnesota United
46%
83%
Over 1.5
20/24
63%
Over 2.5
15/24
25%
Over 3.5
6/24
50%
BTTS
12/24
26/06/25Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United FC
3–1Houston Dynamo15/05/25Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
2–0Minnesota United FC14/07/24Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
1–1Minnesota United FC14/04/24Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United FC
1–2Houston Dynamo13/07/23Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
0–3Minnesota United FC24/05/23Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
4–0Minnesota United FC18/05/23Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United FC
1–0Houston Dynamo27/08/22Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United FC
2–1Houston Dynamo24/07/22Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
1–2Minnesota United FC26/09/21Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United FC
2–0Houston Dynamo29/08/21Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
1–2Minnesota United FC08/08/21Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United FC
2–0Houston Dynamo19/10/20Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United FC
2–2Houston Dynamo20/09/20Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
2–2Minnesota United FC03/09/20Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
3–0Minnesota United FC12/09/19Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
2–0Minnesota United FC18/06/19Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
2–3Minnesota United FC26/05/19Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United FC
1–0Houston Dynamo08/07/18Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
3–0Minnesota United FC19/06/18Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
1–0Minnesota United FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | +29 | 54 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | +15 | 45 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 43 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 43 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 41 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 40 |
| 5 | St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 41 |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +10 | 39 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +14 | 40 |
| 6 |  Orlando City SC | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -12 | 34 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | +1 | 35 |
| 7 |  Philadelphia Union | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 33 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 33 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 |  New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | +5 | 32 |
| 9 |  San Diego | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | DC United | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Austin | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 21 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -33 | 18 |
Team Insights
Houston Dynamo- ●Houston Dynamo have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Houston Dynamo have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Houston Dynamo have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●67% of Houston Dynamo's goals conceded were conceded away.
Minnesota United- ●Minnesota United FC have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have failed to win in their last 10 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●64% of Minnesota United FC's goals have been scored away.
- ●65% of Minnesota United FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Houston DynamoDHFC Cincinnati2–2
FC Cincinnati2–2LASan Jose Earthquakes0–1
San Jose Earthquakes0–1WHReal Salt Lake2–1
Real Salt Lake2–1DACharlotte0–0
Charlotte0–0DHSan Jose Earthquakes0–0
San Jose Earthquakes0–0LASt. Louis City1–2
St. Louis City1–2–HSporting Kansas City27/09
Sporting Kansas City27/09–AMinnesota United FC11/10
Minnesota United FC11/10–ASan Diego15/10
San Diego15/10Minnesota UnitedLHLos Angeles Galaxy2–3
Los Angeles Galaxy2–3LASt. Louis City2–4
St. Louis City2–4LHFC Dallas1–2
FC Dallas1–2LAPortland Timbers4–5
Portland Timbers4–5DHOrlando City SC3–3
Orlando City SC3–3WASan Jose Earthquakes5–1
San Jose Earthquakes5–1–ASeattle Sounders27/09
Seattle Sounders27/09–HHouston Dynamo11/10
Houston Dynamo11/10–AColorado Rapids15/10
Colorado Rapids15/10Top Scorers
Houston DynamoGuilherme14 ⚽
M. Bogusz8 ⚽
L. Ennali3 ⚽
I. Aliyu2 ⚽
E. Sviatchenko2 ⚽
E. Ponce2 ⚽
Minnesota UnitedK. Yeboah12 ⚽
A. Markanich6 ⚽
J. Pereyra5 ⚽
T. Chancalay4 ⚽
M. Caldeira3 ⚽
M. Gonzalez3 ⚽
Cards Given
Houston DynamoFelipe Andrade7 🟨
L. Ennali6 🟨
Agustin Resch4 🟨
Lucas Halter4 🟨
Artur4 🟨
A. Bouzat3 🟨
Minnesota UnitedJefferson Díaz6 🟨
Morris Duggan5 🟨
Kyle Duncan5 🟨
Joaquín Pereyra3 🟨
J. Pereyra3 🟨
A. Markanich3 🟨