Gremio vs Bahia — Serie A
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Gremio and Bahia meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Gremio have recorded 21 wins from 58 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Bahia have won 51% of their 47 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 66%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Gremio and 1.34 for Bahia. The models give Gremio a 39% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Bahia win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Gremio—
Bahia18º
Position
5º
1.03
PPG
1.63
23%
Win %
43%
1.07
Goals / game
1.47
1.33
Conceded / game
1.20
52%
BTTS %
66%
33%
Clean sheet %
26%
43%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.1
Avg corners
5.7
12.2
Avg shots
13.6
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.4
12.6
Avg fouls
13.4
51.7%
Avg possession
56.2%
Home vs Away
Gremio
Home (15)
—
Bahia
Away (15)
1.73
PPG
1.47
47%
Win %
40%
1.53
Goals / game
1.40
1.13
Conceded / game
1.47
53%
BTTS %
55%
37%
Clean sheet %
27%
43%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.1
Avg corners
5.7
12.2
Avg shots
13.6
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.4
51.7%
Avg possession
56.2%
Goals Scored
| Gremio | Home | Away | Bahia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 83% | 64% | 87% | 96% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 43% | 29% | 53% | 64% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 23% | 11% | 26% | 32% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 17% | 36% | 13% | 4% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Gremio | Home | Away | Bahia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 63% | 71% | 74% | 76% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 20% | 36% | 38% | 32% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 7% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 37% | 29% | 26% | 24% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gremio | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 21% |
| BTTS | 52% | 66% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gremio | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 34% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 51% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 51% |
Recent Venue Form
Gremio (H)D
Internacional1–1
Internacional1–1D
Palmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0L
Vasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2WInternacional3–1
Internacional3–1W
Chapecoense-sc3–1
Chapecoense-sc3–1W
Sao Paulo2–1
Sao Paulo2–1Bahia (A)LPalmeiras0–1
Palmeiras0–1L
Atletico Paranaense1–2
Atletico Paranaense1–2W
RB Bragantino3–2
RB Bragantino3–2W
Vitoria2–0
Vitoria2–0DChapecoense-sc3–3
Chapecoense-sc3–3D
Fluminense0–0
Fluminense0–0Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
44 games
League Avg
10.3
297 games
10.9
Corners / Match
33 games
| Match Corners | Gremio | Bahia | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 91% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 88% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 66% | 73% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 61% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 42% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 42% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 16% | 30% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 27% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Gremio | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 68% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 52% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 66% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 61% | 55% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
14
Gremio
45%
9
Draws
29%
8
Bahia
26%
61%
Over 1.5
19/31
26%
Over 2.5
8/31
13%
Over 3.5
4/31
39%
BTTS
12/31
17/05/26Gremio
Bahia
1–1Gremio19/10/25Gremio
Bahia
4–0Gremio25/05/25Bahia
Gremio
1–0Bahia17/08/24Bahia
Gremio
0–2Bahia28/04/24Gremio
Bahia
1–0Gremio04/11/23Bahia
Gremio
1–0Bahia12/07/23Bahia
Gremio
1–1Bahia05/07/23Gremio
Bahia
1–1Gremio01/07/23Gremio
Bahia
1–2Gremio16/10/22Bahia
Gremio
1–1Bahia03/07/22Gremio
Bahia
0–0Gremio26/11/21Gremio
Bahia
3–1Gremio21/08/21Bahia
Gremio
2–0Bahia06/01/21Bahia
Gremio
2–1Bahia10/09/20Gremio
Bahia
0–2Gremio16/10/19Bahia
Gremio
0–1Bahia17/07/19Gremio
Bahia
0–1Gremio10/07/19Bahia
Gremio
1–1Bahia01/06/19Gremio
Bahia
1–0Gremio07/10/18Bahia
Gremio
2–2Bahia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Gremio- ●Gremio have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Gremio have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●72% of Gremio's goals have been scored at home.
- ●84% of Gremio's points have been earned at home.
Bahia- ●Bahia have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bahia have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Bahia have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Bahia have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Bahia have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Bahia have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Bahia have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GremioDHInternacional1–1
Internacional1–1DARemo1–1
Remo1–1DHPalmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0LABotafogo2–3
Botafogo2–3LHVasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2LAVitoria0–1
Vitoria0–1–HCruzeiro18/10
Cruzeiro18/10–ACoritiba26/10
Coritiba26/10–HAtletico Paranaense30/10
Atletico Paranaense30/10BahiaWHMirassol1–0
Mirassol1–0LAPalmeiras0–1
Palmeiras0–1LAAtletico Paranaense1–2
Atletico Paranaense1–2WHRemo2–1
Remo2–1WARB Bragantino3–2
RB Bragantino3–2WHInternacional3–2
Internacional3–2–HFlamengo18/10
Flamengo18/10–ASantos25/10
Santos25/10–HSao Paulo29/10
Sao Paulo29/10Top Scorers
GremioCarlos Vinicius21 ⚽
F. Amuzu8 ⚽
C. Pavon5 ⚽
Gustavo Martins4 ⚽
M. Braithwaite4 ⚽
Edenilson3 ⚽
BahiaWillian Jose9 ⚽
Luciano Juba8 ⚽
Erick8 ⚽
Everaldo7 ⚽
Jean Lucas6 ⚽
Dell4 ⚽
Cards Given
GremioWalter Kannemann11 🟨
Viery9 🟨
Gustavo Martins8 🟨
Wagner Leonardo7 🟨
Pedro Gabriel7 🟨
Carlos Vinicius6 🟨
BahiaErick7 🟨
Nicolás Acevedo7 🟨
Luciano Juba6 🟨
Ademir6 🟨
Jean Lucas6 🟨
Erick Pulga5 🟨