Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — Major League Soccer
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Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Philadelphia Union have recorded 17 wins from 40 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 2.02 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Toronto FC have won 29% of their 34 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.86 for Philadelphia Union and 0.93 for Toronto FC. The models give Philadelphia Union a 61% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Toronto FC win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Philadelphia Union | Home | Away | Toronto FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 76% | 85% | 83% | 95% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 57% | 50% | 49% | 68% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 39% | 33% | 45% | 20% | 32% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 24% | 15% | 17% | 5% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Philadelphia Union | Home | Away | Toronto FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 62% | 90% | 89% | 95% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 33% | 50% | 51% | 45% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 5% | 25% | 34% | 32% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 38% | 10% | 11% | 5% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 26% |
| BTTS | 61% | 77% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 51% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 86% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 79% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 51% | 75% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 46% | 64% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 57% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 37% | 39% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 25% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 25% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 89% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 51% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 43% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 61% |
Head to Head · 33 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +37 | 63 | |
| 1 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 | |
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 | |
| 2 | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +18 | 49 | |
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 48 | |
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 | |
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 | |
| 4 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 46 | |
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 | |
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 | |
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +11 | 42 | |
| 6 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 | |
| 7 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 | |
| 7 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 37 | |
| 8 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 | |
| 8 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 | 36 | |
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 36 | |
| 9 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 | |
| 10 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 33 | |
| 10 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 | |
| 11 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 | |
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 | |
| 12 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 | |
| 12 | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 | 30 | |
| 13 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 | |
| 13 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 | 29 | |
| 14 | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 | |
| 14 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 | 27 | |
| 15 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 24 | |
| 15 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
Team Insights
- ●Philadelphia Union have won their last 8 matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 18 matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Philadelphia Union have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●70% of Philadelphia Union's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Philadelphia Union have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Toronto FC have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have scored in each of their last 16 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC have scored in 16 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Toronto FC have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●77% of Toronto FC's goals have been scored at home.