Bahia vs Coritiba — Serie A
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Bahia and Coritiba meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Bahia have recorded 24 wins from 48 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Coritiba have won 33% of their 43 matches, with 1.21 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Bahia and 1.12 for Coritiba. The models give Bahia a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Coritiba win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Bahia—
Coritiba7º
Position
12º
1.63
PPG
1.26
43%
Win %
32%
1.47
Goals / game
1.23
1.20
Conceded / game
1.58
65%
BTTS %
49%
25%
Clean sheet %
26%
60%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.7
Avg corners
3.8
13.4
Avg shots
11.2
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.7
13.4
Avg fouls
11.1
55.6%
Avg possession
41.2%
Home vs Away
Bahia
Home (15)
—
Coritiba
Away (16)
1.80
PPG
1.19
47%
Win %
31%
1.53
Goals / game
1.13
0.93
Conceded / game
1.81
73%
BTTS %
36%
23%
Clean sheet %
36%
69%
Over 2.5 %
45%
5.7
Avg corners
3.8
13.4
Avg shots
11.2
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.7
55.6%
Avg possession
41.2%
Goals Scored
| Bahia | Home | Away | Coritiba | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 92% | 77% | 70% | 76% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 62% | 41% | 40% | 48% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 31% | 18% | 12% | 10% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 8% | 23% | 30% | 24% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Bahia | Home | Away | Coritiba | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 77% | 73% | 74% | 86% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 35% | 45% | 42% | 43% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 14% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 23% | 27% | 26% | 14% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bahia | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 16% |
| BTTS | 65% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bahia | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Bahia (H)L
Flamengo0–3
Flamengo0–3W
Mirassol1–0
Mirassol1–0W
Remo2–1
Remo2–1W
Internacional3–2
Internacional3–2D
Vasco DA Gama0–0
Vasco DA Gama0–0D
Corinthians1–1
Corinthians1–1Coritiba (A)L
Atletico-MG0–1
Atletico-MG0–1L
Fluminense0–4
Fluminense0–4LVasco DA Gama0–5
Vasco DA Gama0–5WRemo3–2
Remo3–2D
Sao Paulo1–1
Sao Paulo1–1D
RB Bragantino0–0
RB Bragantino0–0Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
34 games
League Avg
10.3
306 games
10.2
Corners / Match
32 games
| Match Corners | Bahia | Coritiba | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 78% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 72% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 74% | 72% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 62% | 66% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 50% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 31% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 32% | 25% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 29% | 19% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bahia | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 6.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 79% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 65% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 65% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 72% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
4
Bahia
27%
8
Draws
53%
3
Coritiba
20%
60%
Over 1.5
9/15
53%
Over 2.5
8/15
40%
Over 3.5
6/15
60%
BTTS
9/15
25/05/26Bahia
Coritiba
3–2Bahia14/09/23Bahia
Coritiba
2–4Bahia07/05/23Coritiba
Bahia
3–1Coritiba16/11/20Bahia
Coritiba
1–2Bahia12/08/20Coritiba
Bahia
1–0Coritiba30/09/17Coritiba
Bahia
1–1Coritiba15/06/17Bahia
Coritiba
0–0Bahia07/12/14Bahia
Coritiba
3–2Bahia07/09/14Coritiba
Bahia
0–0Coritiba15/09/13Bahia
Coritiba
2–2Bahia30/05/13Coritiba
Bahia
0–0Coritiba14/10/12Bahia
Coritiba
2–1Bahia22/07/12Coritiba
Bahia
2–2Coritiba16/10/11Bahia
Coritiba
0–0Bahia24/07/11Coritiba
Bahia
0–0Coritiba| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | +32 | 66 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 53 |
| 4 |  Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 51 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | +1 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Bahia- ●Bahia have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Bahia have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Bahia have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Bahia have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Bahia have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Coritiba- ●Coritiba have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Coritiba have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Coritiba have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
BahiaLHFlamengo0–3
Flamengo0–3WHMirassol1–0
Mirassol1–0LAPalmeiras0–1
Palmeiras0–1LAAtletico Paranaense1–2
Atletico Paranaense1–2WHRemo2–1
Remo2–1WARB Bragantino3–2
RB Bragantino3–2–ASantos25/10
Santos25/10–HSao Paulo29/10
Sao Paulo29/10–ACruzeiro06/11
Cruzeiro06/11CoritibaLAAtletico-MG0–1
Atletico-MG0–1DHBotafogo1–1
Botafogo1–1LAFluminense0–4
Fluminense0–4LAVasco DA Gama0–5
Vasco DA Gama0–5DHAtletico Paranaense3–3
Atletico Paranaense3–3LHMirassol1–2
Mirassol1–2–HGremio26/10
Gremio26/10–HVitoria29/10
Vitoria29/10–AInternacional04/11
Internacional04/11Top Scorers
BahiaWillian Jose9 ⚽
Luciano Juba8 ⚽
Erick8 ⚽
Everaldo7 ⚽
Jean Lucas6 ⚽
Dell4 ⚽
CoritibaPedro Rocha11 ⚽
Breno Lopes8 ⚽
J. Lavega5 ⚽
Tiago Coser4 ⚽
Rodrigo Moledo3 ⚽
Lucas Ronier3 ⚽
Cards Given
BahiaErick7 🟨
Jean Lucas7 🟨
Nicolás Acevedo7 🟨
Luciano Juba6 🟨
Ademir6 🟨
Erick Pulga5 🟨
CoritibaThiago Santos11 🟨
Vini Paulista6 🟨
Bruno Melo5 🟨
Tiago Coser4 🟨
Breno Lopes4 🟨
Lucas Ronier4 🟨