Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Gremio

18º · 1.03 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 18d 4h

–

Atletico Paranaense

3º · 1.77 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 17d 2h

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Gremio and Atletico Paranaense meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Gremio have recorded 21 wins from 58 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Atletico Paranaense have won 46% of their 46 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 28%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Gremio and 1.36 for Atletico Paranaense. The models give Gremio a 38% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Atletico Paranaense win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Gremio

—

Atletico Paranaense

18º

Position

3º

1.03

PPG

1.77

23%

Win %

50%

1.07

Goals / game

1.63

1.33

Conceded / game

1.17

52%

BTTS %

54%

33%

Clean sheet %

28%

43%

Over 2.5 %

52%

4.1

Avg corners

4.8

12.2

Avg shots

12.5

4.0

Avg shots on target

4.9

2.6

Avg yellow cards

2.2

12.6

Avg fouls

13.7

51.7%

Avg possession

48.6%

Home vs Away

Gremio

Home (15)

—

Atletico Paranaense

Away (15)

1.73

PPG

1.40

47%

Win %

40%

1.53

Goals / game

1.47

1.13

Conceded / game

1.47

53%

BTTS %

63%

37%

Clean sheet %

17%

43%

Over 2.5 %

63%

4.1

Avg corners

4.8

12.2

Avg shots

12.5

4.0

Avg shots on target

4.9

2.6

Avg yellow cards

2.2

51.7%

Avg possession

48.6%

Goals Scored

	Gremio	Home	Away	Atletico Paranaense	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	74%	83%	64%	74%	77%	71%
Over 1.5 Scored	36%	43%	29%	52%	64%	42%
Over 2.5 Scored	17%	23%	11%	20%	23%	17%
Failed To Score	26%	17%	36%	26%	23%	29%

Goals Conceded

	Gremio	Home	Away	Atletico Paranaense	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	67%	63%	71%	72%	59%	83%
Over 1.5 Conceded	28%	20%	36%	26%	9%	42%
Over 2.5 Conceded	10%	7%	14%	13%	5%	21%
Clean Sheets	33%	37%	29%	28%	41%	17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Gremio	Atletico Paranaense
Over 0.5	90%	91%
Over 1.5	72%	74%
Over 2.5	43%	52%
Over 3.5	21%	30%
Over 4.5	10%	17%
BTTS	52%	54%
BTTS & Win	14%	26%
BTTS & Draw	21%	17%
BTTS & Over 2.5	33%	46%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	10%	7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Gremio	Atletico Paranaense
Win 1st Half	28%	37%
Draw 1st Half	48%	37%
Loss 1st Half	24%	26%
Scored 1st Half	43%	57%
Conceded 1st Half	40%	52%
Win 2nd Half	41%	35%
Draw 2nd Half	29%	41%
Loss 2nd Half	29%	24%
Scored 2nd Half	55%	54%
Conceded 2nd Half	45%	41%
Over 0.5 HT	64%	80%
Over 1.5 HT	28%	46%

Recent Venue Form

Gremio (H)

Internacional1–1

Palmeiras0–0

Vasco DA Gama1–2

Internacional3–1

Chapecoense-sc3–1

Sao Paulo2–1

Atletico Paranaense (A)

Chapecoense-sc4–1

Coritiba3–3

Cruzeiro1–3

Botafogo3–2

Santos2–0

Vitoria0–4

Number of Corners

9.3

Corners / Match

44 games

League Avg

10.3

297 games

9.7

Corners / Match

34 games

Match Corners	Gremio	Atletico Paranaense	League Avg
Over 6	75%	82%	84%
Over 7	70%	79%	76%
Over 8	66%	68%	68%
Over 9	50%	56%	57%
Over 10	36%	35%	42%
Over 11	27%	26%	33%
Over 12	16%	21%	26%
Over 13	9%	12%	19%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Gremio	Atletico Paranaense
Corners Earned / Match	4.1	4.8
Corners Against / Match	5.2	4.9
Over 2.5 Corners For	68%	74%
Over 3.5 Corners For	52%	59%
Over 4.5 Corners For	36%	53%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	82%	76%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	66%	62%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	61%	44%

