Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union — Major League Soccer
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Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Nashville SC have recorded 25 wins from 43 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Philadelphia Union have won 43% of their 40 matches, with 2.02 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.49 for Nashville SC and 1.61 for Philadelphia Union. The models give Nashville SC a 56% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Philadelphia Union win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 77% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Nashville SC—
Philadelphia Union1º
Position
6º
2.25
PPG
1.50
68%
Win %
43%
2.11
Goals / game
2.00
0.79
Conceded / game
1.61
44%
BTTS %
60%
44%
Clean sheet %
25%
53%
Over 2.5 %
63%
5.0
Avg corners
5.9
12.2
Avg shots
15.8
4.6
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.3
12.1
Avg fouls
15.2
52.4%
Avg possession
48.1%
Home vs Away
Nashville SC
Home (14)
—
Philadelphia Union
Away (14)
2.86
PPG
1.21
93%
Win %
36%
2.93
Goals / game
2.21
0.86
Conceded / game
2.21
48%
BTTS %
74%
43%
Clean sheet %
11%
65%
Over 2.5 %
68%
5.0
Avg corners
5.9
12.2
Avg shots
15.8
4.6
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.3
52.4%
Avg possession
48.1%
Goals Scored
| Nashville SC | Home | Away | Philadelphia Union | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 83% | 70% | 80% | 76% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 65% | 40% | 53% | 57% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 52% | 10% | 38% | 33% | 42% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 17% | 30% | 20% | 24% | 16% |
Goals Conceded
| Nashville SC | Home | Away | Philadelphia Union | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 57% | 55% | 75% | 62% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 22% | 25% | 43% | 33% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 5% | 26% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 43% | 45% | 25% | 38% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nashville SC | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 30% |
| BTTS | 44% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nashville SC | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 49% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 12% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 49% | 49% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 51% |
| Win 2nd Half | 51% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Nashville SC (H)W
Toronto FC2–0
Toronto FC2–0W
Chicago Fire3–0
Chicago Fire3–0W
FC Cincinnati4–0
FC Cincinnati4–0W
Columbus Crew3–2
Columbus Crew3–2W
Inter Miami4–1
Inter Miami4–1W
Atletico San Luis4–1
Atletico San Luis4–1Philadelphia Union (A)W
Sporting Kansas City4–3
Sporting Kansas City4–3W
San Diego5–0
San Diego5–0W
New York Red Bulls3–1
New York Red Bulls3–1D
Austin1–1
Austin1–1W
New York City FC3–2
New York City FC3–2L
Cruz Azul0–1
Cruz Azul0–1Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
39 games
League Avg
10.0
416 games
9.5
Corners / Match
35 games
| Match Corners | Nashville SC | Philadelphia Union | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 72% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 63% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 51% | 51% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 41% | 46% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 31% | 43% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 37% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 20% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 14% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nashville SC | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 97% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 49% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 51% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 29% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
5
Nashville SC
38%
4
Draws
31%
4
Philadelphia Union
31%
62%
Over 1.5
8/13
31%
Over 2.5
4/13
15%
Over 3.5
2/13
38%
BTTS
5/13
02/05/26Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
0–0Nashville SC17/09/25Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
3–1Philadelphia Union06/07/25Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
1–0Philadelphia Union16/03/25Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
1–3Nashville SC20/07/24Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
3–0Nashville SC07/04/24Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
1–2Philadelphia Union07/10/23Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
0–0Nashville SC13/07/23Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
0–2Philadelphia Union14/02/23Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
2–0Philadelphia Union01/05/22Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
1–1Philadelphia Union28/11/21Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
1–1Nashville SC23/10/21Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
1–0Nashville SC04/07/21Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
1–0Philadelphia Union| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +37 | 63 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 48 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 |  New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +11 | 42 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 |  Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 33 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 |  DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 | Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 24 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
Team Insights
Nashville SC- ●Nashville SC have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have won their last 9 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 14 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in 14 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Nashville SC have won 6 of their 14 away matches.
- ●69% of Nashville SC's goals have been scored at home.
Philadelphia Union- ●Philadelphia Union have won their last 7 matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 17 matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●69% of Philadelphia Union's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Philadelphia Union have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Nashville SCWAAustin4–1
Austin4–1WHToronto FC2–0
Toronto FC2–0WHChicago Fire3–0
Chicago Fire3–0DAInter Miami2–2
Inter Miami2–2LAToronto FC1–2
Toronto FC1–2DANew York City FC0–0
New York City FC0–0–HSporting Kansas City15/10
Sporting Kansas City15/10–ASan Jose Earthquakes18/10
San Jose Earthquakes18/10–ACF Montreal24/10
CF Montreal24/10Philadelphia UnionWHReal Salt Lake2–1
Real Salt Lake2–1WHOrlando City SC4–2
Orlando City SC4–2WASporting Kansas City4–3
Sporting Kansas City4–3WASan Diego5–0
San Diego5–0WHFC Cincinnati5–0
FC Cincinnati5–0WHCF Montreal2–0
CF Montreal2–0–AChicago Fire15/10
Chicago Fire15/10–HCharlotte17/10
Charlotte17/10–HNew England Revolution24/10
New England Revolution24/10Top Scorers
Nashville SCS. Surridge16 ⚽
H. Mukhtar12 ⚽
C. Espinoza7 ⚽
W. Madrigal5 ⚽
A. Qasem4 ⚽
Hany Mukhtar3 ⚽
Philadelphia UnionM. Iloski14 ⚽
B. Damiani10 ⚽
C. Sullivan7 ⚽
N. Pierre4 ⚽
Milan Iloski4 ⚽
Cavan Sullivan3 ⚽
Cards Given
Nashville SCAndy Najar4 🟨
Daniel Lovitz4 🟨
Hany Mukhtar4 🟨
Matthew Corcoran4 🟨
Bryan Acosta3 🟨
A. Muyl3 🟨
Philadelphia UnionOlwethu Makhanya8 🟨
Japhet Sery Larsen6 🟨
Danley Jean Jacques6 🟨
Bruno Damiani5 🟨
Geiner Martínez3 🟨
J. Bueno3 🟨