Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Atletico Paranaense

3º · 1.77 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 23d 0h

–

Vasco DA Gama

14º · 1.21 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 21d 22h

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Atletico Paranaense and Vasco DA Gama meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Atletico Paranaense have recorded 21 wins from 46 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Vasco DA Gama have won 40% of their 57 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 35%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Atletico Paranaense and 1.05 for Vasco DA Gama. The models give Atletico Paranaense a 56% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Vasco DA Gama win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Atletico Paranaense

—

Vasco DA Gama

3º

Position

14º

1.77

PPG

1.21

50%

Win %

31%

1.63

Goals / game

1.24

1.17

Conceded / game

1.45

54%

BTTS %

49%

28%

Clean sheet %

35%

52%

Over 2.5 %

49%

4.8

Avg corners

5.5

12.5

Avg shots

16.0

4.9

Avg shots on target

5.2

2.2

Avg yellow cards

2.1

13.7

Avg fouls

12.7

48.6%

Avg possession

53.9%

Home vs Away

Atletico Paranaense

Home (15)

—

Vasco DA Gama

Away (14)

2.13

PPG

0.79

60%

Win %

14%

1.80

Goals / game

1.07

0.87

Conceded / game

1.71

45%

BTTS %

57%

41%

Clean sheet %

29%

41%

Over 2.5 %

50%

4.8

Avg corners

5.5

12.5

Avg shots

16.0

4.9

Avg shots on target

5.2

2.2

Avg yellow cards

2.1

48.6%

Avg possession

53.9%

Goals Scored

	Atletico Paranaense	Home	Away	Vasco DA	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	74%	77%	71%	70%	69%	71%
Over 1.5 Scored	52%	64%	42%	40%	41%	39%
Over 2.5 Scored	20%	23%	17%	18%	21%	14%
Failed To Score	26%	23%	29%	30%	31%	29%

Goals Conceded

	Atletico Paranaense	Home	Away	Vasco DA	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	72%	59%	83%	65%	59%	71%
Over 1.5 Conceded	26%	9%	42%	26%	24%	29%
Over 2.5 Conceded	13%	5%	21%	11%	7%	14%
Clean Sheets	28%	41%	17%	35%	41%	29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Atletico Paranaense	Vasco DA
Over 0.5	91%	86%
Over 1.5	74%	67%
Over 2.5	52%	49%
Over 3.5	30%	23%
Over 4.5	17%	12%
BTTS	54%	49%
BTTS & Win	26%	19%
BTTS & Draw	17%	18%
BTTS & Over 2.5	46%	39%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	7%	11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Atletico Paranaense	Vasco DA
Win 1st Half	37%	32%
Draw 1st Half	37%	40%
Loss 1st Half	26%	28%
Scored 1st Half	57%	35%
Conceded 1st Half	52%	39%
Win 2nd Half	35%	42%
Draw 2nd Half	41%	32%
Loss 2nd Half	24%	26%
Scored 2nd Half	54%	53%
Conceded 2nd Half	41%	44%
Over 0.5 HT	80%	63%
Over 1.5 HT	46%	16%

Recent Venue Form

Atletico Paranaense (H)

Atletico-MG2–2

Bahia2–1

Fluminense3–3

RB Bragantino1–1

Vitoria2–0

Internacional2–0

Vasco DA (A)

Boca Juniors1–0

Botafogo2–1

Gremio2–1

Santa Fe0–0

Fluminense0–1

Vitoria2–0

Number of Corners

9.7

Corners / Match

34 games

League Avg

10.3

297 games

9.6

Corners / Match

56 games

Match Corners	Atletico Paranaense	Vasco DA	League Avg
Over 6	82%	84%	84%
Over 7	79%	70%	76%
Over 8	68%	61%	68%
Over 9	56%	52%	57%
Over 10	35%	38%	42%
Over 11	26%	27%	33%
Over 12	21%	18%	26%
Over 13	12%	14%	19%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Atletico Paranaense	Vasco DA
Corners Earned / Match	4.8	5.5
Corners Against / Match	4.9	4.1
Over 2.5 Corners For	74%	86%
Over 3.5 Corners For	59%	70%
Over 4.5 Corners For	53%	59%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	76%	77%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	62%	59%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	44%	46%

