MatchPulse

Santos vs Bahia — Serie A

← Back
Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 32
Santos
Santos
8º · 1.41 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 23h
vs
–
–
Bahia
Bahia
4º · 1.70 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 40d 22h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

Santos and Bahia meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Santos have recorded 21 wins from 55 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.49 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Bahia have won 52% of their 44 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Santos and 1.47 for Bahia. The models give Santos a 39% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Bahia win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Santos
—
Bahia
8º
Position
4º
1.41
PPG
1.70
37%
Win %
44%
1.52
Goals / game
1.56
1.48
Conceded / game
1.22
58%
BTTS %
68%
31%
Clean sheet %
25%
53%
Over 2.5 %
61%
5.4
Avg corners
5.9
13.7
Avg shots
13.7
4.1
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.7
Avg yellow cards
2.5
12.1
Avg fouls
13.5
53.7%
Avg possession
56.7%

Home vs Away

Santos
Home (14)
—
Bahia
Away (13)
1.57
PPG
1.69
43%
Win %
46%
1.43
Goals / game
1.54
1.29
Conceded / game
1.46
54%
BTTS %
55%
39%
Clean sheet %
30%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.4
Avg corners
5.9
13.7
Avg shots
13.7
4.1
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.7
Avg yellow cards
2.5
53.7%
Avg possession
56.7%

Goals Scored

SantosHomeAwayBahiaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored78%79%78%89%96%80%
Over 1.5 Scored47%54%41%57%67%45%
Over 2.5 Scored15%18%11%27%33%20%
Failed To Score22%21%22%11%4%20%

Goals Conceded

SantosHomeAwayBahiaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded69%61%78%75%79%70%
Over 1.5 Conceded35%25%44%39%33%45%
Over 2.5 Conceded13%7%19%9%4%15%
Clean Sheets31%39%22%25%21%30%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

SantosBahia
Over 0.589%95%
Over 1.580%86%
Over 2.553%61%
Over 3.525%34%
Over 4.515%23%
BTTS58%68%
BTTS & Win18%32%
BTTS & Draw24%23%
BTTS & Over 2.542%55%
BTTS No & Over 2.511%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

SantosBahia
Win 1st Half33%43%
Draw 1st Half47%34%
Loss 1st Half20%23%
Scored 1st Half53%61%
Conceded 1st Half40%55%
Win 2nd Half35%34%
Draw 2nd Half35%39%
Loss 2nd Half31%27%
Scored 2nd Half53%55%
Conceded 2nd Half47%45%
Over 0.5 HT71%84%
Over 1.5 HT38%52%

Recent Venue Form

Santos (H)
WCruzeiro2–1
WAtletico-MG2–0
DPalmeiras0–0
DMirassol1–1
WMacara2–1
LAtletico Paranaense0–2
Bahia (A)
WRB Bragantino3–2
WVitoria2–0
DChapecoense-sc3–3
DFluminense0–0
DAtletico-MG1–1
LFluminense0–2

Number of Corners

10.0
Corners / Match
53 games
League Avg
10.1
268 games
11.1
Corners / Match
30 games
Match CornersSantosBahiaLeague Avg
Over 687%90%84%
Over 781%87%75%
Over 872%73%67%
Over 960%63%55%
Over 1042%47%40%
Over 1126%47%31%
Over 1219%33%24%
Over 138%30%17%

Team Corners

Team CornersSantosBahia
Corners Earned / Match5.45.9
Corners Against / Match4.65.2
Over 2.5 Corners For85%87%
Over 3.5 Corners For75%83%
Over 4.5 Corners For62%70%
Over 2.5 Corners Against77%80%
Over 3.5 Corners Against66%63%
Over 4.5 Corners Against47%53%

