Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City — Major League Soccer
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Minnesota United FC and Sporting Kansas City meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Minnesota United FC have recorded 9 wins from 35 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 66% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Sporting Kansas City have won 27% of their 33 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 2.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Minnesota United FC and 1.15 for Sporting Kansas City. The models give Minnesota United FC a 52% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sporting Kansas City win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Minnesota United | Home | Away | Sporting Kansas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 73% | 80% | 61% | 68% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 33% | 45% | 36% | 37% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 13% | 20% | 12% | 16% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 27% | 20% | 39% | 32% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Minnesota United | Home | Away | Sporting Kansas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 73% | 75% | 91% | 89% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 49% | 40% | 55% | 58% | 42% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 13% | 30% | 42% | 26% | 64% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 27% | 25% | 9% | 11% | 7% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Minnesota United | Sporting Kansas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 18% |
| BTTS | 66% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Minnesota United | Sporting Kansas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 34% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 55% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 49% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 39% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Minnesota United | Sporting Kansas | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 97% | 85% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 77% | 77% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 70% | 54% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 46% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 31% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 19% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 23% | 15% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 8% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Minnesota United | Sporting Kansas |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 90% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 87% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 47% | 54% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | +34 | 60 | |
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +33 | 50 | |
| 2 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +8 | 47 | |
| 2 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 | |
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | +15 | 46 | |
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +10 | 45 | |
| 4 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +2 | 44 | |
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +9 | 43 | |
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +9 | 44 | |
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 42 | |
| 6 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +13 | 41 | |
| 6 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | +10 | 39 | |
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 36 | |
| 7 | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | -16 | 34 | |
| 8 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -7 | 36 | |
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 33 | |
| 9 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 35 | |
| 9 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | +5 | 33 | |
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | -9 | 33 | |
| 10 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -3 | 32 | |
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -4 | 32 | |
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | -8 | 30 | |
| 12 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 32 | |
| 12 | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | -12 | 29 | |
| 13 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -12 | 31 | |
| 13 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -13 | 27 | |
| 14 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 29 | |
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 26 | |
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 24 | |
| 15 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -32 | 21 |
Team Insights
- ●Minnesota United FC have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have failed to win in their last 10 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●65% of Minnesota United FC's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Minnesota United FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Minnesota United FC have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Sporting Kansas City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City have lost 7 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City have lost 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Sporting Kansas City have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.