Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras — Serie A
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Cruzeiro and Palmeiras meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Cruzeiro have recorded 28 wins from 60 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Palmeiras have won 62% of their 58 matches, with 1.71 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Cruzeiro and 1.30 for Palmeiras. The models give Cruzeiro a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Palmeiras win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Cruzeiro—
Palmeiras6º
Position
2º
1.60
PPG
2.10
47%
Win %
60%
1.53
Goals / game
1.73
1.47
Conceded / game
0.73
58%
BTTS %
50%
35%
Clean sheet %
45%
53%
Over 2.5 %
48%
5.1
Avg corners
6.1
14.9
Avg shots
15.9
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.8
13.3
Avg fouls
12.7
54.7%
Avg possession
53.8%
Home vs Away
Cruzeiro
Home (15)
—
Palmeiras
Away (15)
1.87
PPG
1.80
53%
Win %
47%
1.73
Goals / game
1.60
1.07
Conceded / game
0.80
48%
BTTS %
50%
45%
Clean sheet %
43%
42%
Over 2.5 %
46%
5.1
Avg corners
6.1
14.9
Avg shots
15.9
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.8
54.7%
Avg possession
53.8%
Goals Scored
| Cruzeiro | Home | Away | Palmeiras | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 87% | 83% | 86% | 93% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 45% | 34% | 47% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 19% | 3% | 24% | 30% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 7% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Cruzeiro | Home | Away | Palmeiras | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 55% | 76% | 56% | 53% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 16% | 45% | 12% | 3% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 6% | 17% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 45% | 24% | 44% | 47% | 41% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cruzeiro | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 14% |
| BTTS | 58% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cruzeiro | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 51% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 66% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Cruzeiro (H)W
Sao Paulo2–0
Sao Paulo2–0W
Atletico Paranaense3–1
Atletico Paranaense3–1D
Atletico-MG1–1
Atletico-MG1–1W
Flamengo2–1
Flamengo2–1DFlamengo1–1
Flamengo1–1W
Mirassol3–1
Mirassol3–1Palmeiras (A)W
Fluminense2–1
Fluminense2–1D
Gremio0–0
Gremio0–0L
LDU de Quito2–3
LDU de Quito2–3D
Botafogo0–0
Botafogo0–0D
Santos0–0
Santos0–0DMirassol1–1
Mirassol1–1Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
44 games
League Avg
10.3
297 games
11.1
Corners / Match
58 games
| Match Corners | Cruzeiro | Palmeiras | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 91% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 81% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 74% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 57% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 45% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 23% | 36% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 28% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cruzeiro | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 6.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 68% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 59% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 41% | 48% |
Head to Head · 28 matches
9
Cruzeiro
32%
12
Draws
43%
7
Palmeiras
25%
79%
Over 1.5
22/28
39%
Over 2.5
11/28
18%
Over 3.5
5/28
68%
BTTS
19/28
17/05/26Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1–1Cruzeiro26/10/25Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
0–0Cruzeiro01/06/25Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
2–1Palmeiras05/12/24Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1–2Palmeiras21/07/24Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
2–0Cruzeiro07/12/23Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1–1Palmeiras14/08/23Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1–0Cruzeiro08/12/19Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
0–2Palmeiras14/09/19Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1–0Cruzeiro30/09/18Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
3–1Cruzeiro27/09/18Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1–1Palmeiras13/09/18Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
0–1Cruzeiro31/05/18Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1–0Palmeiras30/10/17Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
2–2Cruzeiro27/07/17Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1–1Palmeiras09/07/17Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
3–1Palmeiras29/06/17Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
3–3Cruzeiro13/10/16Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
0–0Cruzeiro25/06/16Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
2–1Palmeiras21/11/15Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1–1Cruzeiro| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Cruzeiro- ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Cruzeiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Cruzeiro have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Palmeiras- ●Palmeiras have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won 7 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
CruzeiroLARB Bragantino2–4
RB Bragantino2–4WHSao Paulo2–0
Sao Paulo2–0WAVitoria3–1
Vitoria3–1LASantos1–2
Santos1–2WHAtletico Paranaense3–1
Atletico Paranaense3–1LAVasco DA Gama1–3
Vasco DA Gama1–3–AGremio18/10
Gremio18/10–HRemo23/10
Remo23/10–AAtletico-MG29/10
Atletico-MG29/10PalmeirasWHCorinthians4–1
Corinthians4–1WHBahia1–0
Bahia1–0DAGremio0–0
Gremio0–0WHSao Paulo2–0
Sao Paulo2–0DABotafogo0–0
Botafogo0–0DAMirassol1–1
Mirassol1–1–AAtletico Paranaense17/10
Atletico Paranaense17/10–HRB Bragantino24/10
RB Bragantino24/10–ASantos28/10
Santos28/10Top Scorers
CruzeiroKaio Jorge19 ⚽
Matheus Pereira14 ⚽
Christian8 ⚽
K. Arroyo7 ⚽
N. Villarreal4 ⚽
L. Sinisterra3 ⚽
PalmeirasJ. Lopez21 ⚽
Mauricio11 ⚽
Vitor Roque10 ⚽
R. Sosa9 ⚽
J. Arias8 ⚽
Allan Elias6 ⚽
Cards Given
CruzeiroMatheus Pereira15 🟨
Matheus Henrique9 🟨
K. Arroyo9 🟨
Gerson7 🟨
Lucas Silva7 🟨
Fagner6 🟨
PalmeirasAndreas Pereira7 🟨
Murilo7 🟨
Marlon Freitas7 🟨
Arthur Gabriel6 🟨
Khellven5 🟨
Gustavo Gómez5 🟨