Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria — Serie A
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Vasco DA Gama and Vitoria meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Vasco DA Gama have recorded 24 wins from 62 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Vitoria have won 40% of their 60 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Vasco DA Gama and 1.14 for Vitoria. The models give Vasco DA Gama a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Vitoria win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Vasco DA Gama—
Vitoria14º
Position
15º
1.19
PPG
1.15
31%
Win %
30%
1.25
Goals / game
1.06
1.53
Conceded / game
1.45
50%
BTTS %
47%
32%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.4
Avg corners
4.0
15.8
Avg shots
11.5
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.5
Avg fouls
12.7
54.1%
Avg possession
45.1%
Home vs Away
Vasco DA Gama
Home (17)
—
Vitoria
Away (17)
1.59
PPG
0.35
47%
Win %
0%
1.47
Goals / game
0.71
1.41
Conceded / game
2.06
47%
BTTS %
62%
38%
Clean sheet %
10%
53%
Over 2.5 %
52%
5.4
Avg corners
4.0
15.8
Avg shots
11.5
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
54.1%
Avg possession
45.1%
Goals Scored
| Vasco DA | Home | Away | Vitoria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 72% | 67% | 73% | 81% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 41% | 37% | 37% | 45% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 22% | 13% | 17% | 26% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 28% | 33% | 27% | 19% | 34% |
Goals Conceded
| Vasco DA | Home | Away | Vitoria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 63% | 73% | 67% | 45% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 31% | 27% | 45% | 23% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 38% | 27% | 33% | 55% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vasco DA | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 10% |
| BTTS | 50% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vasco DA | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Vasco DA (H)L
Flamengo1–4
Flamengo1–4W
Corinthians3–2
Corinthians3–2L
Boca Juniors1–3
Boca Juniors1–3D
Remo0–0
Remo0–0W
Coritiba5–0
Coritiba5–0W
Santa Fe2–0
Santa Fe2–0Vitoria (A)LCoritiba0–2
Coritiba0–2DCorinthians1–1
Corinthians1–1L
Sao Paulo1–2
Sao Paulo1–2D
Mirassol2–2
Mirassol2–2L
Atletico-MG1–2
Atletico-MG1–2LVasco DA Gama0–1
Vasco DA Gama0–1Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
61 games
League Avg
10.4
329 games
9.2
Corners / Match
39 games
| Match Corners | Vasco DA | Vitoria | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 84% | 79% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 69% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 61% | 62% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 51% | 41% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 26% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 26% | 23% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 15% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 8% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Vasco DA | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 87% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 59% | 74% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 46% | 59% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
8
Vasco DA
42%
2
Draws
11%
9
Vitoria
47%
63%
Over 1.5
12/19
42%
Over 2.5
8/19
21%
Over 3.5
4/19
47%
BTTS
9/19
03/09/26Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0–2Vasco DA Gama27/08/26Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1–0Vitoria16/07/26Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
1–0Vasco DA Gama05/10/25Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
4–3Vitoria10/05/25Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
2–1Vasco DA Gama01/09/24Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0–1Vasco DA Gama12/05/24Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
2–1Vitoria11/11/21Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
0–3Vitoria07/08/21Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0–1Vasco DA Gama09/09/18Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
1–0Vasco DA Gama13/05/18Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
2–3Vitoria05/11/17Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1–1Vitoria13/07/17Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
1–4Vasco DA Gama16/03/17Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
1–0Vasco DA Gama09/03/17Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1–1Vitoria18/09/13Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1–2Vitoria01/06/13Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
2–0Vasco DA Gama30/10/10Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
4–2Vasco DA Gama08/08/10Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1–0Vitoria| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | +40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | +34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | +6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | +5 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Team Insights
Vasco DA- ●Vasco DA Gama failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vasco DA Gama failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Vasco DA Gama failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●63% of Vasco DA Gama's goals have been scored at home.
Vitoria- ●Vitoria have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Vitoria have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vitoria failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Vitoria have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Vitoria failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Vitoria have lost 11 of their 17 away matches.
- ●66% of Vitoria's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Vitoria's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●84% of Vitoria's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Vasco DALHFlamengo1–4
Flamengo1–4WHCorinthians3–2
Corinthians3–2LASao Paulo0–1
Sao Paulo0–1DHRemo0–0
Remo0–0WABotafogo2–1
Botafogo2–1WHCoritiba5–0
Coritiba5–0–AAtletico Paranaense04/11
Atletico Paranaense04/11–HInternacional19/11
Internacional19/11–ARB Bragantino22/11
RB Bragantino22/11VitoriaLACoritiba0–2
Coritiba0–2DHAtletico Paranaense1–1
Atletico Paranaense1–1DACorinthians1–1
Corinthians1–1LASao Paulo1–2
Sao Paulo1–2WHChapecoense-sc4–0
Chapecoense-sc4–0LHCruzeiro1–3
Cruzeiro1–3–HFluminense06/11
Fluminense06/11–HRB Bragantino19/11
RB Bragantino19/11–AInternacional23/11
Internacional23/11Top Scorers
Vasco DAThiago Mendes8 ⚽
C. Spinelli7 ⚽
David6 ⚽
J. Rodriguez6 ⚽
Adson5 ⚽
Brenner5 ⚽
VitoriaRenato Kayzer14 ⚽
Erick14 ⚽
Rene12 ⚽
Matheuzinho7 ⚽
Baralhas5 ⚽
Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira5 ⚽
Cards Given
Vasco DAThiago Mendes14 🟨
Cauan Barros13 🟨
Andrés Gómez12 🟨
Alan Saldivia7 🟨
Tchê Tchê6 🟨
Robert Renan6 🟨
VitoriaEmmanuel Martinez9 🟨
Renato Kayzer8 🟨
Caca7 🟨
Caique Goncalves6 🟨
Ramon6 🟨
D. Tarzia5 🟨