Rhode Island vs Loudoun United — USL Championship
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Rhode Island and Loudoun United meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 14 October 2026. Rhode Island have recorded 15 wins from 36 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Loudoun United have won 21% of their 38 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Rhode Island and 0.97 for Loudoun United. The models give Rhode Island a 53% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Loudoun United win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Rhode Island—
Loudoun United6º
Position
10º
1.47
PPG
0.94
40%
Win %
13%
1.67
Goals / game
1.19
1.20
Conceded / game
1.81
53%
BTTS %
61%
31%
Clean sheet %
26%
47%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Rhode Island
Home (8)
—
Loudoun United
Away (7)
1.63
PPG
1.14
38%
Win %
29%
1.63
Goals / game
0.86
0.88
Conceded / game
1.71
58%
BTTS %
55%
42%
Clean sheet %
25%
47%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Rhode Island | Home | Away | Loudoun United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 95% | 59% | 74% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 47% | 29% | 37% | 56% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 32% | 24% | 13% | 22% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 5% | 41% | 26% | 22% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Rhode Island | Home | Away | Loudoun United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 58% | 82% | 74% | 72% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 16% | 35% | 47% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 11% | 6% | 26% | 28% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 42% | 18% | 26% | 28% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rhode Island | Loudoun United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 24% |
| BTTS | 53% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rhode Island | Loudoun United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 34% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Rhode Island (H)W
Indy Eleven1–0
Indy Eleven1–0L
Miami FC1–2
Miami FC1–2D
Louisville City1–1
Louisville City1–1W
Monterey Bay3–1
Monterey Bay3–1W
Colorado Springs2–0
Colorado Springs2–0W
Hartford Athletic1–0
Hartford Athletic1–0Loudoun United (A)WMiami FC2–0
Miami FC2–0W
Sporting JAX4–1
Sporting JAX4–1LLouisville City1–2
Louisville City1–2L
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–1L
El Paso Locomotive1–4
El Paso Locomotive1–4D
Detroit City0–0
Detroit City0–0Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Rhode Island
20%
3
Draws
60%
1
Loudoun United
20%
40%
Over 1.5
2/5
20%
Over 2.5
1/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
20%
BTTS
1/5
13/06/26Rhode Island
Loudoun United
1–4Rhode Island09/08/25Loudoun United
Rhode Island
0–0Loudoun United29/03/25Rhode Island
Loudoun United
2–0Rhode Island13/10/24Loudoun United
Rhode Island
0–0Loudoun United24/08/24Rhode Island
Loudoun United
0–0Rhode Island| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 |  New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 |  Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 |  Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 5 |  FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 |  San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 |  Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 |  Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 |  Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 |  Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
Rhode Island- ●Rhode Island have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Rhode Island have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Rhode Island failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Rhode Island have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Rhode Island have lost 9 of their 14 away matches.
Loudoun United- ●Loudoun United have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Loudoun United have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Loudoun United have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Loudoun United failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Loudoun United have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
Rhode IslandLADetroit City0–1
Detroit City0–1WABrooklyn3–1
Brooklyn3–1WHIndy Eleven1–0
Indy Eleven1–0LACharleston Battery0–2
Charleston Battery0–2LHMiami FC1–2
Miami FC1–2WASporting JAX3–0
Sporting JAX3–0–HLoudoun United14/10
Loudoun United14/10–HPittsburgh Riverhounds17/10
Pittsburgh Riverhounds17/10–AHartford Athletic24/10
Hartford Athletic24/10Loudoun UnitedWAMiami FC2–0
Miami FC2–0DHIndy Eleven1–1
Indy Eleven1–1WASporting JAX4–1
Sporting JAX4–1LALouisville City1–2
Louisville City1–2LAPittsburgh Riverhounds0–1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–1LHColorado Springs4–5
Colorado Springs4–5–ARhode Island14/10
Rhode Island14/10–ABirmingham Legion18/10
Birmingham Legion18/10–HBrooklyn24/10
Brooklyn24/10Top Scorers
Rhode IslandJ. Williams11 ⚽
Leo Afonso6 ⚽
J. Kwizera6 ⚽
N. Scardina4 ⚽
D. Atkinson3 ⚽
H. Bacharach Capdevila3 ⚽
Loudoun UnitedT. Ulfarsson10 ⚽
E. Davis III8 ⚽
A. Aboukoura5 ⚽
A. Ordonez3 ⚽
3 ⚽
C. Torres2 ⚽
Cards Given
Rhode IslandH. Bacharach Capdevila13 🟨
J. Kwizera9 🟨
K. Smith7 🟨
F. Nodarse6 🟨
A. Sanchez6 🟨
K. Yao6 🟨
Loudoun UnitedB. Akinyode11 🟨
K. Awuah7 🟨
J. Murphy7 🟨
P. Santos6 🟨
N. Adnan6 🟨
J. Erlandson4 🟨