Botafogo vs Atletico-MG — Serie A
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Estádio Nilton Santos·Rio de Janeiro·Brazil·46,931
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Botafogo and Atletico-MG meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Botafogo have recorded 22 wins from 54 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Atletico-MG have won 42% of their 57 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Botafogo and 1.24 for Atletico-MG. The models give Botafogo a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Atletico-MG win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Botafogo—
Atletico-MG13º
Position
7º
1.20
PPG
1.57
30%
Win %
43%
1.43
Goals / game
1.37
1.60
Conceded / game
1.17
56%
BTTS %
56%
26%
Clean sheet %
25%
52%
Over 2.5 %
46%
4.7
Avg corners
5.0
14.3
Avg shots
13.3
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.7
13.2
Avg fouls
11.5
50.9%
Avg possession
51.4%
Home vs Away
Botafogo
Home (15)
—
Atletico-MG
Away (15)
1.40
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
27%
1.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.47
Conceded / game
1.20
54%
BTTS %
45%
36%
Clean sheet %
21%
54%
Over 2.5 %
38%
4.7
Avg corners
5.0
14.3
Avg shots
13.3
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.7
50.9%
Avg possession
51.4%
Goals Scored
| Botafogo | Home | Away | Atletico-MG | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 79% | 73% | 74% | 90% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 46% | 35% | 41% | 55% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 21% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 21% | 27% | 26% | 10% | 41% |
Goals Conceded
| Botafogo | Home | Away | Atletico-MG | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 64% | 85% | 74% | 69% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 32% | 42% | 28% | 17% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 7% | 15% | 3% | 7% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 36% | 15% | 26% | 31% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Botafogo | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 5% |
| BTTS | 56% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Botafogo | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
Botafogo (H)L
Vasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2W
Gremio3–2
Gremio3–2D
RB Bragantino1–1
RB Bragantino1–1D
Palmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0L
Atletico Paranaense2–3
Atletico Paranaense2–3W
Cienciano1–0
Cienciano1–0Atletico-MG (A)DAtletico Paranaense2–2
Atletico Paranaense2–2L
Santos0–2
Santos0–2L
Sao Paulo0–2
Sao Paulo0–2D
Cruzeiro1–1
Cruzeiro1–1D
Internacional0–0
Internacional0–0WRB Bragantino1–0
RB Bragantino1–0Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
53 games
League Avg
10.3
297 games
10.1
Corners / Match
46 games
| Match Corners | Botafogo | Atletico-MG | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 77% | 85% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 72% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 57% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 39% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 34% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 26% | 26% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 23% | 22% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Botafogo | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 79% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 66% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 51% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 72% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 51% | 54% |
Head to Head · 34 matches
13
Botafogo
38%
6
Draws
18%
15
Atletico-MG
44%
65%
Over 1.5
22/34
44%
Over 2.5
15/34
24%
Over 3.5
8/34
35%
BTTS
12/34
10/05/26Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1–1Botafogo20/09/25Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1–0Atletico-MG20/04/25Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1–0Botafogo30/11/24Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1–3Botafogo21/11/24Botafogo
Atletico-MG
0–0Botafogo07/07/24Atletico-MG
Botafogo
3–0Atletico-MG17/09/23Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1–0Botafogo07/05/23Atletico-MG
Botafogo
2–0Atletico-MG07/11/22Botafogo
Atletico-MG
0–2Botafogo17/07/22Atletico-MG
Botafogo
0–1Atletico-MG26/11/20Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2–1Botafogo20/08/20Atletico-MG
Botafogo
2–1Atletico-MG04/12/19Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2–0Botafogo08/09/19Atletico-MG
Botafogo
2–1Atletico-MG01/08/19Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2–0Botafogo25/07/19Atletico-MG
Botafogo
0–1Atletico-MG01/12/18Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1–0Botafogo19/08/18Atletico-MG
Botafogo
0–3Atletico-MG29/10/17Botafogo
Atletico-MG
0–0Botafogo26/07/17Atletico-MG
Botafogo
3–0Atletico-MG| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Botafogo- ●Botafogo have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Botafogo have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
Atletico-MG- ●Atletico-MG have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●63% of Atletico-MG's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
BotafogoDACoritiba1–1
Coritiba1–1LHVasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2LAMirassol0–2
Mirassol0–2WHGremio3–2
Gremio3–2DHRB Bragantino1–1
RB Bragantino1–1DHPalmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0–HChapecoense-sc17/10
Chapecoense-sc17/10–AInternacional24/10
Internacional24/10–ARemo29/10
Remo29/10Atletico-MGWHSantos2–1
Santos2–1DAAtletico Paranaense2–2
Atletico Paranaense2–2WHRB Bragantino1–0
RB Bragantino1–0DHChapecoense-sc1–1
Chapecoense-sc1–1WHFluminense3–1
Fluminense3–1LASao Paulo0–2
Sao Paulo0–2–HCoritiba17/10
Coritiba17/10–AFlamengo26/10
Flamengo26/10–HCruzeiro29/10
Cruzeiro29/10Top Scorers
BotafogoDanilo10 ⚽
Arthur Cabral9 ⚽
Alex Telles7 ⚽
Matheus Martins6 ⚽
Edenilson4 ⚽
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira3 ⚽
Atletico-MGReinier6 ⚽
Victor Hugo6 ⚽
Cuello6 ⚽
Bernard6 ⚽
M. Cassierra5 ⚽
R. Lodi5 ⚽
Cards Given
BotafogoAlexander Barboza8 🟨
Álvaro Montoro7 🟨
Huguinho6 🟨
Alex Telles6 🟨
Allan6 🟨
Arthur Cabral6 🟨
Atletico-MGLyanco7 🟨
Ruan Tressoldi7 🟨
Alan Franco6 🟨
Ruan6 🟨
Natanael5 🟨
A. Franco5 🟨