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Cruzeiro vs Bahia — Serie A

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Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 34
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
6º · 1.60 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 24d 0h
vs
–
–
Bahia
Bahia
5º · 1.63 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 25d 2h
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Cruzeiro and Bahia meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Cruzeiro have recorded 28 wins from 60 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Bahia have won 51% of their 47 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 66%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 26%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Cruzeiro and 1.31 for Bahia. The models give Cruzeiro a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Bahia win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Cruzeiro
—
Bahia
6º
Position
5º
1.60
PPG
1.63
47%
Win %
43%
1.53
Goals / game
1.47
1.47
Conceded / game
1.20
58%
BTTS %
66%
35%
Clean sheet %
26%
53%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.1
Avg corners
5.7
14.9
Avg shots
13.6
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
13.3
Avg fouls
13.4
54.7%
Avg possession
56.2%

Home vs Away

Cruzeiro
Home (15)
—
Bahia
Away (15)
1.87
PPG
1.47
53%
Win %
40%
1.73
Goals / game
1.40
1.07
Conceded / game
1.47
48%
BTTS %
55%
45%
Clean sheet %
27%
42%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.1
Avg corners
5.7
14.9
Avg shots
13.6
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
54.7%
Avg possession
56.2%

Goals Scored

CruzeiroHomeAwayBahiaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored85%87%83%87%96%77%
Over 1.5 Scored40%45%34%53%64%41%
Over 2.5 Scored12%19%3%26%32%18%
Failed To Score15%13%17%13%4%23%

Goals Conceded

CruzeiroHomeAwayBahiaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded65%55%76%74%76%73%
Over 1.5 Conceded30%16%45%38%32%45%
Over 2.5 Conceded12%6%17%9%4%14%
Clean Sheets35%45%24%26%24%27%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CruzeiroBahia
Over 0.592%96%
Over 1.575%83%
Over 2.553%60%
Over 3.523%32%
Over 4.57%21%
BTTS58%66%
BTTS & Win20%30%
BTTS & Draw17%21%
BTTS & Over 2.547%53%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CruzeiroBahia
Win 1st Half30%43%
Draw 1st Half42%34%
Loss 1st Half28%23%
Scored 1st Half47%62%
Conceded 1st Half42%55%
Win 2nd Half40%32%
Draw 2nd Half38%40%
Loss 2nd Half22%28%
Scored 2nd Half65%51%
Conceded 2nd Half43%45%
Over 0.5 HT72%85%
Over 1.5 HT32%51%

Recent Venue Form

Cruzeiro (H)
WSao Paulo2–0
WAtletico Paranaense3–1
DAtletico-MG1–1
WFlamengo2–1
DFlamengo1–1
WMirassol3–1
Bahia (A)
LPalmeiras0–1
LAtletico Paranaense1–2
WRB Bragantino3–2
WVitoria2–0
DChapecoense-sc3–3
DFluminense0–0

Number of Corners

9.8
Corners / Match
44 games
League Avg
10.3
297 games
10.9
Corners / Match
33 games
Match CornersCruzeiroBahiaLeague Avg
Over 675%91%84%
Over 770%88%76%
Over 864%73%68%
Over 950%61%57%
Over 1036%42%42%
Over 1125%42%33%
Over 1223%30%26%
Over 1314%27%19%

Team Corners

Team CornersCruzeiroBahia
Corners Earned / Match5.15.7
Corners Against / Match4.75.2
Over 2.5 Corners For75%88%
Over 3.5 Corners For68%79%
Over 4.5 Corners For57%67%
Over 2.5 Corners Against75%79%
Over 3.5 Corners Against59%64%
Over 4.5 Corners Against41%55%

