Santos vs Gremio — Serie A
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Santos and Gremio meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Santos have recorded 23 wins from 59 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.51 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Gremio have won 36% of their 59 matches, with 1.37 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Santos and 1.03 for Gremio. The models give Santos a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Gremio win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Santos—
Gremio8º
Position
18º
1.45
PPG
1.00
39%
Win %
23%
1.55
Goals / game
1.10
1.48
Conceded / game
1.42
61%
BTTS %
53%
29%
Clean sheet %
32%
56%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.3
Avg corners
4.2
13.6
Avg shots
12.3
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.6
12.2
Avg fouls
12.7
53.1%
Avg possession
51.4%
Home vs Away
Santos
Home (15)
—
Gremio
Away (15)
1.53
PPG
0.33
40%
Win %
0%
1.47
Goals / game
0.60
1.33
Conceded / game
1.53
55%
BTTS %
50%
38%
Clean sheet %
29%
52%
Over 2.5 %
43%
5.3
Avg corners
4.2
13.6
Avg shots
12.3
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.6
53.1%
Avg possession
51.4%
Goals Scored
| Santos | Home | Away | Gremio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 79% | 80% | 75% | 84% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 49% | 55% | 43% | 37% | 45% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 17% | 10% | 17% | 23% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 21% | 20% | 25% | 16% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Santos | Home | Away | Gremio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 62% | 80% | 68% | 65% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 28% | 43% | 29% | 23% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 7% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 38% | 20% | 32% | 35% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Santos | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 12% |
| BTTS | 61% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 34% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Santos | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 51% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Santos (H)D
Flamengo2–2
Flamengo2–2W
Cruzeiro2–1
Cruzeiro2–1W
Atletico-MG2–0
Atletico-MG2–0D
Palmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0D
Mirassol1–1
Mirassol1–1W
Macara2–1
Macara2–1Gremio (A)D
Remo1–1
Remo1–1L
Botafogo2–3
Botafogo2–3L
Vitoria0–1
Vitoria0–1D
Internacional0–0
Internacional0–0L
RB Bragantino0–1
RB Bragantino0–1LAtletico-MG0–3
Atletico-MG0–3Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
57 games
League Avg
10.3
306 games
9.4
Corners / Match
45 games
| Match Corners | Santos | Gremio | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 76% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 71% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 74% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 61% | 51% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 38% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 28% | 29% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 18% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 11% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Santos | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 84% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 74% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 61% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 68% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 49% | 62% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
8
Santos
26%
13
Draws
42%
10
Gremio
32%
65%
Over 1.5
20/31
42%
Over 2.5
13/31
26%
Over 3.5
8/31
61%
BTTS
19/31
23/05/26Santos
Gremio
3–2Santos02/10/25Gremio
Santos
1–1Gremio04/05/25Santos
Gremio
1–0Santos20/08/23Gremio
Santos
2–1Gremio16/04/23Santos
Gremio
1–0Santos10/10/21Gremio
Santos
1–0Gremio25/06/21Santos
Gremio
2–2Santos03/02/21Santos
Gremio
3–3Santos16/12/20Gremio
Santos
4–1Gremio09/12/20Santos
Gremio
1–1Santos11/10/20Gremio
Santos
2–1Gremio22/09/19Gremio
Santos
0–3Gremio28/04/19Santos
Gremio
1–2Santos06/09/18Gremio
Santos
0–0Gremio06/05/18Santos
Gremio
5–1Santos19/11/17Gremio
Santos
1–0Gremio30/07/17Santos
Gremio
1–1Santos16/10/16Gremio
Santos
1–1Gremio29/06/16Santos
Gremio
3–2Santos16/10/15Santos
Gremio
1–0Santos| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | +32 | 66 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 53 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 51 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | +1 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | +3 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 |  Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -15 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Santos- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Santos have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Santos have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Santos have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Santos have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Santos failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Santos have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Santos have scored in 15 of their 16 away matches.
Gremio- ●Gremio have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Gremio have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Gremio failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Gremio have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●74% of Gremio's goals have been scored at home.
- ●84% of Gremio's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
SantosWAFluminense2–1
Fluminense2–1LAAtletico-MG1–2
Atletico-MG1–2DHFlamengo2–2
Flamengo2–2WASao Paulo2–1
Sao Paulo2–1WARemo2–1
Remo2–1WHCruzeiro2–1
Cruzeiro2–1–HBahia25/10
Bahia25/10–HPalmeiras28/10
Palmeiras28/10–ARB Bragantino02/11
RB Bragantino02/11GremioLHCruzeiro2–4
Cruzeiro2–4DHInternacional1–1
Internacional1–1DARemo1–1
Remo1–1DHPalmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0LABotafogo2–3
Botafogo2–3LHVasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2–ACoritiba26/10
Coritiba26/10–HAtletico Paranaense30/10
Atletico Paranaense30/10–AFlamengo04/11
Flamengo04/11Top Scorers
SantosGabriel Barbosa25 ⚽
Neymar8 ⚽
A. Barreal6 ⚽
Gabriel Bontempo6 ⚽
Rony5 ⚽
Thaciano5 ⚽
GremioCarlos Vinicius21 ⚽
F. Amuzu8 ⚽
C. Pavon5 ⚽
Gustavo Martins4 ⚽
M. Braithwaite4 ⚽
Carlos Vinícius3 ⚽
Cards Given
SantosGabriel Barbosa14 🟨
Gonzalo Escobar13 🟨
Luan Peres12 🟨
Neymar10 🟨
Gabriel Menino9 🟨
Rony9 🟨
GremioWalter Kannemann13 🟨
Viery9 🟨
Gustavo Martins8 🟨
Wagner Leonardo7 🟨
Pedro Gabriel7 🟨
Carlos Vinicius6 🟨