Fluminense vs Mirassol — Serie A
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Fluminense and Mirassol meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Fluminense have recorded 27 wins from 58 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Mirassol have won 33% of their 52 matches, with 1.19 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Fluminense and 0.95 for Mirassol. The models give Fluminense a 55% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Mirassol win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Fluminense—
Mirassol5º
Position
14º
1.65
PPG
1.16
45%
Win %
29%
1.58
Goals / game
1.16
1.26
Conceded / game
1.42
64%
BTTS %
54%
28%
Clean sheet %
21%
50%
Over 2.5 %
42%
4.5
Avg corners
5.0
13.8
Avg shots
13.1
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.6
13.4
Avg fouls
11.8
58.6%
Avg possession
51.2%
Home vs Away
Fluminense
Home (16)
—
Mirassol
Away (15)
2.25
PPG
0.67
69%
Win %
13%
1.81
Goals / game
0.87
1.00
Conceded / game
1.53
69%
BTTS %
46%
31%
Clean sheet %
12%
66%
Over 2.5 %
38%
4.5
Avg corners
5.0
13.8
Avg shots
13.1
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.6
58.6%
Avg possession
51.2%
Goals Scored
| Fluminense | Home | Away | Mirassol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 91% | 69% | 71% | 88% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 56% | 23% | 38% | 50% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 22% | 15% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 9% | 31% | 29% | 12% | 46% |
Goals Conceded
| Fluminense | Home | Away | Mirassol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 69% | 77% | 79% | 69% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 35% | 25% | 23% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 4% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 31% | 23% | 21% | 31% | 12% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fluminense | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 4% |
| BTTS | 64% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fluminense | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Fluminense (H)L
Santos1–2
Santos1–2L
Palmeiras1–2
Palmeiras1–2W
Coritiba4–0
Coritiba4–0W
Platense2–0
Platense2–0W
Vasco DA Gama1–0
Vasco DA Gama1–0W
Remo2–1
Remo2–1Mirassol (A)L
Bahia0–1
Bahia0–1D
RB Bragantino1–1
RB Bragantino1–1W
Uberlandia4–0
Uberlandia4–0WCoritiba2–1
Coritiba2–1L
Flamengo0–2
Flamengo0–2DSantos1–1
Santos1–1Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
56 games
League Avg
10.3
306 games
10.0
Corners / Match
51 games
| Match Corners | Fluminense | Mirassol | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 84% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 73% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 54% | 61% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 47% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 41% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 35% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 24% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 16% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fluminense | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 54% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 48% | 49% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Fluminense
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Mirassol
67%
33%
Over 1.5
1/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
23/05/26Fluminense
Mirassol
1–0Fluminense06/11/25Mirassol
Fluminense
1–0Mirassol09/10/25Fluminense
Mirassol
2–1Fluminense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | +32 | 66 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 53 |
| 4 |  Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 51 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | +1 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Fluminense- ●Fluminense have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Fluminense have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Fluminense have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Mirassol- ●Mirassol have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Mirassol have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Mirassol have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Mirassol have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Mirassol failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Mirassol have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●64% of Mirassol's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
FluminenseLHSantos1–2
Santos1–2LAFlamengo0–1
Flamengo0–1WHCoritiba4–0
Coritiba4–0WACorinthians3–1
Corinthians3–1LAAtletico-MG1–3
Atletico-MG1–3WHVasco DA Gama1–0
Vasco DA Gama1–0–AChapecoense-sc24/10
Chapecoense-sc24/10–HInternacional28/10
Internacional28/10–AVitoria06/11
Vitoria06/11MirassolWHInternacional2–0
Internacional2–0LABahia0–1
Bahia0–1DARB Bragantino1–1
RB Bragantino1–1WHBotafogo2–0
Botafogo2–0DHVitoria2–2
Vitoria2–2WACoritiba2–1
Coritiba2–1–HSao Paulo24/10
Sao Paulo24/10–ACorinthians30/10
Corinthians30/10–AChapecoense-sc03/11
Chapecoense-sc03/11Top Scorers
FluminenseJohn Kennedy15 ⚽
K. Serna9 ⚽
Hulk8 ⚽
J. Savarino8 ⚽
A. Canobbio7 ⚽
Hercules6 ⚽
MirassolEduardo7 ⚽
Igor Formiga5 ⚽
Edson Carioca4 ⚽
Carlos Eduardo3 ⚽
Alesson3 ⚽
Bruno Santos3 ⚽
Cards Given
FluminenseAgustín Canobbio9 🟨
Luciano Acosta8 🟨
Nonato7 🟨
Guga7 🟨
Facundo Bernal7 🟨
A. Canobbio6 🟨
MirassolJosé Aldo10 🟨
Neto Moura9 🟨
Denilson9 🟨
Reinaldo8 🟨
Lucas Oliveira7 🟨
Alesson6 🟨