Toronto FC vs DC United — Major League Soccer
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Toronto FC and DC United meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Toronto FC have recorded 10 wins from 34 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 76% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. DC United have won 19% of their 32 matches, with 1.16 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.98 for Toronto FC and 1.52 for DC United. The models give Toronto FC a 50% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an DC United win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Toronto FC | Home | Away | DC United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 95% | 62% | 63% | 65% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 67% | 15% | 34% | 35% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 29% | 0% | 13% | 12% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 5% | 38% | 38% | 35% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Toronto FC | Home | Away | DC United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 95% | 77% | 75% | 76% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 43% | 62% | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 29% | 38% | 28% | 24% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 5% | 23% | 25% | 24% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Toronto FC | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 16% |
| BTTS | 76% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Toronto FC | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 34% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 48% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 66% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Toronto FC | DC United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 81% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 79% | 73% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 69% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 64% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 57% | 46% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 39% | 42% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 35% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 23% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Toronto FC | DC United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 61% | 50% |
Head to Head · 34 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +37 | 63 | |
| 1 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 | |
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 | |
| 2 | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +18 | 49 | |
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 48 | |
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 | |
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 | |
| 4 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 46 | |
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 | |
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 | |
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +11 | 42 | |
| 6 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 | |
| 7 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 | |
| 7 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 37 | |
| 8 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 | |
| 8 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 | 36 | |
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 36 | |
| 9 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 | |
| 10 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 33 | |
| 10 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 | |
| 11 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 | |
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 | |
| 12 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 | |
| 12 | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 | 30 | |
| 13 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 | |
| 13 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 | 29 | |
| 14 | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 | |
| 14 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 | 27 | |
| 15 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 24 | |
| 15 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
Team Insights
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Toronto FC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●76% of Toronto FC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●DC United have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●DC United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●DC United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●DC United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●DC United failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●DC United failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.