Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Sao Paulo

10º · 1.30 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 25d 0h

–

Corinthians

16º · 1.07 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 24d 4h

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Sao Paulo and Corinthians meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Sao Paulo have recorded 21 wins from 52 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Corinthians have won 36% of their 56 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 32%, and clean sheets at 39%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Sao Paulo and 0.98 for Corinthians. The models give Sao Paulo a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Corinthians win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Sao Paulo

—

Corinthians

10º

Position

16º

1.30

PPG

1.07

37%

Win %

27%

1.17

Goals / game

1.03

1.17

Conceded / game

1.27

56%

BTTS %

45%

27%

Clean sheet %

39%

40%

Over 2.5 %

32%

6.4

Avg corners

5.2

12.8

Avg shots

12.9

3.9

Avg shots on target

4.1

2.1

Avg yellow cards

2.5

13.2

Avg fouls

12.6

54.4%

Avg possession

57.3%

Home vs Away

Sao Paulo

Home (15)

—

Corinthians

Away (15)

2.00

PPG

0.93

60%

Win %

20%

1.60

Goals / game

1.07

0.87

Conceded / game

1.47

56%

BTTS %

57%

40%

Clean sheet %

33%

40%

Over 2.5 %

30%

6.4

Avg corners

5.2

12.8

Avg shots

12.9

3.9

Avg shots on target

4.1

2.1

Avg yellow cards

2.5

54.4%

Avg possession

57.3%

Goals Scored

	Sao Paulo	Home	Away	Corinthians	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	79%	96%	63%	75%	69%	80%
Over 1.5 Scored	35%	56%	15%	21%	31%	13%
Over 2.5 Scored	4%	8%	0%	9%	15%	3%
Failed To Score	21%	4%	37%	25%	31%	20%

Goals Conceded

	Sao Paulo	Home	Away	Corinthians	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	73%	60%	85%	61%	54%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	29%	16%	41%	29%	27%	30%
Over 2.5 Conceded	10%	4%	15%	9%	4%	13%
Clean Sheets	27%	40%	15%	39%	46%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Sao Paulo	Corinthians
Over 0.5	96%	91%
Over 1.5	75%	68%
Over 2.5	40%	32%
Over 3.5	13%	11%
Over 4.5	6%	4%
BTTS	56%	45%
BTTS & Win	17%	5%
BTTS & Draw	19%	20%
BTTS & Over 2.5	38%	25%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	2%	7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Sao Paulo	Corinthians
Win 1st Half	37%	14%
Draw 1st Half	40%	54%
Loss 1st Half	23%	32%
Scored 1st Half	44%	29%
Conceded 1st Half	29%	43%
Win 2nd Half	35%	36%
Draw 2nd Half	23%	39%
Loss 2nd Half	42%	25%
Scored 2nd Half	52%	54%
Conceded 2nd Half	60%	39%
Over 0.5 HT	65%	57%
Over 1.5 HT	17%	23%

Recent Venue Form

Sao Paulo (H)

Vitoria2–1

Santos1–2

Internacional1–0

Boca Juniors1–1

Atletico-MG2–0

RB Bragantino2–1

Corinthians (A)

Palmeiras1–4

Internacional1–2

Flamengo1–2

Estudiantes L.P.1–1

Coritiba1–2

Rosario Central0–0

Number of Corners

11.1

Corners / Match

51 games

League Avg

10.3

297 games

9.9

Corners / Match

54 games

Match Corners	Sao Paulo	Corinthians	League Avg
Over 6	88%	80%	84%
Over 7	80%	74%	76%
Over 8	73%	61%	68%
Over 9	67%	50%	57%
Over 10	49%	35%	42%
Over 11	41%	26%	33%
Over 12	37%	19%	26%
Over 13	27%	17%	19%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Sao Paulo	Corinthians
Corners Earned / Match	6.4	5.2
Corners Against / Match	4.7	4.6
Over 2.5 Corners For	90%	81%
Over 3.5 Corners For	82%	61%
Over 4.5 Corners For	63%	54%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	76%	81%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	55%	65%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	45%	41%