Head to Head · 23 matches

12
Cruzeiro
52%
7
Draws
30%
4
Bahia
17%
70%
Over 1.5
16/23
52%
Over 2.5
12/23
17%
Over 3.5
4/23
57%
BTTS
13/23
10/05/26
Bahia
1–2
Cruzeiro
15/09/25
Bahia
1–2
Cruzeiro
18/04/25
Cruzeiro
3–0
Bahia
19/10/24
Cruzeiro
1–1
Bahia
23/06/24
Bahia
4–1
Cruzeiro
25/10/23
Cruzeiro
3–0
Bahia
10/06/23
Bahia
2–2
Cruzeiro
23/07/22
Cruzeiro
1–0
Bahia
09/04/22
Bahia
2–0
Cruzeiro
03/11/19
Cruzeiro
1–1
Bahia
20/07/19
Bahia
0–0
Cruzeiro
02/12/18
Bahia
0–0
Cruzeiro
19/08/18
Cruzeiro
1–1
Bahia
17/09/17
Cruzeiro
1–0
Bahia
09/06/17
Bahia
1–0
Cruzeiro
11/09/14
Cruzeiro
2–1
Bahia
20/04/14
Bahia
1–2
Cruzeiro
01/12/13
Cruzeiro
1–2
Bahia
05/09/13
Bahia
1–3
Cruzeiro
11/11/12
Cruzeiro
3–1
Bahia
Serie A
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo301974+3364
2Palmeiras301893+3063
3Atletico Paranaense301587+1453
4Fluminense301497+1151
5Bahia3013107+849
6Cruzeiro3014610+248
7Atletico-MG301389+647
8Santos3011910+142
9RB Bragantino3011712+340
10Sao Paulo3011613039
11Coritiba3010911-1039
12Vitoria3010614-1136
13Botafogo309912-536
14Vasco DA Gama299812-635
15Mirassol308913-1033
16Corinthians308814-732
17Internacional3071112-532
18Gremio3071013-831
19Remo3051015-1525
20Chapecoense-sc293917-3118
20Chapecoense B201712-2210

Team Insights

Cruzeiro
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Cruzeiro have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Bahia
  • ●Bahia have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Bahia have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Bahia have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Bahia have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Bahia have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Bahia have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Bahia have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
CruzeiroCruzeiro
LARB Bragantino9º2–4
WHSao Paulo10º2–0
WAVitoria12º3–1
LASantos8º1–2
WHAtletico Paranaense3º3–1
LAAtletico-MG1–2
LAVasco DA Gama14º1–3
DHAtletico-MG1–1
WHFlamengo1º2–1
LAFlamengo1º1–2
BahiaBahia
WHMirassol15º1–0
LAPalmeiras2º0–1
LAAtletico Paranaense3º1–2
WHRemo19º2–1
WARB Bragantino9º3–2
WHInternacional17º3–2
WAVitoria12º2–0
DAChapecoense-sc20º3–3
DHVasco DA Gama14º0–0
DAFluminense4º0–0

Season Schedule

Cruzeiro
LARB Bragantino2–4
WHSao Paulo2–0
WAVitoria3–1
LASantos1–2
WHAtletico Paranaense3–1
LAVasco DA Gama1–3
–AGremio18/10
–HRemo23/10
–AAtletico-MG29/10
Bahia
WHMirassol1–0
LAPalmeiras0–1
LAAtletico Paranaense1–2
WHRemo2–1
WARB Bragantino3–2
WHInternacional3–2
–HFlamengo18/10
–ASantos25/10
–HSao Paulo29/10

Top Scorers

Cruzeiro
Kaio Jorge19 ⚽
Matheus Pereira14 ⚽
Christian8 ⚽
K. Arroyo7 ⚽
N. Villarreal4 ⚽
L. Sinisterra3 ⚽
Bahia
Willian Jose9 ⚽
Luciano Juba8 ⚽
Erick8 ⚽
Everaldo7 ⚽
Jean Lucas6 ⚽
Dell4 ⚽

Cards Given

Cruzeiro
Matheus Pereira15 🟨
Matheus Henrique9 🟨
K. Arroyo9 🟨
Gerson7 🟨
Lucas Silva7 🟨
Fagner6 🟨
Bahia
Erick7 🟨
Nicolás Acevedo7 🟨
Luciano Juba6 🟨
Ademir6 🟨
Jean Lucas6 🟨
Erick Pulga5 🟨