Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Atletico Paranaense

4º · 1.69 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 39d 1h

–

Sao Paulo

9º · 1.34 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 20h

🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free Trial Upgrade to Pro →

Atletico Paranaense and Sao Paulo meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Atletico Paranaense have recorded 21 wins from 48 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.52 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Sao Paulo have won 40% of their 55 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 27%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Atletico Paranaense and 0.86 for Sao Paulo. The models give Atletico Paranaense a 57% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sao Paulo win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 47%.

Season Statistics

Atletico Paranaense

—

Sao Paulo

4º

Position

9º

1.69

PPG

1.34

47%

Win %

38%

1.56

Goals / game

1.16

1.19

Conceded / game

1.13

54%

BTTS %

56%

27%

Clean sheet %

27%

50%

Over 2.5 %

40%

5.1

Avg corners

6.5

12.8

Avg shots

12.8

4.8

Avg shots on target

3.9

2.2

Avg yellow cards

2.1

13.8

Avg fouls

13.2

48.8%

Avg possession

54.1%

Home vs Away

Atletico Paranaense

Home (16)

—

Sao Paulo

Away (16)

2.00

PPG

0.63

56%

Win %

13%

1.69

Goals / game

0.75

0.94

Conceded / game

1.44

43%

BTTS %

59%

39%

Clean sheet %

14%

39%

Over 2.5 %

41%

5.1

Avg corners

6.5

12.8

Avg shots

12.8

4.8

Avg shots on target

3.9

2.2

Avg yellow cards

2.1

48.8%

Avg possession

54.1%

Goals Scored

	Atletico Paranaense	Home	Away	Sao Paulo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	73%	74%	72%	80%	96%	66%
Over 1.5 Scored	50%	61%	40%	35%	54%	17%
Over 2.5 Scored	19%	22%	16%	4%	8%	0%
Failed To Score	27%	26%	28%	20%	4%	34%

Goals Conceded

	Atletico Paranaense	Home	Away	Sao Paulo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	73%	61%	84%	73%	58%	86%
Over 1.5 Conceded	27%	13%	40%	29%	15%	41%
Over 2.5 Conceded	13%	4%	20%	11%	4%	17%
Clean Sheets	27%	39%	16%	27%	42%	14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Atletico Paranaense	Sao Paulo
Over 0.5	92%	96%
Over 1.5	75%	75%
Over 2.5	50%	40%
Over 3.5	29%	15%
Over 4.5	17%	7%
BTTS	54%	56%
BTTS & Win	25%	16%
BTTS & Draw	19%	20%
BTTS & Over 2.5	44%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	6%	2%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Atletico Paranaense	Sao Paulo
Win 1st Half	35%	35%
Draw 1st Half	38%	44%
Loss 1st Half	27%	22%
Scored 1st Half	56%	45%
Conceded 1st Half	54%	31%
Win 2nd Half	33%	35%
Draw 2nd Half	44%	24%
Loss 2nd Half	23%	42%
Scored 2nd Half	52%	51%
Conceded 2nd Half	40%	58%
Over 0.5 HT	81%	65%
Over 1.5 HT	48%	20%

Recent Venue Form

Atletico Paranaense (H)

Palmeiras0–2

Atletico-MG2–2

Bahia2–1

Fluminense3–3

RB Bragantino1–1

Vitoria2–0

Sao Paulo (A)

Bahia2–3

Mirassol1–1

Cruzeiro0–2

Palmeiras0–2

Boca Juniors0–1

Chapecoense-sc0–1

Number of Corners

9.9

Corners / Match

36 games

League Avg

10.4

324 games

11.2

Corners / Match

54 games

Match Corners	Atletico Paranaense	Sao Paulo	League Avg
Over 6	83%	89%	85%
Over 7	81%	80%	77%
Over 8	67%	72%	69%
Over 9	56%	67%	57%
Over 10	36%	50%	43%
Over 11	28%	43%	35%
Over 12	22%	39%	28%
Over 13	14%	30%	21%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Atletico Paranaense	Sao Paulo
Corners Earned / Match	5.1	6.5
Corners Against / Match	4.8	4.7
Over 2.5 Corners For	75%	91%
Over 3.5 Corners For	61%	81%
Over 4.5 Corners For	56%	63%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	75%	78%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	58%	57%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	42%	46%

