San Diego vs Seattle Sounders — Major League Soccer
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San Diego and Seattle Sounders meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 25 October 2026. San Diego have recorded 13 wins from 34 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Seattle Sounders have won 40% of their 35 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.34 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for San Diego and 1.25 for Seattle Sounders. The models give San Diego a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Seattle Sounders win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| San Diego | Home | Away | Seattle Sounders | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 95% | 60% | 74% | 83% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 74% | 20% | 37% | 61% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 42% | 7% | 26% | 39% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 5% | 40% | 26% | 17% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| San Diego | Home | Away | Seattle Sounders | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 63% | 87% | 74% | 78% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 53% | 47% | 40% | 39% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 21% | 40% | 14% | 6% | 24% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 37% | 13% | 26% | 22% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| San Diego | Seattle Sounders | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 11% |
| BTTS | 53% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| San Diego | Seattle Sounders | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 34% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | San Diego | Seattle Sounders | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 70% | 90% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 84% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 77% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 42% | 65% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 55% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 24% | 45% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 12% | 32% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 16% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | San Diego | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.1 | 6.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 52% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 94% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 94% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 39% | 65% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | +32 | 57 | |
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | +33 | 49 | |
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | +12 | 46 | |
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +4 | 44 | |
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | +15 | 46 | |
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +9 | 44 | |
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 44 | |
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 43 | |
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 42 | |
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | +7 | 39 | |
| 6 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +14 | 41 | |
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 36 | |
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | +1 | 36 | |
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -14 | 34 | |
| 8 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -8 | 33 | |
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 33 | |
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | -7 | 33 | |
| 9 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -1 | 32 | |
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | +5 | 32 | |
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 31 | |
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -12 | 30 | |
| 11 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 | 29 | |
| 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | -10 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -5 | 29 | |
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -5 | 29 | |
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 26 | |
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -7 | 29 | |
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -13 | 26 | |
| 15 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -22 | 21 | |
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -34 | 18 |
Team Insights
- ●San Diego have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●San Diego failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●San Diego have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●San Diego have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●San Diego failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●73% of San Diego's goals have been scored at home.
- ●San Diego have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Seattle Sounders have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Seattle Sounders have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Seattle Sounders have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Seattle Sounders failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Seattle Sounders have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Seattle Sounders failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Seattle Sounders have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.