Flamengo vs Gremio — Serie A
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Flamengo and Gremio meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Flamengo have recorded 34 wins from 58 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 1.95 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Gremio have won 36% of their 58 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Flamengo and 0.84 for Gremio. The models give Flamengo a 65% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Gremio win at 12%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Flamengo—
Gremio1º
Position
18º
2.13
PPG
1.03
63%
Win %
23%
1.93
Goals / game
1.07
0.83
Conceded / game
1.33
52%
BTTS %
52%
38%
Clean sheet %
33%
57%
Over 2.5 %
43%
5.4
Avg corners
4.1
15.5
Avg shots
12.2
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.6
11.9
Avg fouls
12.6
57.7%
Avg possession
51.7%
Home vs Away
Flamengo
Home (15)
—
Gremio
Away (15)
2.40
PPG
0.33
73%
Win %
0%
1.93
Goals / game
0.60
0.67
Conceded / game
1.53
50%
BTTS %
50%
43%
Clean sheet %
29%
57%
Over 2.5 %
43%
5.4
Avg corners
4.1
15.5
Avg shots
12.2
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.6
57.7%
Avg possession
51.7%
Goals Scored
| Flamengo | Home | Away | Gremio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 93% | 82% | 74% | 83% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 70% | 43% | 36% | 43% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 30% | 18% | 17% | 23% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 7% | 18% | 26% | 17% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Flamengo | Home | Away | Gremio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 57% | 68% | 67% | 63% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 20% | 29% | 28% | 20% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 43% | 32% | 33% | 37% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Flamengo | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS | 52% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Flamengo | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Flamengo (H)W
Fluminense1–0
Fluminense1–0W
RB Bragantino2–1
RB Bragantino2–1D
Independiente del Valle1–1
Independiente del Valle1–1W
Corinthians2–1
Corinthians2–1W
Mirassol2–0
Mirassol2–0W
Botafogo3–0
Botafogo3–0Gremio (A)D
Remo1–1
Remo1–1LBotafogo2–3
Botafogo2–3L
Vitoria0–1
Vitoria0–1D
Internacional0–0
Internacional0–0LRB Bragantino0–1
RB Bragantino0–1L
Atletico-MG0–3
Atletico-MG0–3Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
51 games
League Avg
10.3
297 games
9.3
Corners / Match
44 games
| Match Corners | Flamengo | Gremio | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 75% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 70% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 66% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 31% | 36% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 27% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 12% | 16% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 9% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Flamengo | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 53% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 61% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 66% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 61% |
Head to Head · 39 matches
17
Flamengo
44%
9
Draws
23%
13
Gremio
33%
74%
Over 1.5
29/39
36%
Over 2.5
14/39
26%
Over 3.5
10/39
46%
BTTS
18/39
10/05/26Flamengo
Gremio
0–1Flamengo31/08/25Gremio
Flamengo
1–1Gremio13/04/25Flamengo
Gremio
0–2Flamengo22/09/24Flamengo
Gremio
3–2Flamengo13/06/24Gremio
Flamengo
2–1Gremio26/10/23Flamengo
Gremio
3–2Flamengo17/08/23Gremio
Flamengo
1–0Gremio27/07/23Flamengo
Gremio
0–2Flamengo11/06/23Gremio
Flamengo
3–0Gremio24/11/21Flamengo
Gremio
2–2Flamengo19/09/21Gremio
Flamengo
0–1Gremio16/09/21Gremio
Flamengo
2–0Gremio26/08/21Flamengo
Gremio
0–4Flamengo28/01/21Flamengo
Gremio
2–4Flamengo19/08/20Gremio
Flamengo
1–1Gremio17/11/19Flamengo
Gremio
0–1Flamengo24/10/19Gremio
Flamengo
5–0Gremio03/10/19Flamengo
Gremio
1–1Flamengo10/08/19Gremio
Flamengo
3–1Gremio21/11/18Gremio
Flamengo
2–0Gremio| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Flamengo- ●Flamengo have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Flamengo have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in 14 of their 15 away matches.
Gremio- ●Gremio have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Gremio have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●72% of Gremio's goals have been scored at home.
- ●84% of Gremio's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
FlamengoWHFluminense1–0
Fluminense1–0DASantos2–2
Santos2–2WHRB Bragantino2–1
RB Bragantino2–1WHCorinthians2–1
Corinthians2–1WARemo1–0
Remo1–0WHMirassol2–0
Mirassol2–0–ABahia18/10
Bahia18/10–HAtletico-MG26/10
Atletico-MG26/10–AVasco DA Gama29/10
Vasco DA Gama29/10GremioDHInternacional1–1
Internacional1–1DARemo1–1
Remo1–1DHPalmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0LABotafogo2–3
Botafogo2–3LHVasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2LAVitoria0–1
Vitoria0–1–HCruzeiro18/10
Cruzeiro18/10–ACoritiba26/10
Coritiba26/10–HAtletico Paranaense30/10
Atletico Paranaense30/10Top Scorers
FlamengoPedro26 ⚽
Samuel Lino14 ⚽
Bruno Henrique11 ⚽
Lucas Paqueta9 ⚽
G. de Arrascaeta8 ⚽
J. Carrascal5 ⚽
GremioCarlos Vinicius21 ⚽
F. Amuzu8 ⚽
C. Pavon5 ⚽
Gustavo Martins4 ⚽
M. Braithwaite4 ⚽
Edenilson3 ⚽
Cards Given
FlamengoErick Pulgar10 🟨
Jorginho9 🟨
Evertton Araujo7 🟨
Bruno Henrique6 🟨
Alex Sandro5 🟨
Danilo4 🟨
GremioWalter Kannemann11 🟨
Viery9 🟨
Gustavo Martins8 🟨
Wagner Leonardo7 🟨
Pedro Gabriel7 🟨
Carlos Vinicius6 🟨