Santos vs Palmeiras — Serie A
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Santos and Palmeiras meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Santos have recorded 22 wins from 58 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Palmeiras have won 62% of their 58 matches, with 1.71 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Santos and 1.42 for Palmeiras. The models give Santos a 32% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Palmeiras win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Santos—
Palmeiras8º
Position
2º
1.40
PPG
2.10
37%
Win %
60%
1.53
Goals / game
1.73
1.50
Conceded / game
0.73
60%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
45%
55%
Over 2.5 %
48%
5.3
Avg corners
6.1
13.6
Avg shots
15.9
4.1
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
12.1
Avg fouls
12.7
53.1%
Avg possession
53.8%
Home vs Away
Santos
Home (15)
—
Palmeiras
Away (15)
1.53
PPG
1.80
40%
Win %
47%
1.47
Goals / game
1.60
1.33
Conceded / game
0.80
55%
BTTS %
50%
38%
Clean sheet %
43%
52%
Over 2.5 %
46%
5.3
Avg corners
6.1
13.6
Avg shots
15.9
4.1
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
53.1%
Avg possession
53.8%
Goals Scored
| Santos | Home | Away | Palmeiras | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 79% | 79% | 86% | 93% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 55% | 41% | 47% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 17% | 10% | 24% | 30% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 7% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Santos | Home | Away | Palmeiras | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 62% | 79% | 56% | 53% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 28% | 45% | 12% | 3% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 7% | 17% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 38% | 21% | 44% | 47% | 41% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Santos | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS | 60% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Santos | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 51% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 66% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Santos (H)D
Flamengo2–2
Flamengo2–2W
Cruzeiro2–1
Cruzeiro2–1W
Atletico-MG2–0
Atletico-MG2–0DPalmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0D
Mirassol1–1
Mirassol1–1W
Macara2–1
Macara2–1Palmeiras (A)W
Fluminense2–1
Fluminense2–1D
Gremio0–0
Gremio0–0L
LDU de Quito2–3
LDU de Quito2–3D
Botafogo0–0
Botafogo0–0DSantos0–0
Santos0–0DMirassol1–1
Mirassol1–1Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
56 games
League Avg
10.3
297 games
11.1
Corners / Match
58 games
| Match Corners | Santos | Palmeiras | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 91% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 81% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 74% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 45% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 36% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 28% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Santos | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 6.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 84% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 61% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 68% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 48% |
Head to Head · 41 matches
13
Santos
32%
8
Draws
20%
20
Palmeiras
49%
63%
Over 1.5
26/41
41%
Over 2.5
17/41
20%
Over 3.5
8/41
44%
BTTS
18/41
03/09/26Palmeiras
Santos
0–0Palmeiras27/08/26Santos
Palmeiras
3–0Santos02/05/26Santos
Palmeiras
1–1Santos14/01/26Santos
Palmeiras
1–0Santos16/11/25Palmeiras
Santos
1–0Palmeiras07/11/25Santos
Palmeiras
2–0Santos23/01/25Palmeiras
Santos
1–2Palmeiras07/04/24Santos
Palmeiras
2–0Santos31/03/24Palmeiras
Santos
1–0Palmeiras28/01/24Santos
Palmeiras
2–1Santos08/10/23Santos
Palmeiras
1–2Santos21/05/23Palmeiras
Santos
0–0Palmeiras04/02/23Santos
Palmeiras
3–1Santos18/09/22Santos
Palmeiras
1–0Santos29/05/22Palmeiras
Santos
0–1Palmeiras13/03/22Santos
Palmeiras
1–0Santos07/11/21Palmeiras
Santos
0–2Palmeiras10/07/21Santos
Palmeiras
3–2Santos07/05/21Santos
Palmeiras
3–2Santos30/01/21Santos
Palmeiras
1–0Santos| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Santos- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Santos have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Santos have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Santos have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Santos have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Santos have scored in 14 of their 15 away matches.
Palmeiras- ●Palmeiras have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won 7 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
SantosLAAtletico-MG1–2
Atletico-MG1–2DHFlamengo2–2
Flamengo2–2WASao Paulo2–1
Sao Paulo2–1WARemo2–1
Remo2–1WHCruzeiro2–1
Cruzeiro2–1WAInternacional3–2
Internacional3–2–AFluminense18/10
Fluminense18/10–HBahia25/10
Bahia25/10–HPalmeiras28/10
Palmeiras28/10PalmeirasWHCorinthians4–1
Corinthians4–1WHBahia1–0
Bahia1–0DAGremio0–0
Gremio0–0WHSao Paulo2–0
Sao Paulo2–0DABotafogo0–0
Botafogo0–0DAMirassol1–1
Mirassol1–1–AAtletico Paranaense17/10
Atletico Paranaense17/10–HRB Bragantino24/10
RB Bragantino24/10–ASantos28/10
Santos28/10Top Scorers
SantosGabriel Barbosa24 ⚽
Neymar8 ⚽
A. Barreal6 ⚽
Gabriel Bontempo6 ⚽
Rony5 ⚽
Thaciano5 ⚽
PalmeirasJ. Lopez21 ⚽
Mauricio11 ⚽
Vitor Roque10 ⚽
R. Sosa9 ⚽
J. Arias8 ⚽
Allan Elias6 ⚽
Cards Given
SantosGabriel Barbosa14 🟨
Gonzalo Escobar13 🟨
Luan Peres12 🟨
Neymar10 🟨
Gabriel Menino9 🟨
Rony9 🟨
PalmeirasAndreas Pereira7 🟨
Murilo7 🟨
Marlon Freitas7 🟨
Arthur Gabriel6 🟨
Khellven5 🟨
Gustavo Gómez5 🟨