Head to Head · 33 matches

Gremio

58%

Draws

15%

Atletico Paranaense

27%

64%

Over 1.5

21/33

36%

Over 2.5

12/33

15%

Over 3.5

5/33

36%

BTTS

12/33

02/05/26

Atletico Paranaense

0–0

Gremio

04/08/24

Atletico Paranaense

0–2

Gremio

17/04/24

Gremio

2–0

Atletico Paranaense

18/10/23

Gremio

1–2

Atletico Paranaense

27/05/23

Atletico Paranaense

1–2

Gremio

26/09/21

Atletico Paranaense

4–2

Gremio

13/06/21

Gremio

0–1

Atletico Paranaense

21/02/21

Gremio

1–0

Atletico Paranaense

25/10/20

Atletico Paranaense

1–2

Gremio

28/11/19

Atletico Paranaense

2–0

Gremio

04/09/19

Atletico Paranaense

2–0

Gremio

24/08/19

Gremio

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

15/08/19

Gremio

2–0

Atletico Paranaense

25/08/18

Atletico Paranaense

2–1

Gremio

22/04/18

Gremio

0–0

Atletico Paranaense

20/08/17

Gremio

0–0

Atletico Paranaense

28/07/17

Atletico Paranaense

2–3

Gremio

28/06/17

Gremio

4–0

Atletico Paranaense

21/05/17

Atletico Paranaense

0–2

Gremio

14/10/16

Gremio

1–0

Atletico Paranaense

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	+33	64
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	+30	63
3	Atletico Paranaense	30	15	8	7	+14	53
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	+11	51
5	Bahia	30	13	10	7	+8	49
6	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	+2	48
7	Atletico-MG	30	13	8	9	+6	47
8	Santos	30	11	9	10	+1	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	+3	40
10	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	0	39
11	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	-10	39
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	-11	36
13	Botafogo	30	9	9	12	-5	36
14	Vasco DA Gama	29	9	8	12	-6	35
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	-10	33
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	-7	32
17	Internacional	30	7	11	12	-5	32
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	-8	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-sc	29	3	9	17	-31	18
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	-22	10

Team Insights

Gremio

●Gremio have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
●Gremio have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
●72% of Gremio's goals have been scored at home.
●84% of Gremio's points have been earned at home.

Atletico Paranaense

●Atletico Paranaense have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have been undefeated in their last 13 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.

Gremio

DHInternacional17º1–1

DARemo19º1–1

DHPalmeiras2º0–0

LABotafogo13º2–3

LHVasco DA Gama14º1–2

LAVitoria12º0–1

WHInternacional3–1

WHChapecoense-sc20º3–1

DAInternacional0–0

LARB Bragantino9º0–1

Atletico Paranaense

WAChapecoense-sc20º4–1

DHAtletico-MG7º2–2

WHBahia5º2–1

DACoritiba11º3–3

LACruzeiro6º1–3

DHFluminense4º3–3

WABotafogo13º3–2

DHRB Bragantino9º1–1

WASantos8º2–0

LAVitoria0–4

Season Schedule

Gremio

Internacional1–1

Remo1–1

Palmeiras0–0

Botafogo2–3

Vasco DA Gama1–2

Vitoria0–1

–H

Cruzeiro18/10

–A

Coritiba26/10

–H

Atletico Paranaense30/10

Atletico Paranaense

Chapecoense-sc4–1

Atletico-MG2–2

Bahia2–1

Coritiba3–3

Cruzeiro1–3

Fluminense3–3

–H

Palmeiras17/10

–A

Vitoria24/10

–A

Gremio30/10

Top Scorers

Gremio

Carlos Vinicius21 ⚽

F. Amuzu8 ⚽

C. Pavon5 ⚽

Gustavo Martins4 ⚽

M. Braithwaite4 ⚽

Edenilson3 ⚽

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros18 ⚽

S. Mendoza5 ⚽

Leozinho5 ⚽

Chiqueti5 ⚽

Joao Cruz4 ⚽

Bruninho4 ⚽

Cards Given

Gremio

Walter Kannemann11 🟨

Viery9 🟨

Gustavo Martins8 🟨

Wagner Leonardo7 🟨

Pedro Gabriel7 🟨

Carlos Vinicius6 🟨

Atletico Paranaense

Arthur Dias9 🟨

Bruno Zapelli5 🟨

Luiz Gustavo5 🟨

Gastón Benavídez5 🟨

Diogo Riquelme4 🟨

F. Aguirre4 🟨

Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense — Serie A

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 33 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given