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Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati — Major League Soccer

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United States · Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
2º · 1.75 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 18d 0h
vs
–
–
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
9º · 1.33 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 18d 0h
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Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Inter Miami have recorded 17 wins from 38 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 2.21 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 76% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 76%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. FC Cincinnati have won 41% of their 39 matches, with 2.28 goals scored and 2.03 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 18%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.73 for Inter Miami and 1.72 for FC Cincinnati. The models give Inter Miami a 58% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an FC Cincinnati win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 82% and BTTS at 77%.

Season Statistics

Inter Miami
—
FC Cincinnati
2º
Position
9º
1.75
PPG
1.33
46%
Win %
33%
2.43
Goals / game
2.15
1.79
Conceded / game
2.41
76%
BTTS %
72%
18%
Clean sheet %
18%
76%
Over 2.5 %
72%
5.2
Avg corners
4.9
15.0
Avg shots
14.3
6.1
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.2
13.1
Avg fouls
11.3
56.3%
Avg possession
50.9%

Home vs Away

Inter Miami
Home (14)
—
FC Cincinnati
Away (15)
1.57
PPG
0.80
36%
Win %
13%
2.79
Goals / game
1.60
1.86
Conceded / game
2.73
84%
BTTS %
80%
16%
Clean sheet %
5%
79%
Over 2.5 %
75%
5.2
Avg corners
4.9
15.0
Avg shots
14.3
6.1
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.2
56.3%
Avg possession
50.9%

Goals Scored

Inter MiamiHomeAwayFC CincinnatiHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored89%100%79%90%95%85%
Over 1.5 Scored68%79%58%62%79%45%
Over 2.5 Scored29%32%26%41%58%25%
Failed To Score11%0%21%10%5%15%

Goals Conceded

Inter MiamiHomeAwayFC CincinnatiHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%84%79%82%68%95%
Over 1.5 Conceded63%68%58%54%42%65%
Over 2.5 Conceded18%16%21%36%26%45%
Clean Sheets18%16%21%18%32%5%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Inter MiamiFC Cincinnati
Over 0.595%100%
Over 1.592%92%
Over 2.576%72%
Over 3.555%62%
Over 4.532%41%
BTTS76%72%
BTTS & Win32%23%
BTTS & Draw29%28%
BTTS & Over 2.568%59%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Inter MiamiFC Cincinnati
Win 1st Half42%36%
Draw 1st Half45%33%
Loss 1st Half13%31%
Scored 1st Half71%69%
Conceded 1st Half61%56%
Win 2nd Half37%44%
Draw 2nd Half21%21%
Loss 2nd Half42%36%
Scored 2nd Half58%67%
Conceded 2nd Half66%69%
Over 0.5 HT84%85%
Over 1.5 HT63%56%

Recent Venue Form

Inter Miami (H)
WDC United4–0
DSan Diego2–2
WCruz Azul2–0
DNashville SC2–2
DAtlanta United FC2–2
WCF Montreal7–1
FC Cincinnati (A)
WAtlanta United FC3–1
LCF Montreal1–3
DHouston Dynamo2–2
LPhiladelphia Union0–5
LNashville SC0–4
DOrlando City SC1–1

Number of Corners

9.2
Corners / Match
32 games
League Avg
10.0
416 games
9.7
Corners / Match
33 games
Match CornersInter MiamiFC CincinnatiLeague Avg
Over 678%88%83%
Over 766%73%73%
Over 850%67%64%
Over 944%52%53%
Over 1031%33%43%
Over 1128%18%34%
Over 1216%18%23%
Over 1313%15%17%

Team Corners

Team CornersInter MiamiFC Cincinnati
Corners Earned / Match5.24.9
Corners Against / Match4.04.8
Over 2.5 Corners For81%76%
Over 3.5 Corners For75%70%
Over 4.5 Corners For53%48%
Over 2.5 Corners Against69%73%
Over 3.5 Corners Against50%64%
Over 4.5 Corners Against31%55%

