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Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro — Serie A

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Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 33
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
7º · 1.57 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 18d 3h
vs
–
–
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
6º · 1.66 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 16d 22h
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Atletico-MG and Cruzeiro meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Atletico-MG have recorded 24 wins from 57 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Cruzeiro have won 47% of their 59 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 36%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Atletico-MG and 1.25 for Cruzeiro. The models give Atletico-MG a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Cruzeiro win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Atletico-MG
—
Cruzeiro
7º
Position
6º
1.57
PPG
1.66
43%
Win %
48%
1.37
Goals / game
1.52
1.17
Conceded / game
1.38
56%
BTTS %
58%
25%
Clean sheet %
36%
46%
Over 2.5 %
53%
5.0
Avg corners
5.1
13.2
Avg shots
14.6
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.4
11.6
Avg fouls
13.3
51.1%
Avg possession
54.3%

Home vs Away

Atletico-MG
Home (15)
—
Cruzeiro
Away (14)
2.13
PPG
1.43
60%
Win %
43%
1.73
Goals / game
1.29
1.13
Conceded / game
1.71
68%
BTTS %
68%
29%
Clean sheet %
25%
54%
Over 2.5 %
64%
5.0
Avg corners
5.1
13.2
Avg shots
14.6
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.4
51.1%
Avg possession
54.3%

Goals Scored

Atletico-MGHomeAwayCruzeiroHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored74%89%59%85%87%83%
Over 1.5 Scored40%54%28%40%45%34%
Over 2.5 Scored16%18%14%12%19%3%
Failed To Score26%11%41%15%13%17%

Goals Conceded

Atletico-MGHomeAwayCruzeiroHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%71%79%65%55%76%
Over 1.5 Conceded28%18%38%30%16%45%
Over 2.5 Conceded4%7%0%12%6%17%
Clean Sheets25%29%21%35%45%24%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Atletico-MGCruzeiro
Over 0.593%92%
Over 1.570%75%
Over 2.546%53%
Over 3.525%23%
Over 4.55%7%
BTTS56%58%
BTTS & Win25%20%
BTTS & Draw26%17%
BTTS & Over 2.540%47%
BTTS No & Over 2.55%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Atletico-MGCruzeiro
Win 1st Half33%30%
Draw 1st Half40%42%
Loss 1st Half26%28%
Scored 1st Half44%47%
Conceded 1st Half39%42%
Win 2nd Half32%40%
Draw 2nd Half42%38%
Loss 2nd Half26%22%
Scored 2nd Half54%65%
Conceded 2nd Half54%43%
Over 0.5 HT68%72%
Over 1.5 HT25%32%

Recent Venue Form

Atletico-MG (H)
WSantos2–1
WRB Bragantino1–0
DChapecoense-sc1–1
WSantos4–2
WFluminense3–1
WCruzeiro2–1
Cruzeiro (A)
LRB Bragantino2–4
WVitoria3–1
LSantos1–2
LAtletico-MG1–2
LVasco DA Gama1–3
LFlamengo1–2

Number of Corners

10.1
Corners / Match
45 games
League Avg
10.3
296 games
9.7
Corners / Match
43 games
Match CornersAtletico-MGCruzeiroLeague Avg
Over 684%74%84%
Over 771%70%76%
Over 867%63%68%
Over 956%49%56%
Over 1040%35%42%
Over 1133%23%33%
Over 1227%21%25%
Over 1322%14%19%

Team Corners

Team CornersAtletico-MGCruzeiro
Corners Earned / Match5.05.1
Corners Against / Match5.14.6
Over 2.5 Corners For78%74%
Over 3.5 Corners For67%67%
Over 4.5 Corners For51%56%
Over 2.5 Corners Against76%74%
Over 3.5 Corners Against62%58%
Over 4.5 Corners Against56%40%