Head to Head · 41 matches

Sao Paulo

37%

Draws

34%

Corinthians

29%

80%

Over 1.5

33/41

51%

Over 2.5

21/41

32%

Over 3.5

13/41

66%

BTTS

27/41

10/05/26

Corinthians

3–2

Sao Paulo

18/01/26

Corinthians

1–1

Sao Paulo

20/11/25

Corinthians

3–1

Sao Paulo

20/07/25

Sao Paulo

2–0

Corinthians

26/01/25

Sao Paulo

3–1

Corinthians

29/09/24

Sao Paulo

3–1

Corinthians

16/06/24

Corinthians

2–2

Sao Paulo

30/01/24

Corinthians

1–2

Sao Paulo

30/09/23

Sao Paulo

2–1

Corinthians

16/08/23

Sao Paulo

2–0

Corinthians

26/07/23

Corinthians

2–1

Sao Paulo

14/05/23

Corinthians

1–1

Sao Paulo

29/01/23

Sao Paulo

1–2

Corinthians

11/09/22

Sao Paulo

1–1

Corinthians

22/05/22

Corinthians

1–1

Sao Paulo

27/03/22

Sao Paulo

2–1

Corinthians

05/03/22

Sao Paulo

1–0

Corinthians

18/10/21

Sao Paulo

1–0

Corinthians

01/07/21

Corinthians

0–0

Sao Paulo

03/05/21

Corinthians

2–2

Sao Paulo

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	+33	64
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	+30	63
3	Atletico Paranaense	30	15	8	7	+14	53
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	+11	51
5	Bahia	30	13	10	7	+8	49
6	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	+2	48
7	Atletico-MG	30	13	8	9	+6	47
8	Santos	30	11	9	10	+1	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	+3	40
10	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	0	39
11	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	-10	39
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	-11	36
13	Botafogo	30	9	9	12	-5	36
14	Vasco DA Gama	29	9	8	12	-6	35
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	-10	33
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	-7	32
17	Internacional	30	7	11	12	-5	32
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	-8	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-sc	29	3	9	17	-31	18
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	-22	10

Team Insights

Sao Paulo

●Sao Paulo have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
●Sao Paulo have lost their last 4 away matches.
●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
●Sao Paulo have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
●Sao Paulo have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
●69% of Sao Paulo's goals have been scored at home.
●77% of Sao Paulo's points have been earned at home.

Corinthians

●Corinthians have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
●Corinthians have lost their last 8 matches.
●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
●Corinthians have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
●Corinthians have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
●Corinthians have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
●Corinthians have lost their last 4 home matches.
●Corinthians have lost their last 4 away matches.
●Corinthians have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
●Corinthians have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
●Corinthians have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
●Corinthians have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
●Corinthians have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.

Sao Paulo

WHVitoria12º2–1

LACruzeiro6º0–2

LHSantos8º1–2

WHInternacional17º1–0

DHBoca Juniors1–1

LAPalmeiras2º0–2

LABoca Juniors0–1

WHAtletico-MG7º2–0

WHRB Bragantino9º2–1

LAChapecoense-sc20º0–1

Corinthians

LAPalmeiras2º1–4

LAInternacional17º1–2

LHFluminense4º1–3

LHEstudiantes L.P.2º0–1

LAFlamengo1º1–2

DAEstudiantes L.P.2º1–1

Season Schedule

Sao Paulo

Vitoria2–1

Cruzeiro0–2

Santos1–2

Internacional1–0

Palmeiras0–2

Atletico-MG2–0

–H

Vasco DA Gama18/10

–A

Mirassol24/10

–A

Bahia29/10

Corinthians

Palmeiras1–4

Internacional1–2

Fluminense1–3

Flamengo1–2

Chapecoense-sc1–2

Santos0–1

–H

Vitoria19/10

–A

Vasco DA Gama24/10

–H

Mirassol30/10

Top Scorers

Sao Paulo

Jonathan Calleri16 ⚽

Luciano15 ⚽

Ferreira4 ⚽

Artur4 ⚽

D. Bobadilla3 ⚽

G. Tapia3 ⚽

Corinthians

Yuri Alberto8 ⚽

Gustavo Henrique8 ⚽

Andre5 ⚽

Breno Bidon4 ⚽

R. Garro3 ⚽

Matheus Bidu3 ⚽

Cards Given

Sao Paulo

Jonathan Calleri11 🟨

Enzo Díaz10 🟨

Luciano10 🟨

Wendell7 🟨

Damián Bobadilla6 🟨

Alan Franco6 🟨

Corinthians

Breno Bidon14 🟨

Allan12 🟨

Raniele10 🟨

Matheuzinho10 🟨

Gabriel Paulista9 🟨

Gustavo Henrique8 🟨

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians — Serie A

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 41 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given