Corinthians vs Mirassol — Serie A
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Corinthians and Mirassol meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Corinthians have recorded 20 wins from 54 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Mirassol have won 31% of their 48 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for Corinthians and 0.93 for Mirassol. The models give Corinthians a 41% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Mirassol win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Corinthians | Home | Away | Mirassol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 69% | 79% | 71% | 88% | 52% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 31% | 14% | 38% | 48% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 31% | 21% | 29% | 12% | 48% |
Goals Conceded
| Corinthians | Home | Away | Mirassol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 54% | 64% | 81% | 72% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 24% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 46% | 36% | 19% | 28% | 9% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Corinthians | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 2% | 4% |
| BTTS | 43% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Corinthians | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 37% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Corinthians | Mirassol | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 83% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 73% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 59% | 63% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 47% | 48% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 42% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 24% | 35% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 23% | 24% |
| Over 13 | 16% | 15% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Corinthians | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 61% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 53% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 41% | 48% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 | |
| 2 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 56 | |
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 | |
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 | |
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 | |
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 | |
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 | |
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 | |
| 9 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 38 | |
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 | |
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 | |
| 12 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | +1 | 33 | |
| 13 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 | |
| 14 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 | |
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 | |
| 16 | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -8 | 28 | |
| 17 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 28 | |
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -5 | 28 | |
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 | |
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 | |
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Corinthians have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Corinthians have lost their last 6 matches.
- ●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Corinthians have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Corinthians have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Corinthians have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Corinthians have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Corinthians have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Corinthians have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Corinthians have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Corinthians have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Mirassol have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Mirassol have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Mirassol have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mirassol have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Mirassol have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Mirassol have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●64% of Mirassol's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Mirassol have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.