Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls — Major League Soccer
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Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Nashville SC have recorded 25 wins from 43 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. New York Red Bulls have won 36% of their 36 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.32 for Nashville SC and 1.12 for New York Red Bulls. The models give Nashville SC a 66% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an New York Red Bulls win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Nashville SC—
New York Red Bulls1º
Position
8º
2.25
PPG
1.29
68%
Win %
36%
2.11
Goals / game
1.36
0.79
Conceded / game
1.86
44%
BTTS %
64%
44%
Clean sheet %
14%
53%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.0
Avg corners
5.5
12.2
Avg shots
13.6
4.6
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
12.1
Avg fouls
12.5
52.4%
Avg possession
50.9%
Home vs Away
Nashville SC
Home (14)
—
New York Red Bulls
Away (14)
2.86
PPG
1.29
93%
Win %
36%
2.93
Goals / game
1.14
0.86
Conceded / game
1.79
48%
BTTS %
69%
43%
Clean sheet %
19%
65%
Over 2.5 %
63%
5.0
Avg corners
5.5
12.2
Avg shots
13.6
4.6
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
52.4%
Avg possession
50.9%
Goals Scored
| Nashville SC | Home | Away | New York | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 83% | 70% | 75% | 70% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 65% | 40% | 39% | 40% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 52% | 10% | 25% | 40% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 17% | 30% | 25% | 30% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| Nashville SC | Home | Away | New York | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 57% | 55% | 86% | 90% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 22% | 25% | 58% | 60% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 35% | 31% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 43% | 45% | 14% | 10% | 19% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nashville SC | New York | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 28% |
| BTTS | 44% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nashville SC | New York | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 49% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 12% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 49% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 51% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 51% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 74% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Nashville SC (H)W
Toronto FC2–0
Toronto FC2–0W
Chicago Fire3–0
Chicago Fire3–0W
FC Cincinnati4–0
FC Cincinnati4–0W
Columbus Crew3–2
Columbus Crew3–2W
Inter Miami4–1
Inter Miami4–1W
Atletico San Luis4–1
Atletico San Luis4–1New York (A)W
New York City FC1–0
New York City FC1–0WColumbus Crew1–0
Columbus Crew1–0L
Los Angeles FC0–2
Los Angeles FC0–2D
Seattle Sounders0–0
Seattle Sounders0–0L
Atlanta United FC1–2
Atlanta United FC1–2L
Philadelphia Union1–3
Philadelphia Union1–3Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
39 games
League Avg
10.0
416 games
10.8
Corners / Match
27 games
| Match Corners | Nashville SC | New York | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 72% | 85% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 78% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 51% | 74% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 41% | 63% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 31% | 56% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 44% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 30% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 26% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nashville SC | New York |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 97% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 49% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 51% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 56% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
2
Nashville SC
18%
4
Draws
36%
5
New York
45%
36%
Over 1.5
4/11
9%
Over 2.5
1/11
0%
Over 3.5
0/11
18%
BTTS
2/11
19/08/26Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
0–1Nashville SC15/05/25New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
2–1New York Red Bulls02/03/25Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
2–0Nashville SC15/06/24Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
0–0Nashville SC24/02/24New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
0–0New York Red Bulls22/10/23New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
0–1New York Red Bulls05/03/23Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
0–0Nashville SC21/01/23Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
1–0Nashville SC21/01/23New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
0–1New York Red Bulls07/11/21New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
1–1New York Red Bulls19/06/21Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
2–0Nashville SC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +37 | 63 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 48 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 |  New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +11 | 42 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 |  Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 33 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 |  DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 |  Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 24 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
Team Insights
Nashville SC- ●Nashville SC have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have won their last 9 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 14 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in 14 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Nashville SC have won 6 of their 14 away matches.
- ●69% of Nashville SC's goals have been scored at home.
New York- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
Nashville SCWAAustin4–1
Austin4–1WHToronto FC2–0
Toronto FC2–0WHChicago Fire3–0
Chicago Fire3–0DAInter Miami2–2
Inter Miami2–2LAToronto FC1–2
Toronto FC1–2DANew York City FC0–0
New York City FC0–0–HSporting Kansas City15/10
Sporting Kansas City15/10–ASan Jose Earthquakes18/10
San Jose Earthquakes18/10–ACF Montreal24/10
CF Montreal24/10New YorkWHSan Diego4–1
San Diego4–1LHSt. Louis City0–3
St. Louis City0–3WANew York City FC1–0
New York City FC1–0WAColumbus Crew1–0
Columbus Crew1–0LALos Angeles FC0–2
Los Angeles FC0–2DASeattle Sounders0–0
Seattle Sounders0–0–ADC United14/10
DC United14/10–HToronto FC17/10
Toronto FC17/10–HInter Miami24/10
Inter Miami24/10Top Scorers
Nashville SCS. Surridge16 ⚽
H. Mukhtar12 ⚽
C. Espinoza7 ⚽
W. Madrigal5 ⚽
A. Qasem4 ⚽
Hany Mukhtar3 ⚽
New YorkJ. Hall13 ⚽
J. Ruvalcaba7 ⚽
E. Forsberg4 ⚽
E. M. Choupo-Moting3 ⚽
C. Cowell2 ⚽
M. Jimenez2 ⚽
Cards Given
Nashville SCAndy Najar4 🟨
Daniel Lovitz4 🟨
Hany Mukhtar4 🟨
Matthew Corcoran4 🟨
Bryan Acosta3 🟨
A. Muyl3 🟨
New YorkRonald Donkor7 🟨
M. Sofo4 🟨
Adri Mehmeti4 🟨
Jorge Ruvalcaba4 🟨
A. Mehmeti4 🟨
Omar Valencia4 🟨