MatchPulse

Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama — Serie A

← Back
Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 37
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
7º · 1.52 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 23h
vs
–
–
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
14º · 1.19 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 2h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

From€8.99/Mo

Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime

Start 14-Day Free TrialUpgrade To Pro →

Atletico-MG and Vasco DA Gama meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Atletico-MG have recorded 26 wins from 63 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.37 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Vasco DA Gama have won 39% of their 62 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 32%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Atletico-MG and 1.07 for Vasco DA Gama. The models give Atletico-MG a 52% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Vasco DA Gama win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Atletico-MG
—
Vasco DA Gama
7º
Position
14º
1.52
PPG
1.19
42%
Win %
31%
1.33
Goals / game
1.25
1.18
Conceded / game
1.53
52%
BTTS %
50%
25%
Clean sheet %
32%
44%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.2
Avg corners
5.4
13.3
Avg shots
15.8
4.7
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
11.5
Avg fouls
12.5
51.2%
Avg possession
54.1%

Home vs Away

Atletico-MG
Home (17)
—
Vasco DA Gama
Away (15)
2.06
PPG
0.73
59%
Win %
13%
1.59
Goals / game
1.00
1.06
Conceded / game
1.67
61%
BTTS %
53%
32%
Clean sheet %
27%
52%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.2
Avg corners
5.4
13.3
Avg shots
15.8
4.7
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
51.2%
Avg possession
54.1%

Goals Scored

Atletico-MGHomeAwayVasco DAHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored71%87%56%69%72%67%
Over 1.5 Scored40%52%28%39%41%37%
Over 2.5 Scored16%19%13%18%22%13%
Failed To Score29%13%44%31%28%33%

Goals Conceded

Atletico-MGHomeAwayVasco DAHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%68%81%68%63%73%
Over 1.5 Conceded30%16%44%29%31%27%
Over 2.5 Conceded5%6%3%13%13%13%
Clean Sheets25%32%19%32%38%27%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Atletico-MGVasco DA
Over 0.594%87%
Over 1.570%66%
Over 2.544%50%
Over 3.524%26%
Over 4.56%15%
BTTS52%50%
BTTS & Win22%19%
BTTS & Draw24%16%
BTTS & Over 2.538%40%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Atletico-MGVasco DA
Win 1st Half32%31%
Draw 1st Half40%39%
Loss 1st Half29%31%
Scored 1st Half43%35%
Conceded 1st Half40%40%
Win 2nd Half32%39%
Draw 2nd Half41%34%
Loss 2nd Half27%27%
Scored 2nd Half54%52%
Conceded 2nd Half54%47%
Over 0.5 HT68%65%
Over 1.5 HT25%18%

Recent Venue Form

Atletico-MG (H)
LCruzeiro0–1
WCoritiba1–0
WAtletico Torque3–0
WSantos2–1
WRB Bragantino1–0
DChapecoense-sc1–1
Vasco DA (A)
LPalmeiras0–1
LSao Paulo0–1
WBoca Juniors1–0
WBotafogo2–1
WGremio2–1
DSanta Fe0–0

Number of Corners

10.4
Corners / Match
51 games
League Avg
10.4
329 games
9.6
Corners / Match
61 games
Match CornersAtletico-MGVasco DALeague Avg
Over 686%84%85%
Over 775%69%77%
Over 871%61%69%
Over 959%51%57%
Over 1041%36%43%
Over 1135%26%35%
Over 1229%18%28%
Over 1325%13%21%

Team Corners

Team CornersAtletico-MGVasco DA
Corners Earned / Match5.25.4
Corners Against / Match5.24.2
Over 2.5 Corners For76%87%
Over 3.5 Corners For67%69%
Over 4.5 Corners For53%57%
Over 2.5 Corners Against76%79%
Over 3.5 Corners Against65%59%
Over 4.5 Corners Against55%46%

