Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC — Major League Soccer
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Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Atlanta United FC have recorded 11 wins from 35 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.34 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Toronto FC have won 29% of their 34 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Atlanta United FC and 1.22 for Toronto FC. The models give Atlanta United FC a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Toronto FC win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Atlanta United FC—
Toronto FC14º
Position
11º
0.96
PPG
1.14
25%
Win %
25%
1.18
Goals / game
1.46
1.71
Conceded / game
1.86
63%
BTTS %
76%
17%
Clean sheet %
12%
60%
Over 2.5 %
68%
5.0
Avg corners
5.0
12.9
Avg shots
12.1
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.5
Avg fouls
11.0
51.8%
Avg possession
45.3%
Home vs Away
Atlanta United FC
Home (14)
—
Toronto FC
Away (13)
1.00
PPG
0.69
29%
Win %
15%
1.43
Goals / game
0.77
1.86
Conceded / game
1.77
71%
BTTS %
54%
18%
Clean sheet %
23%
76%
Over 2.5 %
62%
5.0
Avg corners
5.0
12.9
Avg shots
12.1
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
51.8%
Avg possession
45.3%
Goals Scored
| Atlanta United | Home | Away | Toronto FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 76% | 67% | 82% | 95% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 53% | 39% | 47% | 67% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 24% | 6% | 18% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 24% | 33% | 18% | 5% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlanta United | Home | Away | Toronto FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 82% | 83% | 88% | 95% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 51% | 59% | 44% | 50% | 43% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 24% | 17% | 32% | 29% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 5% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlanta United | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 24% |
| BTTS | 63% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlanta United | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 34% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 34% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 66% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlanta United (H)L
FC Cincinnati1–3
FC Cincinnati1–3D
New York City FC2–2
New York City FC2–2L
Orlando City SC2–3
Orlando City SC2–3L
Charlotte0–2
Charlotte0–2W
Sporting Kansas City2–1
Sporting Kansas City2–1W
New York Red Bulls2–1
New York Red Bulls2–1Toronto FC (A)L
Nashville SC0–2
Nashville SC0–2L
St. Louis City1–3
St. Louis City1–3LOrlando City SC0–3
Orlando City SC0–3W
Inter Miami2–1
Inter Miami2–1DNew York City FC1–1
New York City FC1–1L
DC United1–2
DC United1–2Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
27 games
League Avg
10.0
416 games
10.8
Corners / Match
28 games
| Match Corners | Atlanta United | Toronto FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 86% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 74% | 79% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 75% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 59% | 64% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 57% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 37% | 39% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 25% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 19% | 25% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atlanta United | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 81% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 59% | 61% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
6
Atlanta United
30%
8
Draws
40%
6
Toronto FC
30%
85%
Over 1.5
17/20
55%
Over 2.5
11/20
35%
Over 3.5
7/20
70%
BTTS
14/20
25/04/26Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
1–2Atlanta United FC24/08/25Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
0–0Toronto FC12/07/25Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
1–1Atlanta United FC29/06/24Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
2–1Toronto FC23/03/24Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2–0Atlanta United FC15/04/23Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2–2Atlanta United FC05/03/23Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1–1Toronto FC10/09/22Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
4–2Toronto FC25/06/22Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2–1Atlanta United FC30/10/21Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1–1Toronto FC16/10/21Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
0–2Atlanta United FC18/08/21Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1–0Toronto FC18/10/20Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
1–0Atlanta United FC31/10/19Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1–2Toronto FC27/06/19Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
3–2Atlanta United FC08/05/19Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
2–0Toronto FC28/10/18Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
4–1Atlanta United FC04/08/18Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
2–2Toronto FC22/10/17Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
2–2Toronto FC08/04/17Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2–2Atlanta United FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +37 | 63 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 48 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 |  New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +11 | 42 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 |  Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 33 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 |  Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 24 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
Team Insights
Atlanta United- ●Atlanta United FC have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have lost 8 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Toronto FC- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Toronto FC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●76% of Toronto FC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Atlanta UnitedLHFC Cincinnati1–3
FC Cincinnati1–3DHNew York City FC2–2
New York City FC2–2WAPortland Timbers1–0
Portland Timbers1–0DADC United0–0
DC United0–0LHOrlando City SC2–3
Orlando City SC2–3DAInter Miami2–2
Inter Miami2–2–HInter Miami17/10
Inter Miami17/10–HChicago Fire24/10
Chicago Fire24/10–ANew York City FC28/10
New York City FC28/10Toronto FCWHCF Montreal2–1
CF Montreal2–1LANashville SC0–2
Nashville SC0–2LASt. Louis City1–3
St. Louis City1–3LAOrlando City SC0–3
Orlando City SC0–3WHNashville SC2–1
Nashville SC2–1DHChicago Fire4–4
Chicago Fire4–4–ANew York Red Bulls17/10
New York Red Bulls17/10–AColumbus Crew24/10
Columbus Crew24/10–HDC United28/10
DC United28/10Top Scorers
Atlanta UnitedA. Miranchuk7 ⚽
F. Picault4 ⚽
T. Muyumba4 ⚽
Miguel Almirón3 ⚽
M. Almiron3 ⚽
E. Latte Lath3 ⚽
Toronto FCD. Salloi6 ⚽
J. Sargent4 ⚽
Josh Sargent3 ⚽
D. Etienne3 ⚽
E. Aristizabal3 ⚽
D. Mihailovic2 ⚽
Cards Given
Atlanta UnitedTomás Jacob8 🟨
Tristan Muyumba4 🟨
Cooper Sanchez4 🟨
Enea Mihaj4 🟨
C. Sanchez4 🟨
Elías Báez3 🟨
Toronto FCW. Zimmerman4 🟨
Raheem Edwards4 🟨
Jonathan Osorio4 🟨
José Cifuentes3 🟨
Alonso Coello3 🟨
Benjamin Kuscevic3 🟨