Austin vs Real Salt Lake — Major League Soccer
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Austin and Real Salt Lake meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Austin have recorded 11 wins from 41 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Real Salt Lake have won 37% of their 38 matches, with 1.61 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 66%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Austin and 1.22 for Real Salt Lake. The models give Austin a 50% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Real Salt Lake win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Austin—
Real Salt Lake13º
Position
11º
1.11
PPG
1.14
25%
Win %
32%
1.29
Goals / game
1.46
1.82
Conceded / game
1.64
54%
BTTS %
66%
24%
Clean sheet %
13%
56%
Over 2.5 %
68%
4.7
Avg corners
4.6
10.6
Avg shots
13.7
3.9
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.3
10.6
Avg fouls
12.3
48.3%
Avg possession
49.0%
Home vs Away
Austin
Home (14)
—
Real Salt Lake
Away (14)
1.29
PPG
0.43
29%
Win %
7%
1.43
Goals / game
1.00
1.36
Conceded / game
1.86
52%
BTTS %
79%
43%
Clean sheet %
0%
48%
Over 2.5 %
68%
4.7
Avg corners
4.6
10.6
Avg shots
13.7
3.9
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.3
48.3%
Avg possession
49.0%
Goals Scored
| Austin | Home | Away | Real Salt | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 86% | 55% | 79% | 79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 43% | 30% | 47% | 68% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 19% | 5% | 26% | 42% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 14% | 45% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Austin | Home | Away | Real Salt | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 57% | 95% | 87% | 74% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 49% | 33% | 65% | 50% | 37% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 10% | 30% | 16% | 11% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 43% | 5% | 13% | 26% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Austin | Real Salt | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 13% |
| BTTS | 54% | 66% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Austin | Real Salt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 59% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Austin (H)L
Nashville SC1–4
Nashville SC1–4D
San Diego3–3
San Diego3–3D
Colorado Rapids1–1
Colorado Rapids1–1D
San Jose Earthquakes1–1
San Jose Earthquakes1–1D
Philadelphia Union1–1
Philadelphia Union1–1L
FC Dallas1–2
FC Dallas1–2Real Salt (A)LPhiladelphia Union1–2
Philadelphia Union1–2L
Seattle Sounders0–2
Seattle Sounders0–2L
Houston Dynamo1–2
Houston Dynamo1–2LColorado Rapids0–1
Colorado Rapids0–1L
Leon0–3
Leon0–3L
Orlando City SC1–2
Orlando City SC1–2Number of Corners
10.7
Corners / Match
32 games
League Avg
10.0
416 games
10.4
Corners / Match
32 games
| Match Corners | Austin | Real Salt | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 88% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 84% | 75% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 78% | 63% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 69% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 53% | 47% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 34% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 28% | 28% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 16% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Austin | Real Salt |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 91% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 88% | 81% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 72% | 59% |
Head to Head · 12 matches
3
Austin
25%
3
Draws
25%
6
Real Salt
50%
92%
Over 1.5
11/12
83%
Over 2.5
10/12
33%
Over 3.5
4/12
83%
BTTS
10/12
15/03/26Austin
Real Salt Lake
2–1Austin28/09/25Austin
Real Salt Lake
3–1Austin29/05/25Real Salt Lake
Austin
1–1Real Salt Lake29/09/24Real Salt Lake
Austin
2–2Real Salt Lake02/06/24Austin
Real Salt Lake
5–1Austin04/06/23Real Salt Lake
Austin
1–2Real Salt Lake12/03/23Austin
Real Salt Lake
1–2Austin16/10/22Real Salt Lake
Austin
2–2Real Salt Lake15/09/22Real Salt Lake
Austin
3–0Real Salt Lake15/05/22Austin
Real Salt Lake
2–1Austin02/10/21Real Salt Lake
Austin
2–1Real Salt Lake15/08/21Austin
Real Salt Lake
1–0Austin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +37 | 63 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 48 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 |  New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +11 | 42 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 33 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 |  DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 | Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 24 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
Team Insights
Austin- ●Austin have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Austin have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Austin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Austin have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Austin have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Austin failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Austin have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Austin failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
Real Salt- ●Real Salt Lake have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake have lost 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Real Salt Lake have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●66% of Real Salt Lake's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of Real Salt Lake's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
AustinLHNashville SC1–4
Nashville SC1–4DHSan Diego3–3
San Diego3–3DAFC Dallas0–0
FC Dallas0–0WAVancouver Whitecaps2–1
Vancouver Whitecaps2–1DHColorado Rapids1–1
Colorado Rapids1–1DHSan Jose Earthquakes1–1
San Jose Earthquakes1–1–ALos Angeles FC15/10
Los Angeles FC15/10–HVancouver Whitecaps18/10
Vancouver Whitecaps18/10–ASporting Kansas City25/10
Sporting Kansas City25/10Real SaltLAPhiladelphia Union1–2
Philadelphia Union1–2WHNew England Revolution3–0
New England Revolution3–0LASeattle Sounders0–2
Seattle Sounders0–2LHVancouver Whitecaps0–3
Vancouver Whitecaps0–3LHNew York City FC0–2
New York City FC0–2LAHouston Dynamo1–2
Houston Dynamo1–2–HSan Jose Earthquakes15/10
San Jose Earthquakes15/10–ASporting Kansas City18/10
Sporting Kansas City18/10–HSt. Louis City25/10
St. Louis City25/10Top Scorers
AustinM. Uzuni11 ⚽
C. Ramirez6 ⚽
Christian Ramirez4 ⚽
J. Rosales3 ⚽
F. Torres3 ⚽
Guilherme Biro3 ⚽
Real SaltS. Solans14 ⚽
D. Luna7 ⚽
Z. Gozo7 ⚽
L. Engel3 ⚽
M. Guilavogui3 ⚽
D. Marczuk2 ⚽
Cards Given
AustinGuilherme Biro8 🟨
J. Rosales6 🟨
M. Uzuni5 🟨
O. Svatok4 🟨
M. Desler4 🟨
E. Torres3 🟨
Real SaltDeAndre Yedlin6 🟨
Morgan Guilavogui5 🟨
D. Yedlin4 🟨
Lineker Rodrigues3 🟨
D. Luna3 🟨
Diego Luna3 🟨