Coritiba vs Flamengo — Serie A
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Coritiba and Flamengo meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Coritiba have recorded 15 wins from 45 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Flamengo have won 59% of their 63 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for Coritiba and 1.70 for Flamengo. The models give Coritiba a 23% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Flamengo win at 53%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Coritiba—
Flamengo11º
Position
1º
1.27
PPG
2.21
33%
Win %
67%
1.21
Goals / game
2.06
1.52
Conceded / game
0.85
47%
BTTS %
51%
27%
Clean sheet %
40%
44%
Over 2.5 %
57%
3.9
Avg corners
5.7
11.5
Avg shots
15.6
3.3
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.9
11.3
Avg fouls
11.8
41.4%
Avg possession
58.0%
Home vs Away
Coritiba
Home (17)
—
Flamengo
Away (17)
1.35
PPG
2.00
35%
Win %
59%
1.29
Goals / game
2.12
1.24
Conceded / game
0.94
57%
BTTS %
52%
17%
Clean sheet %
35%
43%
Over 2.5 %
58%
3.9
Avg corners
5.7
11.5
Avg shots
15.6
3.3
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.9
41.4%
Avg possession
58.0%
Goals Scored
| Coritiba | Home | Away | Flamengo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 74% | 64% | 86% | 91% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 48% | 32% | 57% | 69% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 9% | 14% | 27% | 31% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 26% | 36% | 14% | 9% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| Coritiba | Home | Away | Flamengo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 83% | 64% | 60% | 56% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 39% | 41% | 24% | 22% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 13% | 23% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 17% | 36% | 40% | 44% | 35% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Coritiba | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 13% |
| BTTS | 47% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Coritiba | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Coritiba (H)W
Vitoria2–0
Vitoria2–0L
Gremio0–1
Gremio0–1D
Botafogo1–1
Botafogo1–1D
Atletico Paranaense3–3
Atletico Paranaense3–3L
Mirassol1–2
Mirassol1–2W
Corinthians2–1
Corinthians2–1Flamengo (A)W
Vasco DA Gama4–1
Vasco DA Gama4–1W
Bahia3–0
Bahia3–0D
Estudiantes L.P.0–0
Estudiantes L.P.0–0D
Santos2–2
Santos2–2W
Independiente del Valle2–0
Independiente del Valle2–0W
Remo1–0
Remo1–0Number of Corners
10.4
Corners / Match
34 games
League Avg
10.4
329 games
9.6
Corners / Match
56 games
| Match Corners | Coritiba | Flamengo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 79% | 84% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 74% | 73% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 74% | 61% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 68% | 46% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 53% | 34% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 35% | 23% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 26% | 14% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 21% | 11% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Coritiba | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.5 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 91% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 79% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 74% | 45% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
5
Coritiba
22%
2
Draws
9%
16
Flamengo
70%
70%
Over 1.5
16/23
43%
Over 2.5
10/23
26%
Over 3.5
6/23
30%
BTTS
7/23
30/05/26Coritiba
Flamengo
3–0Coritiba20/08/23Flamengo
Coritiba
2–3Flamengo16/04/23Coritiba
Flamengo
3–0Coritiba06/11/22Flamengo
Coritiba
1–0Flamengo16/07/22Coritiba
Flamengo
2–0Coritiba17/06/21Coritiba
Flamengo
2–0Coritiba10/06/21Flamengo
Coritiba
0–1Flamengo21/11/20Coritiba
Flamengo
3–1Coritiba15/08/20Flamengo
Coritiba
0–1Flamengo16/11/17Flamengo
Coritiba
1–0Flamengo22/07/17Coritiba
Flamengo
2–1Coritiba20/11/16Coritiba
Flamengo
2–2Coritiba31/07/16Flamengo
Coritiba
0–2Flamengo18/09/15Coritiba
Flamengo
0–2Coritiba13/06/15Flamengo
Coritiba
0–1Flamengo16/11/14Coritiba
Flamengo
3–2Coritiba17/08/14Flamengo
Coritiba
0–1Flamengo03/10/13Flamengo
Coritiba
0–2Flamengo06/07/13Coritiba
Flamengo
2–2Coritiba08/09/12Flamengo
Coritiba
3–0Flamengo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | +40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | +34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | +6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | +5 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Coritiba- ●Coritiba have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Coritiba failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
Flamengo- ●Flamengo have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 17 matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Flamengo have won their last 7 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have won 10 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in 16 of their 17 away matches.
Season Schedule
CoritibaWHVitoria2–0
Vitoria2–0LHGremio0–1
Gremio0–1LAAtletico-MG0–1
Atletico-MG0–1DHBotafogo1–1
Botafogo1–1LAFluminense0–4
Fluminense0–4LAVasco DA Gama0–5
Vasco DA Gama0–5–HSantos18/11
Santos18/11–ABahia21/11
Bahia21/11–HFlamengo29/11
Flamengo29/11FlamengoWAVasco DA Gama4–1
Vasco DA Gama4–1WHAtletico-MG3–2
Atletico-MG3–2WABahia3–0
Bahia3–0WHFluminense1–0
Fluminense1–0DASantos2–2
Santos2–2WHRB Bragantino2–1
RB Bragantino2–1–HGremio04/11
Gremio04/11–HAtletico Paranaense18/11
Atletico Paranaense18/11–APalmeiras21/11
Palmeiras21/11Top Scorers
CoritibaPedro Rocha12 ⚽
Breno Lopes8 ⚽
J. Lavega5 ⚽
Tiago Coser4 ⚽
Rodrigo Moledo3 ⚽
Lucas Ronier3 ⚽
FlamengoPedro28 ⚽
Samuel Lino16 ⚽
Bruno Henrique11 ⚽
Lucas Paqueta9 ⚽
G. de Arrascaeta8 ⚽
J. Carrascal5 ⚽
Cards Given
CoritibaThiago Santos11 🟨
Vini Paulista6 🟨
Tiago Coser5 🟨
Bruno Melo5 🟨
Breno Lopes4 🟨
Lucas Ronier4 🟨
FlamengoErick Pulgar11 🟨
Jorginho9 🟨
Evertton Araujo7 🟨
Bruno Henrique6 🟨
Jorge Carrascal6 🟨
Guillermo Varela5 🟨