Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC — Major League Soccer
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Chicago Fire and Orlando City SC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Chicago Fire have recorded 18 wins from 38 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.74 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Orlando City SC have won 39% of their 38 matches, with 1.84 goals scored and 2.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 74%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.43 for Chicago Fire and 1.59 for Orlando City SC. The models give Chicago Fire a 55% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Orlando City SC win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Chicago Fire—
Orlando City SC5º
Position
7º
1.62
PPG
1.26
46%
Win %
37%
1.77
Goals / game
1.78
1.46
Conceded / game
2.37
68%
BTTS %
74%
29%
Clean sheet %
13%
71%
Over 2.5 %
79%
4.6
Avg corners
4.2
14.3
Avg shots
12.0
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.3
12.5
Avg fouls
10.4
52.1%
Avg possession
49.3%
Home vs Away
Chicago Fire
Home (12)
—
Orlando City SC
Away (14)
1.83
PPG
0.79
58%
Win %
21%
1.83
Goals / game
1.79
1.17
Conceded / game
3.36
69%
BTTS %
67%
31%
Clean sheet %
11%
75%
Over 2.5 %
83%
4.6
Avg corners
4.2
14.3
Avg shots
12.0
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.3
52.1%
Avg possession
49.3%
Goals Scored
| Chicago Fire | Home | Away | Orlando City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 82% | 87% | 95% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 56% | 55% | 55% | 50% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 25% | 18% | 26% | 25% | 28% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 18% | 13% | 5% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Chicago Fire | Home | Away | Orlando City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 69% | 73% | 87% | 85% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 38% | 45% | 63% | 50% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 19% | 23% | 37% | 15% | 61% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 31% | 27% | 13% | 15% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chicago Fire | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 47% |
| BTTS | 68% | 74% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 66% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chicago Fire | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Chicago Fire (H)L
New England Revolution1–2
New England Revolution1–2D
Inter Miami1–1
Inter Miami1–1W
Portland Timbers2–1
Portland Timbers2–1W
Santos Laguna3–1
Santos Laguna3–1W
Necaxa2–0
Necaxa2–0W
Charlotte2–1
Charlotte2–1Orlando City (A)L
Philadelphia Union2–4
Philadelphia Union2–4LNew England Revolution2–4
New England Revolution2–4L
Columbus Crew1–2
Columbus Crew1–2W
Atlanta United FC3–2
Atlanta United FC3–2D
Minnesota United FC3–3
Minnesota United FC3–3W
Monterrey2–1
Monterrey2–1Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
30 games
League Avg
10.0
397 games
10.5
Corners / Match
30 games
| Match Corners | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 87% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 73% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 73% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 57% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 47% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 23% | 43% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 33% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 30% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chicago Fire | Orlando City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 6.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 53% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 97% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 47% | 70% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
9
Chicago Fire
36%
8
Draws
32%
8
Orlando City
32%
76%
Over 1.5
19/25
60%
Over 2.5
15/25
52%
Over 3.5
13/25
68%
BTTS
17/25
19/08/26Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
1–2Chicago Fire23/10/25Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
3–1Orlando City SC31/05/25Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
1–3Chicago Fire04/05/25Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
0–0Orlando City SC22/06/24Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
4–2Chicago Fire30/05/24Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
1–1Orlando City SC21/08/23Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
1–3Orlando City SC01/07/23Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
3–1Chicago Fire09/04/22Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
1–0Chicago Fire05/03/22Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
0–0Orlando City SC22/08/21Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
1–0Chicago Fire08/07/21Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
3–1Orlando City SC19/09/20Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
4–1Chicago Fire06/10/19Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
2–5Chicago Fire09/03/19Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
1–1Orlando City SC16/09/18Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
4–0Orlando City SC26/05/18Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
1–2Chicago Fire25/06/17Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
4–0Orlando City SC04/06/17Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
0–0Chicago Fire14/08/16Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
2–2Orlando City SC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | +34 | 60 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +33 | 50 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +8 | 47 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | +15 | 46 |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +10 | 45 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +2 | 44 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +9 | 43 |
| 5 |  St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +9 | 44 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 42 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +13 | 41 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | +10 | 39 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | -16 | 34 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -7 | 36 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 33 |
| 9 |  Seattle Sounders | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 35 |
| 9 |  New York City FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | +5 | 33 |
| 10 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -4 | 32 |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 |  Austin | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 26 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 24 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -32 | 21 |
Team Insights
Chicago Fire- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in 12 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Chicago Fire failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Chicago Fire have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Orlando City- ●Orlando City SC have scored in each of their last 15 matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have lost 9 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●73% of Orlando City SC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Chicago FireWACharlotte1–0
Charlotte1–0LANashville SC0–3
Nashville SC0–3LHNew England Revolution1–2
New England Revolution1–2DHInter Miami1–1
Inter Miami1–1DAToronto FC4–4
Toronto FC4–4DASeattle Sounders2–2
Seattle Sounders2–2–HVancouver Whitecaps07/10
Vancouver Whitecaps07/10–HNew York City FC10/10
New York City FC10/10–HPhiladelphia Union15/10
Philadelphia Union15/10Orlando CityLAPhiladelphia Union2–4
Philadelphia Union2–4LANew England Revolution2–4
New England Revolution2–4WHToronto FC3–0
Toronto FC3–0WAAtlanta United FC3–2
Atlanta United FC3–2WHSan Diego1–0
San Diego1–0DAMinnesota United FC3–3
Minnesota United FC3–3–HColumbus Crew10/10
Columbus Crew10/10–AToronto FC14/10
Toronto FC14/10–HDC United17/10
DC United17/10Top Scorers
Chicago FireH. Cuypers13 ⚽
P. Zinckernagel7 ⚽
M. Haile-Selassie5 ⚽
R. Lewandowski5 ⚽
R. Lod5 ⚽
P. Dithejane4 ⚽
Orlando CityM. Ojeda13 ⚽
T. Spicer8 ⚽
A. Griezmann6 ⚽
G. Dorsey5 ⚽
Antoine Griezmann4 ⚽
J. Ellis4 ⚽
Cards Given
Chicago FireJ. Waterman7 🟨
Dje Tah D'Avilla5 🟨
A. Saletros5 🟨
Jack Elliott4 🟨
A. Gutman3 🟨
Jonathan Dean3 🟨
Orlando CityEduard Atuesta6 🟨
W. Cartagena5 🟨
David Brekalo4 🟨
Iago Silva4 🟨
Iván Angulo4 🟨
Colin Guske3 🟨