Head to Head · 15 matches

7
Inter Miami
47%
3
Draws
20%
5
FC Cincinnati
33%
73%
Over 1.5
11/15
67%
Over 2.5
10/15
53%
Over 3.5
8/15
53%
BTTS
8/15
13/05/26
FC Cincinnati
3–5
Inter Miami
23/11/25
FC Cincinnati
0–4
Inter Miami
26/07/25
Inter Miami
0–0
FC Cincinnati
16/07/25
FC Cincinnati
3–0
Inter Miami
24/08/24
Inter Miami
2–0
FC Cincinnati
06/07/24
FC Cincinnati
6–1
Inter Miami
07/10/23
Inter Miami
0–1
FC Cincinnati
23/08/23
FC Cincinnati
3–3
Inter Miami
01/04/23
FC Cincinnati
1–0
Inter Miami
31/07/22
Inter Miami
4–4
FC Cincinnati
19/03/22
FC Cincinnati
3–1
Inter Miami
24/10/21
Inter Miami
5–1
FC Cincinnati
05/09/21
FC Cincinnati
0–1
Inter Miami
16/05/21
FC Cincinnati
2–3
Inter Miami
08/11/20
Inter Miami
2–1
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC281963+3763
1Vancouver Whitecaps281567+3151
2St. Louis City281486+1650
2Inter Miami2813105+1849
3Chicago Fire281468+1148
3FC Dallas281387+747
4San Jose Earthquakes281378+1046
4New England Revolution2814410+646
5Charlotte281378+1046
5Houston Dynamo281369+245
6Philadelphia Union2812610+1142
6Los Angeles FC291199+1342
7Seattle Sounders281189+341
7Orlando City SC2811413-1537
8Colorado Rapids2811413037
8New York Red Bulls2810612-1436
9FC Cincinnati27999-736
9Los Angeles Galaxy299911-1136
10New York City FC288911+433
10Portland Timbers289613-333
11Toronto FC2871110-1132
11Real Salt Lake289514-532
12San Diego288812-332
12DC United276129-1230
13Austin2871011-1531
13Columbus Crew288515-529
14Minnesota United FC287912-930
14Atlanta United FC287615-1527
15CF Montreal286616-2124
15Sporting Kansas City286418-3322

Team Insights

Inter Miami
  • ●Inter Miami have scored in each of their last 24 matches.
  • ●Inter Miami have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Inter Miami have scored in each of their last 14 home matches.
  • ●Inter Miami have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
  • ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Inter Miami have scored in 14 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Inter Miami have won 8 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Inter Miami have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
FC Cincinnati
  • ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 17 matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Inter MiamiInter Miami
WHDC United12º4–0
LAColumbus Crew13º1–2
DHSan Diego12º2–2
WHCruz Azul2–0
DHNashville SC1º2–2
DAChicago Fire3º1–1
DHAtlanta United FC14º2–2
WHCF Montreal15º7–1
LHToronto FC11º1–2
DAPhiladelphia Union6º2–2
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
WAAtlanta United FC14º3–1
LACF Montreal15º1–3
DAHouston Dynamo5º2–2
DHCharlotte5º3–3
LAPhiladelphia Union6º0–5
LANashville SC1º0–4
DHSeattle Sounders7º1–1
WHNew York City FC10º2–1
DAOrlando City SC7º1–1
LHAtlas1–2

Season Schedule

Inter Miami
WHDC United4–0
LAColumbus Crew1–2
DHSan Diego2–2
DHNashville SC2–2
DAChicago Fire1–1
DHAtlanta United FC2–2
–HNew York City FC14/10
–AAtlanta United FC17/10
–ANew York Red Bulls24/10
FC Cincinnati
WAAtlanta United FC3–1
LACF Montreal1–3
DAHouston Dynamo2–2
DHCharlotte3–3
LAPhiladelphia Union0–5
LANashville SC0–4
–HNew England Revolution14/10
–HColumbus Crew18/10
–HDC United21/10

Top Scorers

Inter Miami
L. Messi24 ⚽
L. Suarez13 ⚽
G. Berterame8 ⚽
R. de Paul5 ⚽
Lionel Messi4 ⚽
T. Segovia4 ⚽
FC Cincinnati
K. Denkey19 ⚽
Evander15 ⚽
T. Barlow9 ⚽
K. Mboma9 ⚽
P. Bucha7 ⚽
A. Jabbari5 ⚽

Cards Given

Inter Miami
Telasco Segovia8 🟨
I. Fray5 🟨
Micael5 🟨
Germán Berterame5 🟨
Casemiro4 🟨
Dayne St. Clair4 🟨
FC Cincinnati
Obinna Nwobodo6 🟨
Bryan Ramirez6 🟨
Kévin Denkey5 🟨
Evander5 🟨
O. Nwobodo4 🟨
Teenage Hadebe4 🟨