Head to Head · 25 matches

11
Santos
44%
8
Draws
32%
6
Bahia
24%
68%
Over 1.5
17/25
44%
Over 2.5
11/25
20%
Over 3.5
5/25
36%
BTTS
9/25
25/04/26
Bahia
2–2
Santos
24/08/25
Bahia
2–0
Santos
06/04/25
Santos
2–2
Bahia
18/09/23
Bahia
1–2
Santos
31/05/23
Bahia
1–1
Santos
17/05/23
Santos
0–0
Bahia
10/05/23
Santos
3–0
Bahia
12/09/21
Santos
0–0
Bahia
29/05/21
Bahia
3–0
Santos
26/02/21
Bahia
2–0
Santos
01/11/20
Santos
3–1
Bahia
31/10/19
Santos
1–0
Bahia
13/07/19
Bahia
0–1
Santos
25/08/18
Santos
2–0
Bahia
21/04/18
Bahia
1–0
Santos
16/11/17
Bahia
3–1
Santos
23/07/17
Santos
3–0
Bahia
09/10/14
Santos
1–0
Bahia
30/05/14
Bahia
0–2
Santos
14/11/13
Santos
3–0
Bahia
Serie A
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo271764+3157
2Palmeiras271683+2656
3Atletico Paranaense271377+1046
4Bahia2712105+946
5Fluminense271296+645
6Cruzeiro271269042
7Atletico-MG271179+440
8Santos271089+138
9Coritiba271089-138
10RB Bragantino2610610+336
11Botafogo289811-435
12Sao Paulo269611+133
13Vitoria279612-1233
14Corinthians278811-132
15Mirassol288812-932
16Gremio277713-828
17Vasco DA Gama267712-1228
18Internacional2761011-528
19Remo285815-1523
20Chapecoense-sc273915-2418
20Chapecoense B201712-2210

Team Insights

Santos
  • ●Santos have won their last 4 matches.
  • ●Santos have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Santos have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Santos have won their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Santos have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
  • ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Santos have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
  • ●Santos have scored in 12 of their 13 away matches.
Bahia
  • ●Bahia have won their last 4 matches.
  • ●Bahia have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Bahia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Bahia have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Bahia have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Bahia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Bahia have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Bahia have won 6 of their 13 away matches.
  • ●Bahia have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches.
  • ●Bahia have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Bahia have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
SantosSantos
WARemo19º2–1
LAAtletico-MG1º2–4
LAAtletico-MG1º2–4
WHCruzeiro6º2–1
WHAtletico-MG1º2–0
WHAtletico-MG1º2–0
WAInternacional18º3–2
DHPalmeiras0–0
WACorinthians14º1–0
LAPalmeiras0–3
BahiaBahia
WHRemo19º2–1
WARB Bragantino10º3–2
WHInternacional18º3–2
WAVitoria13º2–0
DAChapecoense-sc20º3–3
DHVasco DA Gama17º0–0
DAFluminense5º0–0
DHCorinthians14º1–1
DAAtletico-MG7º1–1
WHChapecoense-sc20º2–0

Season Schedule

Santos
WARemo2–1
WHCruzeiro2–1
WAInternacional3–2
WACorinthians1–0
DHMirassol1–1
WAVasco DA Gama3–0
–HFlamengo08/10
–AAtletico-MG11/10
–AFluminense18/10
Bahia
WHRemo2–1
WARB Bragantino3–2
WHInternacional3–2
WAVitoria2–0
DAChapecoense-sc3–3
DHVasco DA Gama0–0
–APalmeiras09/10
–HMirassol11/10
–HFlamengo18/10

Top Scorers

Santos
Gabriel Barbosa21 ⚽
Neymar8 ⚽
A. Barreal6 ⚽
Gabriel Bontempo6 ⚽
Rony5 ⚽
Thaciano5 ⚽
Bahia
Willian Jose9 ⚽
Luciano Juba8 ⚽
Erick8 ⚽
Everaldo7 ⚽
Jean Lucas6 ⚽
Dell4 ⚽

Cards Given

Santos
Gabriel Barbosa13 🟨
Gonzalo Escobar12 🟨
Luan Peres11 🟨
Neymar10 🟨
Gabriel Menino9 🟨
Rony9 🟨
Bahia
Erick7 🟨
Nicolás Acevedo7 🟨
Ademir6 🟨
Luciano Juba6 🟨
Erick Pulga5 🟨
5 🟨