FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC — Major League Soccer
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FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 7 November 2026. FC Cincinnati have recorded 16 wins from 40 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 2.27 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Nashville SC have won 59% of their 44 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.02 for FC Cincinnati and 1.53 for Nashville SC. The models give FC Cincinnati a 42% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Nashville SC win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
FC Cincinnati—
Nashville SC9º
Position
1º
1.33
PPG
2.25
33%
Win %
68%
2.15
Goals / game
2.11
2.41
Conceded / game
0.79
73%
BTTS %
43%
18%
Clean sheet %
45%
73%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.9
Avg corners
5.0
14.3
Avg shots
12.2
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.7
11.3
Avg fouls
12.1
50.9%
Avg possession
52.4%
Home vs Away
FC Cincinnati
Home (12)
—
Nashville SC
Away (14)
2.00
PPG
1.64
58%
Win %
43%
2.83
Goals / game
1.29
2.00
Conceded / game
0.71
65%
BTTS %
40%
30%
Clean sheet %
45%
70%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.9
Avg corners
5.0
14.3
Avg shots
12.2
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.7
50.9%
Avg possession
52.4%
Goals Scored
| FC Cincinnati | Home | Away | Nashville SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 95% | 85% | 77% | 83% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 80% | 45% | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 55% | 25% | 34% | 54% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 5% | 15% | 23% | 17% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Cincinnati | Home | Away | Nashville SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 70% | 95% | 55% | 54% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 45% | 65% | 23% | 21% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 30% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 30% | 5% | 45% | 46% | 45% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 20% |
| BTTS | 73% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 34% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Cincinnati (H)L
New England Revolution2–3
New England Revolution2–3D
Charlotte3–3
Charlotte3–3D
Seattle Sounders1–1
Seattle Sounders1–1W
New York City FC2–1
New York City FC2–1L
Atlas1–2
Atlas1–2W
U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–0Nashville SC (A)W
Austin4–1
Austin4–1D
Inter Miami2–2
Inter Miami2–2L
Toronto FC1–2
Toronto FC1–2DNew York City FC0–0
New York City FC0–0W
New York Red Bulls1–0
New York Red Bulls1–0L
Monterrey1–2
Monterrey1–2Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
33 games
League Avg
10.0
416 games
8.9
Corners / Match
39 games
| Match Corners | FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 72% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 56% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 51% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 52% | 41% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 31% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 21% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 15% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 13% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 97% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 48% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 51% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 55% | 36% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
4
FC Cincinnati
31%
4
Draws
31%
5
Nashville SC
38%
92%
Over 1.5
12/13
69%
Over 2.5
9/13
46%
Over 3.5
6/13
69%
BTTS
9/13
30/08/26FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
4–0FC Cincinnati13/09/25Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
2–1Nashville SC30/03/25FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
1–2FC Cincinnati22/09/24FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
2–2FC Cincinnati29/05/24Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
0–2Nashville SC05/08/23Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
1–1Nashville SC15/07/23Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
3–1Nashville SC26/03/23FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
0–1FC Cincinnati17/02/23FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
6–3FC Cincinnati23/07/22Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
1–1Nashville SC27/10/21Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
3–6Nashville SC25/07/21FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
3–0FC Cincinnati18/04/21FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
2–2FC Cincinnati| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +37 | 63 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 48 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +11 | 42 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 |  Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 33 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 |  DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 | Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 24 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
Team Insights
FC Cincinnati- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 18 matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Nashville SC- ●Nashville SC have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Nashville SC have won their last 10 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Nashville SC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Nashville SC have won 6 of their 14 away matches.
- ●71% of Nashville SC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
FC CincinnatiLHNew England Revolution2–3
New England Revolution2–3WAAtlanta United FC3–1
Atlanta United FC3–1LACF Montreal1–3
CF Montreal1–3DAHouston Dynamo2–2
Houston Dynamo2–2DHCharlotte3–3
Charlotte3–3LAPhiladelphia Union0–5
Philadelphia Union0–5–HColumbus Crew18/10
Columbus Crew18/10–HDC United21/10
DC United21/10–ADC United24/10
DC United24/10Nashville SCWHSporting Kansas City4–0
Sporting Kansas City4–0WAAustin4–1
Austin4–1WHToronto FC2–0
Toronto FC2–0WHChicago Fire3–0
Chicago Fire3–0DAInter Miami2–2
Inter Miami2–2LAToronto FC1–2
Toronto FC1–2–ASan Jose Earthquakes18/10
San Jose Earthquakes18/10–ACF Montreal24/10
CF Montreal24/10–HPhiladelphia Union29/10
Philadelphia Union29/10Top Scorers
FC CincinnatiK. Denkey19 ⚽
Evander15 ⚽
T. Barlow9 ⚽
K. Mboma9 ⚽
P. Bucha7 ⚽
A. Jabbari5 ⚽
Nashville SCS. Surridge16 ⚽
H. Mukhtar12 ⚽
C. Espinoza7 ⚽
W. Madrigal5 ⚽
Hany Mukhtar4 ⚽
A. Qasem4 ⚽
Cards Given
FC CincinnatiBryan Ramirez6 🟨
Obinna Nwobodo6 🟨
Evander6 🟨
Kévin Denkey5 🟨
Tom Barlow5 🟨
O. Nwobodo4 🟨
Nashville SCAndy Najar4 🟨
Daniel Lovitz4 🟨
Hany Mukhtar4 🟨
Matthew Corcoran4 🟨
Bryan Acosta3 🟨
A. Muyl3 🟨