Head to Head · 22 matches

Atletico Paranaense

41%

Draws

27%

Vasco DA

32%

64%

Over 1.5

14/22

41%

Over 2.5

9/22

18%

Over 3.5

4/22

45%

BTTS

10/22

10/05/26

Vasco DA Gama

1–0

Atletico Paranaense

12/09/24

Atletico Paranaense

2–1

Vasco DA Gama

29/08/24

Vasco DA Gama

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

27/08/24

Vasco DA Gama

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

05/05/24

Atletico Paranaense

1–0

Vasco DA Gama

25/11/23

Atletico Paranaense

0–0

Vasco DA Gama

23/07/23

Vasco DA Gama

0–2

Atletico Paranaense

27/12/20

Atletico Paranaense

3–0

Vasco DA Gama

06/09/20

Vasco DA Gama

1–0

Atletico Paranaense

22/09/19

Vasco DA Gama

1–1

Atletico Paranaense

28/04/19

Atletico Paranaense

4–1

Vasco DA Gama

14/11/18

Vasco DA Gama

1–1

Atletico Paranaense

29/08/18

Atletico Paranaense

1–0

Vasco DA Gama

19/11/17

Atletico Paranaense

3–1

Vasco DA Gama

31/07/17

Vasco DA Gama

0–1

Atletico Paranaense

13/09/15

Vasco DA Gama

2–0

Atletico Paranaense

07/06/15

Atletico Paranaense

2–0

Vasco DA Gama

08/09/13

Vasco DA Gama

0–0

Atletico Paranaense

13/10/11

Atletico Paranaense

2–2

Vasco DA Gama

16/07/11

Vasco DA Gama

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	+33	64
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	+30	63
3	Atletico Paranaense	30	15	8	7	+14	53
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	+11	51
5	Bahia	30	13	10	7	+8	49
6	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	+2	48
7	Atletico-MG	30	13	8	9	+6	47
8	Santos	30	11	9	10	+1	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	+3	40
10	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	0	39
11	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	-10	39
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	-11	36
13	Botafogo	30	9	9	12	-5	36
14	Vasco DA Gama	29	9	8	12	-6	35
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	-10	33
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	-7	32
17	Internacional	30	7	11	12	-5	32
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	-8	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-sc	29	3	9	17	-31	18
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	-22	10

Team Insights

Atletico Paranaense

●Atletico Paranaense have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have been undefeated in their last 13 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.

Vasco DA

●Vasco DA Gama have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
●Vasco DA Gama have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
●Vasco DA Gama have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
●Vasco DA Gama have won their last 2 away matches.
●Vasco DA Gama failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
●Vasco DA Gama failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
●Vasco DA Gama have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.

Atletico Paranaense

WAChapecoense-sc20º4–1

DHAtletico-MG7º2–2

WHBahia5º2–1

DACoritiba11º3–3

LACruzeiro6º1–3

DHFluminense4º3–3

WABotafogo13º3–2

DHRB Bragantino9º1–1

WASantos8º2–0

LAVitoria0–4

Vasco DA Gama

WABoca Juniors1–0

DHRemo19º0–0

WABotafogo13º2–1

WHCoritiba11º5–0

WHSanta Fe2–0

WAGremio18º2–1

DASanta Fe0–0

LAFluminense4º0–1

WAVitoria2–0

WHCruzeiro6º3–1

Season Schedule

Atletico Paranaense

Chapecoense-sc4–1

Atletico-MG2–2

Bahia2–1

Coritiba3–3

Cruzeiro1–3

Fluminense3–3

–H

Palmeiras17/10

–A

Vitoria24/10

–A

Gremio30/10

Vasco DA

Remo0–0

Botafogo2–1

Coritiba5–0

Gremio2–1

Fluminense0–1

Cruzeiro3–1

–A

Sao Paulo18/10

–H

Corinthians24/10

–H

Flamengo29/10

Top Scorers

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros18 ⚽

S. Mendoza5 ⚽

Leozinho5 ⚽

Chiqueti5 ⚽

Joao Cruz4 ⚽

Bruninho4 ⚽

Vasco DA

Thiago Mendes8 ⚽

C. Spinelli7 ⚽

David6 ⚽

J. Rodriguez6 ⚽

Brenner5 ⚽

Adson5 ⚽

Cards Given

Atletico Paranaense

Arthur Dias9 🟨

Bruno Zapelli5 🟨

Luiz Gustavo5 🟨

Gastón Benavídez5 🟨

Diogo Riquelme4 🟨

F. Aguirre4 🟨

Vasco DA

Cauan Barros13 🟨

Thiago Mendes13 🟨

Andrés Gómez12 🟨

Tchê Tchê6 🟨

Robert Renan6 🟨

Cuiabano5 🟨

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama — Serie A

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 22 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given