Botafogo vs Bahia — Serie A
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Estádio Nilton Santos·Rio de Janeiro·Brazil·46,931
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Botafogo and Bahia meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Botafogo have recorded 23 wins from 56 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.34 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Bahia have won 49% of their 49 matches, with 1.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Botafogo and 1.44 for Bahia. The models give Botafogo a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Bahia win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Botafogo—
Bahia11º
Position
7º
1.22
PPG
1.58
31%
Win %
42%
1.38
Goals / game
1.42
1.59
Conceded / game
1.26
54%
BTTS %
65%
27%
Clean sheet %
24%
52%
Over 2.5 %
59%
4.7
Avg corners
5.7
14.3
Avg shots
13.4
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
13.1
Avg fouls
13.4
51.0%
Avg possession
55.6%
Home vs Away
Botafogo
Home (16)
—
Bahia
Away (15)
1.50
PPG
1.47
38%
Win %
40%
1.63
Goals / game
1.40
1.38
Conceded / game
1.47
52%
BTTS %
57%
38%
Clean sheet %
26%
52%
Over 2.5 %
48%
4.7
Avg corners
5.7
14.3
Avg shots
13.4
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
51.0%
Avg possession
55.6%
Goals Scored
| Botafogo | Home | Away | Bahia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 79% | 70% | 86% | 92% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 45% | 33% | 51% | 62% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 21% | 19% | 24% | 31% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 21% | 30% | 14% | 8% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Botafogo | Home | Away | Bahia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 62% | 85% | 76% | 77% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 31% | 44% | 39% | 35% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 7% | 19% | 10% | 8% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 38% | 15% | 24% | 23% | 26% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Botafogo | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 20% |
| BTTS | 54% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 51% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Botafogo | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 49% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 49% |
Recent Venue Form
Botafogo (H)W
Chapecoense-sc1–0
Chapecoense-sc1–0L
Vasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2W
Gremio3–2
Gremio3–2D
RB Bragantino1–1
RB Bragantino1–1D
Palmeiras0–0
Palmeiras0–0L
Atletico Paranaense2–3
Atletico Paranaense2–3Bahia (A)D
Santos1–1
Santos1–1LPalmeiras0–1
Palmeiras0–1LAtletico Paranaense1–2
Atletico Paranaense1–2WRB Bragantino3–2
RB Bragantino3–2W
Vitoria2–0
Vitoria2–0DChapecoense-sc3–3
Chapecoense-sc3–3Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
55 games
League Avg
10.4
314 games
11.1
Corners / Match
34 games
| Match Corners | Botafogo | Bahia | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 91% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 88% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 74% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 62% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 44% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 35% | 44% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 32% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 24% | 29% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Botafogo | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 51% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 51% | 56% |
Head to Head · 27 matches
8
Botafogo
30%
6
Draws
22%
13
Bahia
48%
70%
Over 1.5
19/27
52%
Over 2.5
14/27
15%
Over 3.5
4/27
56%
BTTS
15/27
30/05/26Botafogo
Bahia
2–1Botafogo02/10/25Bahia
Botafogo
2–1Bahia04/05/25Botafogo
Bahia
1–0Botafogo25/08/24Botafogo
Bahia
0–0Botafogo07/08/24Botafogo
Bahia
1–0Botafogo31/07/24Bahia
Botafogo
1–1Bahia05/05/24Bahia
Botafogo
1–2Bahia27/08/23Bahia
Botafogo
3–0Bahia24/04/23Botafogo
Bahia
1–2Botafogo08/11/20Botafogo
Bahia
1–0Botafogo01/10/20Bahia
Botafogo
1–2Bahia26/09/19Botafogo
Bahia
2–0Botafogo02/05/19Bahia
Botafogo
3–2Bahia20/10/18Bahia
Botafogo
0–1Bahia10/06/18Botafogo
Bahia
3–3Botafogo27/08/17Botafogo
Bahia
1–2Botafogo28/05/17Bahia
Botafogo
1–0Bahia31/10/15Bahia
Botafogo
1–0Bahia25/07/15Botafogo
Bahia
1–1Botafogo18/09/14Bahia
Botafogo
2–3Bahia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Botafogo- ●Botafogo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Botafogo failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
Bahia- ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Bahia have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Bahia failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Bahia have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Bahia have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Bahia have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BotafogoLAInternacional0–3
Internacional0–3WHChapecoense-sc1–0
Chapecoense-sc1–0DACoritiba1–1
Coritiba1–1LHVasco DA Gama1–2
Vasco DA Gama1–2LAMirassol0–2
Mirassol0–2WHGremio3–2
Gremio3–2–ARemo29/10
Remo29/10–HAtletico-MG05/11
Atletico-MG05/11–ACorinthians18/11
Corinthians18/11BahiaDASantos1–1
Santos1–1LHFlamengo0–3
Flamengo0–3WHMirassol1–0
Mirassol1–0LAPalmeiras0–1
Palmeiras0–1LAAtletico Paranaense1–2
Atletico Paranaense1–2WHRemo2–1
Remo2–1–HSao Paulo29/10
Sao Paulo29/10–ACruzeiro06/11
Cruzeiro06/11–AGremio18/11
Gremio18/11Top Scorers
BotafogoDanilo10 ⚽
Arthur Cabral9 ⚽
Alex Telles7 ⚽
Matheus Martins6 ⚽
Edenilson4 ⚽
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira3 ⚽
BahiaWillian Jose9 ⚽
Luciano Juba8 ⚽
Erick8 ⚽
Everaldo7 ⚽
Jean Lucas6 ⚽
Luciano4 ⚽
Cards Given
BotafogoAlexander Barboza8 🟨
Álvaro Montoro8 🟨
Huguinho6 🟨
Alex Telles6 🟨
Allan6 🟨
Arthur Cabral6 🟨
BahiaErick7 🟨
Jean Lucas7 🟨
Nicolás Acevedo7 🟨
Luciano Juba6 🟨
Ademir6 🟨
Erick Pulga5 🟨