Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Vitoria

12º · 1.20 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 26d 23h

–

Fluminense

4º · 1.70 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 22d 22h

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Vitoria and Fluminense meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Vitoria have recorded 24 wins from 57 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Fluminense have won 48% of their 56 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Vitoria and 1.05 for Fluminense. The models give Vitoria a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Fluminense win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Vitoria

—

Fluminense

12º

Position

4º

1.20

PPG

1.70

33%

Win %

47%

1.10

Goals / game

1.60

1.47

Conceded / game

1.23

46%

BTTS %

63%

35%

Clean sheet %

29%

49%

Over 2.5 %

48%

4.1

Avg corners

4.5

11.8

Avg shots

14.0

4.1

Avg shots on target

5.1

2.3

Avg yellow cards

2.6

12.7

Avg fouls

13.4

44.9%

Avg possession

58.6%

Home vs Away

Vitoria

Home (15)

—

Fluminense

Away (15)

2.07

PPG

1.00

67%

Win %

20%

1.47

Goals / game

1.33

0.80

Conceded / game

1.53

30%

BTTS %

58%

57%

Clean sheet %

23%

43%

Over 2.5 %

31%

4.1

Avg corners

4.5

11.8

Avg shots

14.0

4.1

Avg shots on target

5.1

2.3

Avg yellow cards

2.6

44.9%

Avg possession

58.6%

Goals Scored

	Vitoria	Home	Away	Fluminense	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	74%	80%	67%	81%	90%	69%
Over 1.5 Scored	39%	47%	30%	42%	58%	23%
Over 2.5 Scored	18%	27%	7%	19%	23%	15%
Failed To Score	26%	20%	33%	19%	10%	31%

Goals Conceded

	Vitoria	Home	Away	Fluminense	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	65%	43%	89%	72%	68%	77%
Over 1.5 Conceded	46%	23%	70%	28%	23%	35%
Over 2.5 Conceded	12%	7%	19%	7%	3%	12%
Clean Sheets	35%	57%	11%	28%	32%	23%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Vitoria	Fluminense
Over 0.5	93%	89%
Over 1.5	79%	74%
Over 2.5	49%	49%
Over 3.5	32%	26%
Over 4.5	11%	12%
BTTS	46%	63%
BTTS & Win	14%	30%
BTTS & Draw	14%	19%
BTTS & Over 2.5	39%	47%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	11%	2%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Vitoria	Fluminense
Win 1st Half	35%	30%
Draw 1st Half	39%	47%
Loss 1st Half	26%	23%
Scored 1st Half	49%	42%
Conceded 1st Half	42%	39%
Win 2nd Half	40%	40%
Draw 2nd Half	23%	37%
Loss 2nd Half	37%	23%
Scored 2nd Half	51%	65%
Conceded 2nd Half	53%	53%
Over 0.5 HT	72%	63%
Over 1.5 HT	33%	28%

Recent Venue Form

Vitoria (H)

Chapecoense-sc4–0

Cruzeiro1–3

Gremio1–0

Vasco DA Gama0–2

Bahia0–2

Botafogo1–0

Fluminense (A)

Flamengo0–1

Corinthians3–1

Platense1–2

Atletico-MG1–3

Atletico Paranaense3–3

Independ. Rivadavia1–1

Number of Corners

9.1

Corners / Match

36 games

League Avg

10.3

297 games

8.6

Corners / Match

54 games

Match Corners	Vitoria	Fluminense	League Avg
Over 6	78%	72%	84%
Over 7	67%	63%	76%
Over 8	61%	54%	68%
Over 9	39%	39%	57%
Over 10	25%	26%	42%
Over 11	22%	19%	33%
Over 12	17%	13%	26%
Over 13	8%	7%	19%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Vitoria	Fluminense
Corners Earned / Match	4.1	4.5
Corners Against / Match	5.0	4.1
Over 2.5 Corners For	75%	76%
Over 3.5 Corners For	61%	61%
Over 4.5 Corners For	42%	44%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	75%	65%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	72%	54%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	56%	48%

