Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City — Major League Soccer
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Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Real Salt Lake have recorded 14 wins from 38 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.61 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 66% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. St. Louis City have won 50% of their 36 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Real Salt Lake and 1.52 for St. Louis City. The models give Real Salt Lake a 37% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an St. Louis City win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Real Salt Lake—
St. Louis City11º
Position
2º
1.14
PPG
1.79
32%
Win %
50%
1.46
Goals / game
1.93
1.64
Conceded / game
1.36
66%
BTTS %
67%
13%
Clean sheet %
19%
68%
Over 2.5 %
64%
4.6
Avg corners
5.4
13.7
Avg shots
13.6
5.3
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.3
Avg fouls
14.2
49.0%
Avg possession
52.5%
Home vs Away
Real Salt Lake
Home (14)
—
St. Louis City
Away (14)
1.86
PPG
1.43
57%
Win %
36%
1.93
Goals / game
1.43
1.43
Conceded / game
1.36
53%
BTTS %
61%
26%
Clean sheet %
17%
68%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.6
Avg corners
5.4
13.7
Avg shots
13.6
5.3
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.2
49.0%
Avg possession
52.5%
Goals Scored
| Real Salt | Home | Away | St. Louis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 79% | 79% | 86% | 94% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 68% | 26% | 56% | 72% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 42% | 11% | 36% | 44% | 28% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Salt | Home | Away | St. Louis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 74% | 100% | 81% | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 37% | 63% | 39% | 39% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 11% | 21% | 14% | 11% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 26% | 0% | 19% | 22% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Salt | St. Louis | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS | 66% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Salt | St. Louis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 51% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 34% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 49% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 34% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Salt (H)W
New England Revolution3–0
New England Revolution3–0L
Vancouver Whitecaps0–3
Vancouver Whitecaps0–3L
New York City FC0–2
New York City FC0–2D
Los Angeles FC2–2
Los Angeles FC2–2L
FC Dallas3–4
FC Dallas3–4D
Minnesota United FC1–1
Minnesota United FC1–1St. Louis (A)W
New York Red Bulls3–0
New York Red Bulls3–0W
Colorado Rapids3–0
Colorado Rapids3–0D
Portland Timbers2–2
Portland Timbers2–2WVancouver Whitecaps3–1
Vancouver Whitecaps3–1D
Sporting Kansas City1–1
Sporting Kansas City1–1W
San Jose Earthquakes3–1
San Jose Earthquakes3–1Number of Corners
10.4
Corners / Match
32 games
League Avg
10.0
416 games
10.0
Corners / Match
28 games
| Match Corners | Real Salt | St. Louis | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 86% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 79% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 75% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 57% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 34% | 29% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 28% | 21% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 16% | 11% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Real Salt | St. Louis |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 84% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 81% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 59% | 46% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
3
Real Salt
38%
4
Draws
50%
1
St. Louis
13%
100%
Over 1.5
8/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
63%
Over 3.5
5/8
88%
BTTS
7/8
02/08/26Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
1–1Real Salt Lake19/10/25Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
2–2Real Salt Lake06/07/25St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
3–2St. Louis City05/02/25Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
1–1Real Salt Lake31/03/24St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
3–1St. Louis City25/02/24Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
1–1Real Salt Lake22/06/23Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
1–3Real Salt Lake26/03/23St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
0–4St. Louis City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +37 | 63 |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 48 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +11 | 42 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 33 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 |  DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 |  Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 24 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
Team Insights
Real Salt- ●Real Salt Lake have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake have lost 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●66% of Real Salt Lake's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of Real Salt Lake's points have been earned at home.
St. Louis- ●St. Louis City have won their last 4 matches.
- ●St. Louis City have scored in each of their last 18 matches.
- ●St. Louis City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●St. Louis City have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●St. Louis City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●St. Louis City have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●St. Louis City have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●St. Louis City have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●St. Louis City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●St. Louis City failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●St. Louis City have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●St. Louis City failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●St. Louis City have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●St. Louis City have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●63% of St. Louis City's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Real SaltLAPhiladelphia Union1–2
Philadelphia Union1–2WHNew England Revolution3–0
New England Revolution3–0LASeattle Sounders0–2
Seattle Sounders0–2LHVancouver Whitecaps0–3
Vancouver Whitecaps0–3LHNew York City FC0–2
New York City FC0–2LAHouston Dynamo1–2
Houston Dynamo1–2–HSan Jose Earthquakes15/10
San Jose Earthquakes15/10–ASporting Kansas City18/10
Sporting Kansas City18/10–HSt. Louis City25/10
St. Louis City25/10St. LouisWHLos Angeles Galaxy6–2
Los Angeles Galaxy6–2WANew York Red Bulls3–0
New York Red Bulls3–0WHToronto FC3–1
Toronto FC3–1WHMinnesota United FC4–2
Minnesota United FC4–2DAPortland Timbers2–2
Portland Timbers2–2WAVancouver Whitecaps3–1
Vancouver Whitecaps3–1–HVancouver Whitecaps15/10
Vancouver Whitecaps15/10–AMinnesota United FC17/10
Minnesota United FC17/10–AReal Salt Lake25/10
Real Salt Lake25/10Top Scorers
Real SaltS. Solans14 ⚽
D. Luna7 ⚽
Z. Gozo7 ⚽
L. Engel3 ⚽
M. Guilavogui3 ⚽
D. Marczuk2 ⚽
St. LouisM. Hartel9 ⚽
S. Becher8 ⚽
C. Holse5 ⚽
S. Jeong5 ⚽
Rafael Navarro4 ⚽
E. Lowen4 ⚽
Cards Given
Real SaltDeAndre Yedlin6 🟨
Morgan Guilavogui5 🟨
D. Yedlin4 🟨
Lineker Rodrigues3 🟨
D. Luna3 🟨
Diego Luna3 🟨
St. LouisC. Durkin7 🟨
Christopher Durkin7 🟨
Conrad Wallem5 🟨
D. Polvara4 🟨
C. Wallem4 🟨
T. Totland4 🟨