Head to Head · 33 matches

Atletico Paranaense

33%

Draws

27%

Sao Paulo

39%

61%

Over 1.5

20/33

48%

Over 2.5

16/33

12%

Over 3.5

4/33

55%

BTTS

18/33

23/07/26

Sao Paulo

1–2

Atletico Paranaense

06/08/25

Atletico Paranaense

1–0

Sao Paulo

31/07/25

Sao Paulo

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

10/11/24

Sao Paulo

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

04/07/24

Atletico Paranaense

1–2

Sao Paulo

29/10/23

Atletico Paranaense

1–1

Sao Paulo

21/06/23

Sao Paulo

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

31/07/22

Atletico Paranaense

1–0

Sao Paulo

10/04/22

Sao Paulo

4–0

Atletico Paranaense

25/11/21

Sao Paulo

0–0

Atletico Paranaense

07/08/21

Atletico Paranaense

1–2

Sao Paulo

17/01/21

Atletico Paranaense

1–1

Sao Paulo

27/08/20

Sao Paulo

1–0

Atletico Paranaense

10/11/19

Sao Paulo

0–1

Atletico Paranaense

21/08/19

Atletico Paranaense

0–1

Sao Paulo

20/10/18

Sao Paulo

0–0

Atletico Paranaense

09/06/18

Atletico Paranaense

0–1

Sao Paulo

19/04/18

Sao Paulo

2–2

Atletico Paranaense

05/04/18

Atletico Paranaense

2–1

Sao Paulo

15/10/17

Sao Paulo

2–1

Atletico Paranaense

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	32	21	7	4	+37	70
2	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	+34	69
3	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	+12	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	+9	51
6	Atletico-MG	32	14	8	10	+6	50
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	+5	50
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	+2	46
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	-7	39
12	Coritiba	32	10	9	13	-12	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	-4	35
17	Gremio	32	8	10	14	-9	34
18	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	-8	33
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	-31	21
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	-22	10

Team Insights

Atletico Paranaense

●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
●Atletico Paranaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
●Atletico Paranaense have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.

Sao Paulo

●Sao Paulo have won their last 2 home matches.
●Sao Paulo have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
●Sao Paulo have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
●Sao Paulo failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
●Sao Paulo have lost 11 of their 17 away matches.
●64% of Sao Paulo's goals have been scored at home.
●67% of Sao Paulo's goals conceded were conceded away.
●77% of Sao Paulo's points have been earned at home.

Atletico Paranaense

DAVitoria14º1–1

LHPalmeiras2º0–2

WAChapecoense-sc20º4–1

DHAtletico-MG6º2–2

WHBahia7º2–1

DACoritiba12º3–3

LACruzeiro3º1–3

DHFluminense5º3–3

WABotafogo11º3–2

DHRB Bragantino10º1–1

Sao Paulo

LABahia7º2–3

DAMirassol15º1–1

WHVasco DA Gama13º1–0

WHVitoria14º2–1

LACruzeiro3º0–2

LHSantos8º1–2

WHInternacional16º1–0

DHBoca Juniors1–1

LAPalmeiras2º0–2

LABoca Juniors0–1

Season Schedule

Atletico Paranaense

Vitoria1–1

Palmeiras0–2

Chapecoense-sc4–1

Atletico-MG2–2

Bahia2–1

Coritiba3–3

–H

Vasco DA Gama04/11

–A

Flamengo18/11

–H

Remo22/11

Sao Paulo

Bahia2–3

Mirassol1–1

Vasco DA Gama1–0

Vitoria2–1

Cruzeiro0–2

Santos1–2

–H

Corinthians05/11

–H

Fluminense18/11

–A

Botafogo22/11

Top Scorers

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros18 ⚽

S. Mendoza5 ⚽

Leozinho5 ⚽

Chiqueti5 ⚽

Joao Cruz4 ⚽

Bruninho4 ⚽

Sao Paulo

Jonathan Calleri16 ⚽

Luciano15 ⚽

Lucas Moura4 ⚽

Artur4 ⚽

D. Bobadilla4 ⚽

Ferreira4 ⚽

Cards Given

Atletico Paranaense

Arthur Dias9 🟨

Luiz Gustavo6 🟨

Gastón Benavídez5 🟨

Bruno Zapelli5 🟨

Diogo Riquelme4 🟨

F. Aguirre4 🟨

Sao Paulo

Jonathan Calleri11 🟨

Enzo Díaz10 🟨

Luciano10 🟨

Wendell7 🟨

Damián Bobadilla6 🟨

Alan Franco6 🟨

Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo — Serie A

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 33 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given