Head to Head · 26 matches

11
Atletico-MG
42%
6
Draws
23%
9
Vasco DA
35%
85%
Over 1.5
22/26
54%
Over 2.5
14/26
12%
Over 3.5
3/26
65%
BTTS
17/26
31/05/26
Vasco DA Gama
0–1
Atletico-MG
07/12/25
Atletico-MG
5–0
Vasco DA Gama
10/08/25
Vasco DA Gama
1–1
Atletico-MG
04/12/24
Vasco DA Gama
2–0
Atletico-MG
19/10/24
Vasco DA Gama
1–1
Atletico-MG
02/10/24
Atletico-MG
2–1
Vasco DA Gama
21/07/24
Atletico-MG
2–0
Vasco DA Gama
20/08/23
Vasco DA Gama
1–0
Atletico-MG
16/04/23
Atletico-MG
1–2
Vasco DA Gama
24/01/21
Vasco DA Gama
3–2
Atletico-MG
04/10/20
Atletico-MG
4–1
Vasco DA Gama
02/10/19
Atletico-MG
1–2
Vasco DA Gama
02/05/19
Vasco DA Gama
1–2
Atletico-MG
23/08/18
Atletico-MG
0–0
Vasco DA Gama
15/04/18
Vasco DA Gama
2–1
Atletico-MG
15/11/17
Vasco DA Gama
1–1
Atletico-MG
23/07/17
Atletico-MG
1–2
Vasco DA Gama
05/09/15
Vasco DA Gama
1–2
Atletico-MG
31/05/15
Atletico-MG
3–0
Vasco DA Gama
22/09/13
Atletico-MG
2–1
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo332274+4073
2Palmeiras3320103+3470
3Cruzeiro3317610+657
4Fluminense331599+1054
5Atletico Paranaense331599+1054
6Bahia3314118+653
7Atletico-MG3314811+550
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3312714043
11Coritiba3311913-1042
12Mirassol34101014-940
13Botafogo3310914-839
14Vasco DA Gama3210814-938
15Vitoria3310815-1338
16Gremio3391014-737
17Corinthians339915-636
18Internacional3381114-535
19Remo3361116-1529
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521
20Chapecoense B201712-2210

Team Insights

Atletico-MG
  • ●Atletico-MG have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
  • ●Atletico-MG failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Vasco DA
  • ●Vasco DA Gama failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Vasco DA Gama failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
  • ●Vasco DA Gama failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●63% of Vasco DA Gama's goals have been scored at home.
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
LAGremio0–2
LHCruzeiro3º0–1
LAFlamengo1º2–3
LAAtletico Torque1º0–2
LAAtletico Torque1º0–2
WHCoritiba11º1–0
WHAtletico Torque1º3–0
WHAtletico Torque1º3–0
WHSantos9º2–1
DAAtletico Paranaense5º2–2
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
LAPalmeiras0–1
LHFlamengo1º1–4
WHCorinthians17º3–2
LHBoca Juniors1–3
LASao Paulo10º0–1
WABoca Juniors1–0
DHRemo19º0–0
WABotafogo13º2–1
WHCoritiba11º5–0
WHSanta Fe2–0

Season Schedule

Atletico-MG
LHCruzeiro0–1
LAFlamengo2–3
WHCoritiba1–0
WHSantos2–1
DAAtletico Paranaense2–2
WHRB Bragantino1–0
–ABotafogo05/11
–AMirassol14/11
–HCorinthians25/11
Vasco DA
LHFlamengo1–4
WHCorinthians3–2
LASao Paulo0–1
DHRemo0–0
WABotafogo2–1
WHCoritiba5–0
–AAtletico Paranaense04/11
–HInternacional19/11
–ARB Bragantino22/11

Top Scorers

Atletico-MG
Reinier6 ⚽
Victor Hugo6 ⚽
Cuello6 ⚽
Bernard6 ⚽
Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte5 ⚽
M. Cassierra5 ⚽
Vasco DA
Thiago Mendes8 ⚽
C. Spinelli7 ⚽
David6 ⚽
J. Rodriguez6 ⚽
Adson5 ⚽
Brenner5 ⚽

Cards Given

Atletico-MG
Alan Franco8 🟨
Ruan Tressoldi7 🟨
Lyanco7 🟨
Natanael6 🟨
Ruan6 🟨
Tomás Cuello6 🟨
Vasco DA
Thiago Mendes14 🟨
Cauan Barros13 🟨
Andrés Gómez12 🟨
Alan Saldivia7 🟨
Tchê Tchê6 🟨
Robert Renan6 🟨