New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC — Major League Soccer
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New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United FC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 7 November 2026. New York Red Bulls have recorded 13 wins from 36 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Atlanta United FC have won 31% of their 35 matches, with 1.34 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for New York Red Bulls and 1.40 for Atlanta United FC. The models give New York Red Bulls a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Atlanta United FC win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
New York Red Bulls—
Atlanta United FC8º
Position
14º
1.29
PPG
0.96
36%
Win %
25%
1.36
Goals / game
1.18
1.86
Conceded / game
1.71
64%
BTTS %
63%
14%
Clean sheet %
17%
67%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.5
Avg corners
5.0
13.6
Avg shots
12.9
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.1
12.5
Avg fouls
11.5
50.9%
Avg possession
51.8%
Home vs Away
New York Red Bulls
Home (14)
—
Atlanta United FC
Away (14)
1.29
PPG
0.93
36%
Win %
21%
1.57
Goals / game
0.93
1.93
Conceded / game
1.57
60%
BTTS %
56%
10%
Clean sheet %
17%
70%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.5
Avg corners
5.0
13.6
Avg shots
12.9
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.1
50.9%
Avg possession
51.8%
Goals Scored
| New York | Home | Away | Atlanta United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 70% | 82% | 72% | 76% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 40% | 35% | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 40% | 6% | 17% | 24% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 30% | 18% | 28% | 24% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| New York | Home | Away | Atlanta United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 90% | 82% | 81% | 82% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 59% | 60% | 59% | 50% | 59% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 35% | 29% | 19% | 24% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| New York | Atlanta United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 49% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 17% |
| BTTS | 65% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| New York | Atlanta United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 72% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
New York (H)W
San Diego4–1
San Diego4–1L
St. Louis City0–3
St. Louis City0–3L
Philadelphia Union1–3
Philadelphia Union1–3D
Chicago Fire1–1
Chicago Fire1–1L
Nashville SC0–1
Nashville SC0–1W
Orlando City SC3–2
Orlando City SC3–2Atlanta United (A)W
CF Montreal3–0
CF Montreal3–0W
Portland Timbers1–0
Portland Timbers1–0D
DC United0–0
DC United0–0D
Inter Miami2–2
Inter Miami2–2W
Minnesota United FC2–1
Minnesota United FC2–1LPhiladelphia Union2–3
Philadelphia Union2–3Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
27 games
League Avg
10.0
416 games
10.3
Corners / Match
27 games
| Match Corners | New York | Atlanta United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 85% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 74% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 74% | 67% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 59% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 44% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 37% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 30% | 19% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 26% | 19% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | New York | Atlanta United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 81% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 59% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
11
New York
50%
6
Draws
27%
5
Atlanta United
23%
59%
Over 1.5
13/22
50%
Over 2.5
11/22
23%
Over 3.5
5/22
41%
BTTS
9/22
15/08/26New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2–1New York Red Bulls11/02/26New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
3–2New York Red Bulls31/05/25Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
2–0Atlanta United FC09/03/25New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
0–0New York Red Bulls05/10/24New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2–1New York Red Bulls21/09/24Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
2–2Atlanta United FC24/06/23Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
4–0Atlanta United FC01/04/23New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
1–0New York Red Bulls17/08/22New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
1–2New York Red Bulls01/07/22Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
2–1Atlanta United FC03/11/21Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
0–0Atlanta United FC27/06/21New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
0–0New York Red Bulls11/10/20New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
0–1New York Red Bulls12/07/20New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
0–1New York Red Bulls07/07/19New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
3–3New York Red Bulls19/05/19Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
1–0Atlanta United FC30/11/18Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
1–0Atlanta United FC25/11/18New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
3–0New York Red Bulls30/09/18Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
2–0Atlanta United FC20/05/18New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
1–3New York Red Bulls| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +37 | 63 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 48 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 |  New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +11 | 42 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 |  Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 33 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 |  Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 24 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
Team Insights
New York- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●New York Red Bulls have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Atlanta United- ●Atlanta United FC have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have lost 8 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
New YorkLADC United1–2
DC United1–2WHSan Diego4–1
San Diego4–1LHSt. Louis City0–3
St. Louis City0–3WANew York City FC1–0
New York City FC1–0WAColumbus Crew1–0
Columbus Crew1–0LALos Angeles FC0–2
Los Angeles FC0–2–HToronto FC17/10
Toronto FC17/10–HInter Miami24/10
Inter Miami24/10–ANew England Revolution28/10
New England Revolution28/10Atlanta UnitedWACF Montreal3–0
CF Montreal3–0LHFC Cincinnati1–3
FC Cincinnati1–3DHNew York City FC2–2
New York City FC2–2WAPortland Timbers1–0
Portland Timbers1–0DADC United0–0
DC United0–0LHOrlando City SC2–3
Orlando City SC2–3–HInter Miami17/10
Inter Miami17/10–HChicago Fire24/10
Chicago Fire24/10–ANew York City FC28/10
New York City FC28/10Top Scorers
New YorkJ. Hall13 ⚽
J. Ruvalcaba7 ⚽
E. Forsberg4 ⚽
E. M. Choupo-Moting3 ⚽
C. Cowell2 ⚽
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting2 ⚽
Atlanta UnitedA. Miranchuk7 ⚽
T. Muyumba4 ⚽
F. Picault4 ⚽
Miguel Almirón3 ⚽
E. Latte Lath3 ⚽
M. Almiron3 ⚽
Cards Given
New YorkRonald Donkor8 🟨
Omar Valencia4 🟨
Adri Mehmeti4 🟨
Jorge Ruvalcaba4 🟨
A. Mehmeti4 🟨
M. Sofo4 🟨
Atlanta UnitedTomás Jacob8 🟨
Tristan Muyumba4 🟨
Cooper Sanchez4 🟨
Enea Mihaj4 🟨
C. Sanchez4 🟨
Elías Báez3 🟨