Corinthians vs Botafogo — Serie A
← Back

Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Corinthians and Botafogo meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Corinthians have recorded 20 wins from 56 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 32%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Botafogo have won 41% of their 54 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Corinthians and 1.15 for Botafogo. The models give Corinthians a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Botafogo win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Corinthians | Home | Away | Botafogo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 69% | 80% | 76% | 79% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 31% | 13% | 41% | 46% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 15% | 3% | 20% | 21% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 31% | 20% | 24% | 21% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Corinthians | Home | Away | Botafogo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 54% | 67% | 74% | 64% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 27% | 30% | 37% | 32% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 4% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 46% | 33% | 26% | 36% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Corinthians | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 32% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 15% |
| BTTS | 45% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Corinthians | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Corinthians | Botafogo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 77% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 74% | 70% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 61% | 58% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 55% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 35% | 36% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 26% | 34% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 26% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 23% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Corinthians | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 81% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 61% | 66% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 54% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 65% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 41% | 51% |
Head to Head · 29 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 | |
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 | |
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 | |
| 6 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 | |
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 | |
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 | |
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 | |
| 10 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 | |
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 | |
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 | |
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 | |
| 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 | |
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 | |
| 16 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 | |
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 | |
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 | |
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 | |
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 | |
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Corinthians have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Corinthians have lost their last 8 matches.
- ●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Corinthians have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Corinthians have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Corinthians have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Corinthians have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Corinthians have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Corinthians have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Corinthians have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Corinthians have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Corinthians failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Corinthians have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Corinthians have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Botafogo have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Botafogo have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.