Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense — Serie A
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Flamengo and Atletico Paranaense meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Flamengo have recorded 34 wins from 58 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 1.95 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Atletico Paranaense have won 46% of their 46 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Flamengo and 1.19 for Atletico Paranaense. The models give Flamengo a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Atletico Paranaense win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Flamengo | Home | Away | Atletico Paranaense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 93% | 82% | 74% | 77% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 70% | 43% | 52% | 64% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 30% | 18% | 20% | 23% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 7% | 18% | 26% | 23% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Flamengo | Home | Away | Atletico Paranaense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 57% | 68% | 72% | 59% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 20% | 29% | 26% | 9% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 43% | 32% | 28% | 41% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Flamengo | Atletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 17% |
| BTTS | 52% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Flamengo | Atletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Flamengo | Atletico Paranaense | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 82% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 79% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 68% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 56% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 31% | 35% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 26% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 12% | 21% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 12% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Flamengo | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 61% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 44% |
Head to Head · 41 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 | |
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 | |
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 | |
| 6 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 | |
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 | |
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 | |
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 | |
| 10 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 | |
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 | |
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 | |
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 | |
| 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 | |
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 | |
| 16 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 | |
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 | |
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 | |
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 | |
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 | |
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Flamengo have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Flamengo have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have been undefeated in their last 13 home matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Atletico Paranaense have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.