Mirassol vs Atletico-MG — Serie A
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Mirassol and Atletico-MG meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Mirassol have recorded 16 wins from 51 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Atletico-MG have won 42% of their 57 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Mirassol and 1.23 for Atletico-MG. The models give Mirassol a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Atletico-MG win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Mirassol—
Atletico-MG15º
Position
7º
1.10
PPG
1.57
27%
Win %
43%
1.13
Goals / game
1.37
1.47
Conceded / game
1.17
55%
BTTS %
56%
20%
Clean sheet %
25%
43%
Over 2.5 %
46%
5.0
Avg corners
5.0
12.9
Avg shots
13.3
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.7
11.8
Avg fouls
11.5
51.0%
Avg possession
51.4%
Home vs Away
Mirassol
Home (15)
—
Atletico-MG
Away (15)
1.53
PPG
1.00
40%
Win %
27%
1.40
Goals / game
1.00
1.40
Conceded / game
1.20
64%
BTTS %
45%
28%
Clean sheet %
21%
48%
Over 2.5 %
38%
5.0
Avg corners
5.0
12.9
Avg shots
13.3
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.7
51.0%
Avg possession
51.4%
Goals Scored
| Mirassol | Home | Away | Atletico-MG | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 88% | 54% | 74% | 90% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 48% | 27% | 41% | 55% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 21% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 12% | 46% | 26% | 10% | 41% |
Goals Conceded
| Mirassol | Home | Away | Atletico-MG | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 72% | 88% | 74% | 69% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 24% | 27% | 28% | 17% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 7% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 28% | 12% | 26% | 31% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mirassol | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 5% |
| BTTS | 55% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mirassol | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 51% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
Mirassol (H)W
Botafogo2–0
Botafogo2–0D
Vitoria2–2
Vitoria2–2D
Palmeiras1–1
Palmeiras1–1L
Flamengo1–5
Flamengo1–5D
LDU de Quito1–1
LDU de Quito1–1D
Gremio1–1
Gremio1–1Atletico-MG (A)D
Atletico Paranaense2–2
Atletico Paranaense2–2L
Santos0–2
Santos0–2L
Sao Paulo0–2
Sao Paulo0–2D
Cruzeiro1–1
Cruzeiro1–1D
Internacional0–0
Internacional0–0W
RB Bragantino1–0
RB Bragantino1–0Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
50 games
League Avg
10.3
297 games
10.1
Corners / Match
46 games
| Match Corners | Mirassol | Atletico-MG | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 84% | 85% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 74% | 72% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 62% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 48% | 57% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 39% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 24% | 26% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 16% | 22% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Mirassol | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 68% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 74% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 54% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Mirassol
0%
1
Draws
33%
2
Atletico-MG
67%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
16/05/26Mirassol
Atletico-MG
3–1Mirassol28/09/25Mirassol
Atletico-MG
1–0Mirassol26/04/25Atletico-MG
Mirassol
2–2Atletico-MG| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Mirassol- ●Mirassol have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mirassol have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Mirassol have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Mirassol have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●62% of Mirassol's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Mirassol have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico-MG- ●Atletico-MG have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●63% of Atletico-MG's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
MirassolLABahia0–1
Bahia0–1DARB Bragantino1–1
RB Bragantino1–1WHBotafogo2–0
Botafogo2–0DHVitoria2–2
Vitoria2–2WACoritiba2–1
Coritiba2–1LAFlamengo0–2
Flamengo0–2–HInternacional16/10
Internacional16/10–HSao Paulo24/10
Sao Paulo24/10–ACorinthians30/10
Corinthians30/10Atletico-MGWHSantos2–1
Santos2–1DAAtletico Paranaense2–2
Atletico Paranaense2–2WHRB Bragantino1–0
RB Bragantino1–0DHChapecoense-sc1–1
Chapecoense-sc1–1WHFluminense3–1
Fluminense3–1LASao Paulo0–2
Sao Paulo0–2–HCoritiba17/10
Coritiba17/10–AFlamengo26/10
Flamengo26/10–HCruzeiro29/10
Cruzeiro29/10Top Scorers
MirassolEduardo7 ⚽
Igor Formiga5 ⚽
Edson Carioca4 ⚽
Carlos Eduardo3 ⚽
Alesson3 ⚽
Bruno Santos3 ⚽
Atletico-MGReinier6 ⚽
Victor Hugo6 ⚽
Cuello6 ⚽
Bernard6 ⚽
M. Cassierra5 ⚽
R. Lodi5 ⚽
Cards Given
MirassolJosé Aldo10 🟨
Denilson9 🟨
Neto Moura8 🟨
Reinaldo8 🟨
Lucas Oliveira7 🟨
Alesson6 🟨
Atletico-MGLyanco7 🟨
Ruan Tressoldi7 🟨
Alan Franco6 🟨
Ruan6 🟨
Natanael5 🟨
A. Franco5 🟨