Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. — Premier Division
← Back

Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Derry City and St Patrick's Athl. meet in the Premier Division 2026 season on 19 October 2026. Derry City have recorded 13 wins from 43 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. St Patrick's Athl. have won 51% of their 39 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Derry City and 1.30 for St Patrick's Athl.. The models give Derry City a 40% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an St Patrick's Athl. win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Derry City | Home | Away | St Patrick's | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 80% | 70% | 74% | 81% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 55% | 35% | 51% | 52% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 4% | 28% | 33% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 20% | 30% | 26% | 19% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Derry City | Home | Away | St Patrick's | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 65% | 83% | 64% | 67% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 40% | 43% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 10% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 35% | 17% | 36% | 33% | 39% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Derry City | St Patrick's | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 15% |
| BTTS | 58% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 49% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Derry City | St Patrick's | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 49% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Derry City | St Patrick's | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 84% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 91% | 78% | 80% |
| Over 8 | 76% | 72% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 65% | 66% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 53% | 44% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 35% | 34% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 16% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 9% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Derry City | St Patrick's |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.0 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 79% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 71% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 85% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 68% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 44% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | +19 | 65 | |
| 2 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +19 | 62 | |
| 3 | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | +26 | 59 | |
| 4 | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | +2 | 46 | |
| 5 | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | -5 | 42 | |
| 6 | 33 | 9 | 14 | 10 | +1 | 41 | |
| 7 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 41 | |
| 8 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -13 | 37 | |
| 9 | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | -11 | 34 | |
| 10 | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -34 | 24 |
Team Insights
- ●Derry City have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Derry City have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Derry City failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Derry City have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●St Patrick's Athl. have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●St Patrick's Athl. have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●St Patrick's Athl. have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●St Patrick's Athl. have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 17 home matches.
- ●St Patrick's Athl. have won 7 of their 16 away matches.