Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes — Major League Soccer
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Minnesota United FC and San Jose Earthquakes meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Minnesota United FC have recorded 9 wins from 37 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. San Jose Earthquakes have won 49% of their 37 matches, with 1.73 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Minnesota United FC and 1.58 for San Jose Earthquakes. The models give Minnesota United FC a 32% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an San Jose Earthquakes win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Minnesota United FC—
San Jose Earthquakes14º
Position
4º
1.07
PPG
1.64
25%
Win %
46%
1.50
Goals / game
1.79
1.82
Conceded / game
1.43
68%
BTTS %
59%
24%
Clean sheet %
27%
65%
Over 2.5 %
51%
5.4
Avg corners
6.3
13.4
Avg shots
13.5
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.3
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.3
12.6
Avg fouls
12.6
46.8%
Avg possession
49.1%
Home vs Away
Minnesota United FC
Home (14)
—
San Jose Earthquakes
Away (14)
0.93
PPG
1.79
14%
Win %
50%
1.14
Goals / game
1.79
1.29
Conceded / game
1.29
63%
BTTS %
65%
25%
Clean sheet %
18%
50%
Over 2.5 %
41%
5.4
Avg corners
6.3
13.4
Avg shots
13.5
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.3
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.3
46.8%
Avg possession
49.1%
Goals Scored
| Minnesota United | Home | Away | San Jose | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 75% | 81% | 84% | 90% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 38% | 48% | 49% | 55% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 13% | 19% | 30% | 30% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 25% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| Minnesota United | Home | Away | San Jose | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 75% | 76% | 73% | 65% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 51% | 44% | 57% | 38% | 40% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 13% | 29% | 16% | 20% | 12% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | 35% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Minnesota United | San Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 27% |
| BTTS | 68% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Minnesota United | San Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 49% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 65% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Minnesota United (H)D
Houston Dynamo2–2
Houston Dynamo2–2L
Los Angeles Galaxy2–3
Los Angeles Galaxy2–3L
FC Dallas1–2
FC Dallas1–2D
Orlando City SC3–3
Orlando City SC3–3L
Atlanta United FC1–2
Atlanta United FC1–2W
Atlante FC3–1
Atlante FC3–1San Jose (A)D
Real Salt Lake1–1
Real Salt Lake1–1D
Colorado Rapids1–1
Colorado Rapids1–1W
San Diego3–2
San Diego3–2D
Austin1–1
Austin1–1DHouston Dynamo0–0
Houston Dynamo0–0LLos Angeles Galaxy0–1
Los Angeles Galaxy0–1Number of Corners
10.5
Corners / Match
31 games
League Avg
10.0
416 games
11.0
Corners / Match
27 games
| Match Corners | Minnesota United | San Jose | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 97% | 78% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 74% | 74% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 68% | 67% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 52% | 59% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 56% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 48% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 23% | 37% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 16% | 37% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Minnesota United | San Jose |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 6.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 87% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 68% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 65% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 87% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 74% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 48% | 44% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
10
Minnesota United
45%
4
Draws
18%
8
San Jose
36%
82%
Over 1.5
18/22
59%
Over 2.5
13/22
50%
Over 3.5
11/22
68%
BTTS
15/22
23/08/26Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1–5Minnesota United FC29/04/26Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
4–2Minnesota United FC13/07/25San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
4–1San Jose Earthquakes09/03/25Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1Minnesota United FC01/09/24Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1–2Minnesota United FC21/07/24San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
2–0San Jose Earthquakes01/10/23San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
1–1San Jose Earthquakes03/09/23Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1Minnesota United FC15/02/23San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
1–4San Jose Earthquakes02/10/22Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2–0Minnesota United FC20/03/22San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
1–0San Jose Earthquakes18/08/21Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1Minnesota United FC04/07/21San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
2–2San Jose Earthquakes02/08/20Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1–4Minnesota United FC08/03/20Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2–5Minnesota United FC04/07/19San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
3–1San Jose Earthquakes10/03/19Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0–3Minnesota United FC12/05/18San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
1–3San Jose Earthquakes04/03/18Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3–2Minnesota United FC22/10/17Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3–2Minnesota United FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +37 | 63 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 48 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 |  New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +11 | 42 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 33 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 |  DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 | Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 24 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
Team Insights
Minnesota United- ●Minnesota United FC have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have failed to win in their last 11 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Minnesota United FC have scored in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●64% of Minnesota United FC's goals have been scored away.
- ●66% of Minnesota United FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Minnesota United FC have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
San Jose- ●San Jose Earthquakes have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have won 7 of their 15 away matches.
- ●San Jose Earthquakes have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
Minnesota UnitedDAColorado Rapids2–2
Colorado Rapids2–2DHHouston Dynamo2–2
Houston Dynamo2–2LASeattle Sounders1–3
Seattle Sounders1–3LHLos Angeles Galaxy2–3
Los Angeles Galaxy2–3LASt. Louis City2–4
St. Louis City2–4LHFC Dallas1–2
FC Dallas1–2–HSt. Louis City17/10
St. Louis City17/10–AHouston Dynamo25/10
Houston Dynamo25/10–HSporting Kansas City29/10
Sporting Kansas City29/10San JoseDAReal Salt Lake1–1
Real Salt Lake1–1DAColorado Rapids1–1
Colorado Rapids1–1WHPortland Timbers3–1
Portland Timbers3–1DHLos Angeles FC2–2
Los Angeles FC2–2WHHouston Dynamo1–0
Houston Dynamo1–0WASan Diego3–2
San Diego3–2–HNashville SC18/10
Nashville SC18/10–AFC Dallas25/10
FC Dallas25/10–HColorado Rapids29/10
Colorado Rapids29/10Top Scorers
Minnesota UnitedK. Yeboah12 ⚽
A. Markanich6 ⚽
J. Pereyra5 ⚽
T. Chancalay4 ⚽
Kelvin Yeboah4 ⚽
M. Caldeira3 ⚽
San JoseP. Judd14 ⚽
O. Bouda7 ⚽
T. Werner6 ⚽
N. Tsakiris5 ⚽
B. Leroux5 ⚽
D. Munie4 ⚽
Cards Given
Minnesota UnitedJefferson Díaz6 🟨
Kyle Duncan5 🟨
Morris Duggan5 🟨
Owen Gene4 🟨
Joaquín Pereyra3 🟨
J. Pereyra3 🟨
San JoseP. Judd6 🟨
Reid Roberts5 🟨
B. Kikanovic5 🟨
R. Vieira4 🟨
R. Roberts4 🟨
Ronaldo Vieira4 🟨