Head to Head · 17 matches

Vitoria

29%

Draws

41%

Fluminense

29%

76%

Over 1.5

13/17

65%

Over 2.5

11/17

29%

Over 3.5

5/17

76%

BTTS

13/17

09/05/26

Fluminense

2–2

Vitoria

20/09/25

Vitoria

0–1

Fluminense

20/04/25

Fluminense

1–1

Vitoria

26/10/24

Vitoria

2–1

Fluminense

27/06/24

Fluminense

0–1

Vitoria

06/09/18

Fluminense

0–0

Vitoria

06/05/18

Vitoria

1–2

Fluminense

10/09/17

Vitoria

2–2

Fluminense

03/06/17

Fluminense

2–1

Vitoria

28/10/16

Fluminense

2–2

Vitoria

10/07/16

Vitoria

0–0

Fluminense

17/09/14

Vitoria

3–1

Fluminense

04/05/14

Fluminense

1–2

Vitoria

27/10/13

Fluminense

2–3

Vitoria

07/08/13

Vitoria

1–1

Fluminense

26/09/10

Vitoria

1–2

Fluminense

02/06/10

Fluminense

2–1

Vitoria

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	+33	64
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	+30	63
3	Atletico Paranaense	30	15	8	7	+14	53
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	+11	51
5	Bahia	30	13	10	7	+8	49
6	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	+2	48
7	Atletico-MG	30	13	8	9	+6	47
8	Santos	30	11	9	10	+1	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	+3	40
10	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	0	39
11	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	-10	39
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	-11	36
13	Botafogo	30	9	9	12	-5	36
14	Vasco DA Gama	29	9	8	12	-6	35
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	-10	33
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	-7	32
17	Internacional	30	7	11	12	-5	32
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	-8	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-sc	29	3	9	17	-31	18
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	-22	10

Team Insights

Vitoria

●Vitoria have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
●Vitoria failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Vitoria have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Vitoria have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
●Vitoria failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
●Vitoria have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
●67% of Vitoria's goals have been scored at home.
●73% of Vitoria's goals conceded were conceded away.
●86% of Vitoria's points have been earned at home.

Fluminense

●Fluminense have won their last 4 home matches.
●Fluminense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
●Fluminense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
●Fluminense have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
●Fluminense have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.

Vitoria

LASao Paulo10º1–2

WHChapecoense-sc20º4–0

LHCruzeiro6º1–3

DAMirassol15º2–2

WHGremio18º1–0

LHVasco DA Gama0–2

LAAtletico-MG7º1–2

LAVasco DA Gama0–1

LHBahia5º0–2

WHBotafogo13º1–0

Fluminense

LHPalmeiras2º1–2

LHPalmeiras1º1–2

LHPalmeiras2º1–2

LAFlamengo1º0–1

WHCoritiba11º4–0

WACorinthians16º3–1

LAPlatense2º1–2

LAPlatense4º1–2

LAPlatense2º1–2

LAAtletico-MG7º1–3

Season Schedule

Vitoria

Sao Paulo1–2

Chapecoense-sc4–0

Cruzeiro1–3

Mirassol2–2

Gremio1–0

Atletico-MG1–2

–A

Corinthians19/10

–H

Atletico Paranaense24/10

–A

Coritiba29/10

Fluminense

Flamengo0–1

Coritiba4–0

Corinthians3–1

Atletico-MG1–3

Vasco DA Gama1–0

Atletico Paranaense3–3

–H

Santos18/10

–A

Chapecoense-sc24/10

–H

Internacional28/10

Top Scorers

Vitoria

Erick14 ⚽

Renato Kayzer13 ⚽

Rene12 ⚽

Matheuzinho7 ⚽

Baralhas5 ⚽

D. Tarzia4 ⚽

Fluminense

John Kennedy15 ⚽

K. Serna9 ⚽

Hulk8 ⚽

J. Savarino8 ⚽

A. Canobbio7 ⚽

Hercules6 ⚽

Cards Given

Vitoria

Emmanuel Martinez9 🟨

Renato Kayzer8 🟨

Caca7 🟨

Caique Goncalves6 🟨

Ramon6 🟨

D. Tarzia5 🟨

Fluminense

Luciano Acosta8 🟨

Agustín Canobbio8 🟨

Nonato7 🟨

Guga7 🟨

Facundo Bernal7 🟨

A. Canobbio6 🟨

Vitoria vs Fluminense — Serie A

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 17 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given