Head to Head · 45 matches

20
Atletico-MG
44%
12
Draws
27%
13
Cruzeiro
29%
73%
Over 1.5
33/45
49%
Over 2.5
22/45
31%
Over 3.5
14/45
56%
BTTS
25/45
02/09/26
Atletico-MG
2–1
Cruzeiro
26/08/26
Cruzeiro
1–1
Atletico-MG
03/05/26
Cruzeiro
1–3
Atletico-MG
08/03/26
Cruzeiro
1–0
Atletico-MG
25/01/26
Atletico-MG
2–1
Cruzeiro
16/10/25
Atletico-MG
1–1
Cruzeiro
11/09/25
Cruzeiro
2–0
Atletico-MG
27/08/25
Atletico-MG
0–2
Cruzeiro
18/05/25
Cruzeiro
0–0
Atletico-MG
09/02/25
Cruzeiro
0–2
Atletico-MG
18/01/25
Atletico-MG
0–0
Cruzeiro
11/08/24
Cruzeiro
0–0
Atletico-MG
21/04/24
Atletico-MG
3–0
Cruzeiro
07/04/24
Cruzeiro
1–3
Atletico-MG
30/03/24
Atletico-MG
2–2
Cruzeiro
03/02/24
Atletico-MG
0–2
Cruzeiro
22/10/23
Atletico-MG
0–1
Cruzeiro
03/06/23
Cruzeiro
0–1
Atletico-MG
13/02/23
Cruzeiro
1–1
Atletico-MG
02/04/22
Atletico-MG
3–1
Cruzeiro
Serie A
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo301974+3364
2Palmeiras301893+3063
3Fluminense301497+1151
4Atletico Paranaense291487+1150
5Bahia3013107+849
6Cruzeiro291469+448
7Atletico-MG301389+647
8Santos3011910+142
9Sao Paulo3011613039
10Coritiba3010911-1039
11RB Bragantino2910712+137
12Vitoria3010614-1136
13Botafogo309912-536
14Vasco DA Gama299812-635
15Mirassol308913-1033
16Corinthians308814-732
17Internacional3071112-532
18Gremio3071013-831
19Remo3051015-1525
20Chapecoense-sc283916-2818
20Chapecoense B201712-2210

Team Insights

Atletico-MG
  • ●Atletico-MG have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●63% of Atletico-MG's goals have been scored at home.
Cruzeiro
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
WHSantos8º2–1
DAAtletico Paranaense4º2–2
WHRB Bragantino11º1–0
DHChapecoense-sc20º1–1
WHSantos2º4–2
WHSantos2º4–2
WHFluminense3º3–1
LASantos2º0–2
LASantos2º0–2
LASao Paulo9º0–2
CruzeiroCruzeiro
LARB Bragantino11º2–4
WHSao Paulo9º2–0
WAVitoria12º3–1
LASantos8º1–2
WHAtletico Paranaense4º3–1
LAAtletico-MG1–2
LAVasco DA Gama14º1–3
DHAtletico-MG1–1
WHFlamengo1º2–1
LAFlamengo1º1–2

Season Schedule

Atletico-MG
WHSantos2–1
DAAtletico Paranaense2–2
WHRB Bragantino1–0
DHChapecoense-sc1–1
WHFluminense3–1
LASao Paulo0–2
–HCoritiba17/10
–AFlamengo26/10
–HCruzeiro29/10
Cruzeiro
LARB Bragantino2–4
WHSao Paulo2–0
WAVitoria3–1
LASantos1–2
WHAtletico Paranaense3–1
LAVasco DA Gama1–3
–AGremio18/10
–HRemo23/10
–AAtletico-MG29/10

Top Scorers

Atletico-MG
Reinier6 ⚽
Victor Hugo6 ⚽
Cuello6 ⚽
Bernard6 ⚽
Hulk5 ⚽
R. Lodi5 ⚽
Cruzeiro
Kaio Jorge19 ⚽
Matheus Pereira14 ⚽
Christian8 ⚽
K. Arroyo7 ⚽
N. Villarreal4 ⚽
L. Sinisterra3 ⚽

Cards Given

Atletico-MG
Lyanco7 🟨
Ruan Tressoldi7 🟨
Alan Franco6 🟨
Ruan6 🟨
Natanael5 🟨
A. Franco5 🟨
Cruzeiro
Matheus Pereira15 🟨
Matheus Henrique9 🟨
K. Arroyo9 🟨
Gerson7 🟨
Lucas Silva7 🟨
Fagner6 🟨