New England Revolution vs Inter Miami — Major League Soccer
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New England Revolution and Inter Miami meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 2 November 2026. New England Revolution have recorded 16 wins from 35 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 66% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Inter Miami have won 45% of their 38 matches, with 2.21 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for New England Revolution and 1.71 for Inter Miami. The models give New England Revolution a 39% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Inter Miami win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
New England Revolution—
Inter Miami4º
Position
2º
1.64
PPG
1.75
50%
Win %
46%
1.61
Goals / game
2.43
1.39
Conceded / game
1.79
66%
BTTS %
76%
17%
Clean sheet %
18%
71%
Over 2.5 %
76%
4.9
Avg corners
5.2
12.5
Avg shots
15.0
4.8
Avg shots on target
6.1
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.6
9.8
Avg fouls
13.1
51.0%
Avg possession
56.3%
Home vs Away
New England Revolution
Home (14)
—
Inter Miami
Away (14)
2.07
PPG
1.93
64%
Win %
57%
1.86
Goals / game
2.07
1.14
Conceded / game
1.71
62%
BTTS %
68%
24%
Clean sheet %
21%
67%
Over 2.5 %
74%
4.9
Avg corners
5.2
12.5
Avg shots
15.0
4.8
Avg shots on target
6.1
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.6
51.0%
Avg possession
56.3%
Goals Scored
| New England | Home | Away | Inter Miami | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 81% | 79% | 89% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 49% | 52% | 43% | 68% | 79% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 33% | 14% | 29% | 32% | 26% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 19% | 21% | 11% | 0% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| New England | Home | Away | Inter Miami | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 76% | 93% | 82% | 84% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 33% | 43% | 63% | 68% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 16% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 24% | 7% | 18% | 16% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| New England | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 32% |
| BTTS | 66% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 68% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| New England | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 66% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
New England (H)L
Seattle Sounders0–3
Seattle Sounders0–3W
Orlando City SC4–2
Orlando City SC4–2D
New York City FC1–1
New York City FC1–1L
Houston Dynamo0–2
Houston Dynamo0–2W
Atlanta United FC4–1
Atlanta United FC4–1D
Toronto FC0–0
Toronto FC0–0Inter Miami (A)L
Columbus Crew1–2
Columbus Crew1–2D
Chicago Fire1–1
Chicago Fire1–1D
Philadelphia Union2–2
Philadelphia Union2–2L
Nashville SC1–4
Nashville SC1–4W
CF Montreal1–0
CF Montreal1–0W
FC Cincinnati5–3
FC Cincinnati5–3Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
28 games
League Avg
10.0
416 games
9.2
Corners / Match
32 games
| Match Corners | New England | Inter Miami | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 78% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 66% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 50% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 57% | 44% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 31% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 39% | 28% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 16% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 13% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | New England | Inter Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 79% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 61% | 31% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
3
New England
27%
1
Draws
9%
7
Inter Miami
64%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
73%
Over 2.5
8/11
55%
Over 3.5
6/11
73%
BTTS
8/11
25/04/26New England Revolution
Inter Miami
1–1New England Revolution04/10/25New England Revolution
Inter Miami
4–1New England Revolution09/07/25Inter Miami
New England Revolution
1–2Inter Miami20/10/24New England Revolution
Inter Miami
6–2New England Revolution27/04/24Inter Miami
New England Revolution
1–4Inter Miami10/06/23Inter Miami
New England Revolution
3–1Inter Miami13/05/23New England Revolution
Inter Miami
2–1New England Revolution30/04/22Inter Miami
New England Revolution
2–0Inter Miami09/04/22New England Revolution
Inter Miami
3–2New England Revolution07/11/21Inter Miami
New England Revolution
0–1Inter Miami21/07/21New England Revolution
Inter Miami
0–5New England Revolution| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +37 | 63 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 48 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +11 | 42 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 |  Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 33 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 |  DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 |  Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 24 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
Team Insights
New England- ●New England Revolution failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●New England Revolution have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●New England Revolution failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●New England Revolution failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●New England Revolution failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●New England Revolution have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Inter Miami- ●Inter Miami have scored in each of their last 24 matches.
- ●Inter Miami have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami have scored in each of their last 14 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami have scored in 14 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Inter Miami have won 8 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Inter Miami have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
New EnglandLHSeattle Sounders0–3
Seattle Sounders0–3LAReal Salt Lake0–3
Real Salt Lake0–3WHOrlando City SC4–2
Orlando City SC4–2WAChicago Fire2–1
Chicago Fire2–1WANew York City FC2–1
New York City FC2–1LALos Angeles Galaxy1–2
Los Angeles Galaxy1–2–AFC Cincinnati14/10
FC Cincinnati14/10–HChicago Fire17/10
Chicago Fire17/10–APhiladelphia Union24/10
Philadelphia Union24/10Inter MiamiWHDC United4–0
DC United4–0LAColumbus Crew1–2
Columbus Crew1–2DHSan Diego2–2
San Diego2–2DHNashville SC2–2
Nashville SC2–2DAChicago Fire1–1
Chicago Fire1–1DHAtlanta United FC2–2
Atlanta United FC2–2–HNew York City FC14/10
New York City FC14/10–AAtlanta United FC17/10
Atlanta United FC17/10–ANew York Red Bulls24/10
New York Red Bulls24/10Top Scorers
New EnglandC. Gil10 ⚽
D. Turgeman7 ⚽
P. Miller6 ⚽
A. Yusuf5 ⚽
L. Langoni3 ⚽
B. Ceballos2 ⚽
Inter MiamiL. Messi24 ⚽
L. Suarez13 ⚽
G. Berterame8 ⚽
R. de Paul5 ⚽
Lionel Messi4 ⚽
T. Segovia4 ⚽
Cards Given
New EnglandBrooklyn Raines6 🟨
William Sands4 🟨
Matt Polster4 🟨
Carles Gil4 🟨
Griffin Yow3 🟨
Mamadou Fofana3 🟨
Inter MiamiTelasco Segovia8 🟨
I. Fray5 🟨
Micael5 🟨
Germán Berterame5 🟨
Casemiro4 🟨
Dayne St. Clair4 🟨