Botafogo vs Sao Paulo — Serie A
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Estádio Nilton Santos·Rio de Janeiro·Brazil·46,931
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Botafogo and Sao Paulo meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Botafogo have recorded 23 wins from 55 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Sao Paulo have won 42% of their 53 matches, with 1.19 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Botafogo and 0.98 for Sao Paulo. The models give Botafogo a 49% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Sao Paulo win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Botafogo—
Sao Paulo11º
Position
9º
1.26
PPG
1.35
32%
Win %
39%
1.42
Goals / game
1.16
1.55
Conceded / game
1.13
55%
BTTS %
55%
27%
Clean sheet %
28%
51%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.7
Avg corners
6.4
14.4
Avg shots
12.8
5.2
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
13.1
Avg fouls
13.2
50.9%
Avg possession
54.1%
Home vs Away
Botafogo
Home (16)
—
Sao Paulo
Away (15)
1.50
PPG
0.60
38%
Win %
13%
1.63
Goals / game
0.73
1.38
Conceded / game
1.47
52%
BTTS %
56%
38%
Clean sheet %
15%
52%
Over 2.5 %
41%
4.7
Avg corners
6.4
14.4
Avg shots
12.8
5.2
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
50.9%
Avg possession
54.1%
Goals Scored
| Botafogo | Home | Away | Sao Paulo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 79% | 73% | 79% | 96% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 45% | 35% | 34% | 54% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 21% | 19% | 4% | 8% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 21% | 27% | 21% | 4% | 37% |
Goals Conceded
| Botafogo | Home | Away | Sao Paulo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 62% | 85% | 72% | 58% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 31% | 42% | 28% | 15% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 7% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 38% | 15% | 28% | 42% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Botafogo | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 6% |
| BTTS | 55% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Botafogo | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 51% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Botafogo (H)W
Chapecoense-sc1–0
Chapecoense-sc1–0L
Vasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2W
Gremio3–2
Gremio3–2D
RB Bragantino1–1
RB Bragantino1–1D
Palmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0L
Atletico Paranaense2–3
Atletico Paranaense2–3Sao Paulo (A)L
Cruzeiro0–2
Cruzeiro0–2LPalmeiras0–2
Palmeiras0–2L
Boca Juniors0–1
Boca Juniors0–1LChapecoense-sc0–1
Chapecoense-sc0–1D
Bolívar1–1
Bolívar1–1LGremio1–2
Gremio1–2Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
54 games
League Avg
10.3
308 games
11.0
Corners / Match
52 games
| Match Corners | Botafogo | Sao Paulo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 88% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 79% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 71% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 65% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 35% | 48% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 40% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 26% | 37% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 27% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Botafogo | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 6.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 81% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 72% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 44% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
10
Botafogo
32%
11
Draws
35%
10
Sao Paulo
32%
68%
Over 1.5
21/31
48%
Over 2.5
15/31
32%
Over 3.5
10/31
48%
BTTS
15/31
23/05/26Botafogo
Sao Paulo
1–1Botafogo14/09/25Botafogo
Sao Paulo
1–0Botafogo16/04/25Sao Paulo
Botafogo
2–2Sao Paulo08/12/24Sao Paulo
Botafogo
2–1Sao Paulo26/09/24Botafogo
Sao Paulo
1–1Botafogo19/09/24Sao Paulo
Botafogo
0–0Sao Paulo24/07/24Botafogo
Sao Paulo
2–2Botafogo19/08/23Botafogo
Sao Paulo
0–0Botafogo15/04/23Sao Paulo
Botafogo
2–1Sao Paulo09/10/22Botafogo
Sao Paulo
0–1Botafogo16/06/22Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1–0Sao Paulo22/02/21Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1–0Sao Paulo10/12/20Botafogo
Sao Paulo
4–0Botafogo21/09/19Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1–2Sao Paulo27/04/19Botafogo
Sao Paulo
2–0Botafogo30/09/18Sao Paulo
Botafogo
2–2Sao Paulo31/05/18Botafogo
Sao Paulo
3–2Botafogo19/11/17Botafogo
Sao Paulo
0–0Botafogo29/07/17Sao Paulo
Botafogo
3–4Sao Paulo14/08/16Botafogo
Sao Paulo
0–1Botafogo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | +32 | 66 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 53 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 51 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | +1 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | +3 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 33 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -15 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Botafogo- ●Botafogo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Botafogo have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
Sao Paulo- ●Sao Paulo have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Sao Paulo have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sao Paulo have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Sao Paulo have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Sao Paulo have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Sao Paulo have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●69% of Sao Paulo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Sao Paulo's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
BotafogoWHChapecoense-sc1–0
Chapecoense-sc1–0DACoritiba1–1
Coritiba1–1LHVasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2LAMirassol0–2
Mirassol0–2WHGremio3–2
Gremio3–2DHRB Bragantino1–1
RB Bragantino1–1–AInternacional24/10
Internacional24/10–ARemo29/10
Remo29/10–HAtletico-MG05/11
Atletico-MG05/11Sao PauloWHVasco DA Gama1–0
Vasco DA Gama1–0WHVitoria2–1
Vitoria2–1LACruzeiro0–2
Cruzeiro0–2LHSantos1–2
Santos1–2WHInternacional1–0
Internacional1–0LAPalmeiras0–2
Palmeiras0–2–AMirassol24/10
Mirassol24/10–ABahia29/10
Bahia29/10–HCorinthians05/11
Corinthians05/11Top Scorers
BotafogoDanilo10 ⚽
Arthur Cabral9 ⚽
Alex Telles7 ⚽
Matheus Martins6 ⚽
Edenilson4 ⚽
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira3 ⚽
Sao PauloJonathan Calleri16 ⚽
Luciano15 ⚽
Artur4 ⚽
Ferreira4 ⚽
G. Tapia3 ⚽
D. Bobadilla3 ⚽
Cards Given
BotafogoAlexander Barboza8 🟨
Álvaro Montoro7 🟨
Huguinho6 🟨
Alex Telles6 🟨
Allan6 🟨
Arthur Cabral6 🟨
Sao PauloJonathan Calleri11 🟨
Enzo Díaz10 🟨
Luciano10 🟨
Wendell7 🟨
Damián Bobadilla6 🟨
Alan Franco6 🟨